Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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FNUS75 KRIW 171126
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR WHITE CREEK...WY-BTF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
526 AM MDT SUN JUL 17 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2014 MDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THERE IS THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AT
OR NEAR THE FIRE FROM 1200 THROUGH SUNSET. THEY WILL FORM OVER
THE RANGE AND MOVE EAST NORTHEAST. MAIN THREATS WILL BE STRONG
WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ON EXPOSED RIDGETOPS AND LIGHTNING. RAIN
WILL BE BRIEF AND RAIN AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT. MONDAY AND TUESDAY
LOOK DRY OVER THE FIRE WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY. THE WIND PATTERN WILL BE SIMILAR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS WITH LIGHT SPEEDS UNDER THE CANOPY WITH EXPOSED RIDGES SEEING
SOME WIND EACH AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...AR

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING. PARTLY TO MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 THROUGH 1800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-23 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY AT 4 TO 8 MPH.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1100.
                    WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER 1100
                    WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.

                    THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH
                    ON EXPOSED RIDGETOPS.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.3 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9000-10000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH AFTER 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........ISOLATED EVENING SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2100. THEN DECREASING CLOUDS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......WIND BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 4 TO 7 MPH
                    AROUND OR AFTER SUNSET.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL SUNSET.
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH AFTER SUNSET.

LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.3 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000-1500 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO FAIR AFTER SUNSET AND THEN TO POOR
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-22 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY AT 4 TO 8 MPH.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1100.
                    SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH AFTER 1100 WITH
                    GUSTS TO 25 MPH.

LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 10000-11000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH AFTER 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY NIGHT...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 45 TO 50. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY SUNNY. LOWS 45 TO 50. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S.  WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ROSS
REQUESTED BY...TIDC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160716.WHITE.01/RIW


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