Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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973
FNUS75 KRIW 190900
FWSRIW

Spot Forecast for Pole Creek Fire...USFS BTF
National Weather Service Riverton WY
300 AM MDT Tue Sep 19 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0500 MDT on September 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Rain changing to snow at thie fire site this morning. Some snow
accumulation could occur in the trees, but the ground should
remain wet. Drier and warmer conditions are expected Wednesday,
before another wetting precipitation event is possible Thursday
and Thursday night.

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...
...Haines index is high level haines both day and night...

FORECASTER...Murrell

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Numerous rain and
                    snow showers especially in the morning.
Max temperature.....35-40.
Min humidity........70 percent.
20-foot winds.......West northwest around 15 mph. Gusts to 30 mph.
Ridge top winds.....West northwest 20-30 mph. Gusts to 45 mph.
LAL.................1.
Chc of wetting rain.70 percent.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Decreasing cloudiness with some fog development.
Min temperature.....25.
Max humidity........90 percent.
20-foot winds.......West around 10 mph becoming downslope/downvalley
                    4-7 mph by 9 pm.
Ridge top winds.....West around 15 mph.
LAL.................1o Tstms.
Chc of wetting rain.near zero.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....50.
Min humidity........45 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5-10 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph with gusts to around 30 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Ridge top winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to 20-30
                    mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Chc of wetting rain.Zero percent.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very Good to Excellent in the afternoon.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in the evening, then
chance of rain showers after midnight. Lows in the mid 30s. Winds
generally less than 10 mph.

.THURSDAY...
Cloudy with rain showers likely. Highs in the lower 40s. Winds
generally less than 10 mph.

.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs
in the upper 30s. Winds generally less than 10 mph.

.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy with slight chance of snow. Lows in the upper 20s.
Highs in the upper 30s. Winds generally less than 10 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Murrell
Requested by...Scott Brownlow
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1715071.21/RIW
.EMAIL Polecreek2017@gmail.com



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