Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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892 FXUS64 KSJT 280941 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 441 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 432 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024 Many of the CAMs were correct regarding the development of a line of thunderstorms across the region this morning. The remainder of the depicted activity is still located across areas near San Saba, Mason, and Brownwood as of 4:30 AM CDT. Lightning, small hail, and wind gusts to 40 MPH are all possible with this activity. We expect this activity will largely be out of our area by 7 AM CDT. Afterwards, skies should clear for the afternoon allowing temperatures to climb into the lower to middle 80s. && .LONG TERM... (Monday through Saturday) Issued at 432 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024 After the aforementioned activity moves out to the east, a break in the active weather pattern will ensue. Zonal flow will develop aloft following the departure of the low pressure. We will generally see a gradual warm up into the lower 90s through Tuesday. A series of minor disturbances aloft may yield enough support for a few thunderstorms for the middle part of next week. Otherwise, both the GFS and ECMWF depict the same forecast for the most part giving a fair amount of confidence in this forecast. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1045 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024 VFR to MVFR conditions are expected through the period across all of the TAF sites with CIG FEW015-OVC250. The will be periods of SKC later in the period. The winds will be generally breezy to windy (10 to 20 kts with gusts up to 35 kts and out from the west through 10Z. There is a line of TS that is impacting the KABI and KSJT. This line will continue to progress eastward over the next couple of of hours impacting the rest of the terminals. With TS in the VC, the VSBY will be reduced to 1 to 2 SM at least through 09Z. After this line of TS moves out, both the winds and the VSBY will improve. The winds are expected to become light AOB 10 kts and generally out of between the west and northwest through the 06Z. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 82 57 88 63 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 84 55 91 63 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 87 58 91 64 / 20 0 0 0 Brownwood 82 58 86 62 / 10 0 0 0 Sweetwater 81 58 88 64 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 83 58 88 63 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 83 59 86 64 / 20 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...41 LONG TERM....41 AVIATION...EPZ