069
FXUS01 KWBC 140749
PMDSPD

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
348 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

Valid 12Z Tue May 14 2024 - 12Z Thu May 16 2024

...Severe thunderstorms and flash flooding will impact portions of
the Gulf Coast and the Southeast on Tuesday...

...Above-average temperatures expected for South Florida and the
West...

Wet and unsettled weather is in store for the Gulf Coast and
Southeast today thanks to a slow-moving frontal boundary. Showers
and thunderstorms across this region have the potential to turn
severe and will be capable of producing heavy rain. SPC has a
Slight Risk for severe weather, indicating the potential exists
for multiple corridors of damaging winds, very large hail, and a
one or two tornadoes covering central/northern Florida and
southern Georgia. Additionally, WPC has a Slight Risk for
excessive rainfall and local flash flooding highlighted for much
of the same area as the severe weather threat while a broader
Marginal Risk spans northward to the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic
regions. As the system advances eastward the threats for severe
storms and heavy rainfall will reduce for Wednesday to a Marginal
Risk.

Showers and storms over the lower Missouri an Mid-Mississippi
valleys to the Ohio Valley will spread east through the
Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast today. A brief window of drier
weather over the Mississippi Valley into early Wednesday will be
followed by the next round of showers and storms that will begin
to spread into the region by late Wednesday. Before impacting the
central U.S. on Wednesday, this previously noted system will
spread showers and storms followed by much cooler temperatures
from the Northern Rockies into Central Rockies and High Plains on
Tuesday.

South Florida will continue to have well above-normal, with near
to record high temperatures through Wednesday. Meanwhile, warmer
temperatures will spread across the western states reaching
well-above normal highs across the region by midweek.

Campbell

Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php

$$