Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
562
FNUS55 KTWC 141134
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
432 AM MST Tue May 14 2024
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...High temperatures will be within a couple of degrees
of normal through Thursday. Highs then warm to 3-5 degrees above
normal Friday and 6-8 degrees above normal Saturday and Sunday. Min
RH values in the valleys will be in the single digits to lower teens
the next 7 days, with values in the mountains generally between 10-
20 percent. 20-foot winds will follow typical diurnal wind trends
this week, with afternoon and early evening gustiness due to strong
surface heating. The strongest 20-foot winds appear to be Wednesday
and Thursday, especially to the east of Tucson, with wind speeds of
15-20 mph and gusts to near 30 mph. Southwest winds are expected on
Wednesday and west-northwest winds on Thursday. There will be just
enough mid level moisture in place through Thursday for a few
buildups during the afternoon and early evening hours in the White
Mountains, especially Thursday. Any storms that do develop will be
dry, with gusty/erratic winds and lightning, but little to no
measurable rainfall.
AZZ150-142215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
432 AM MST Tue May 14 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 15 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............14314 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 11 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (200396 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........55 to 65 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............29 to 39 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 20 mph becoming south
around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 17 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............12818 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 10 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (166634 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 85 to 95.
Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 19 pct.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 8 to 17 pct.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 93 to 103. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 14 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 92 to 102.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 89 to 99.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-142215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
432 AM MST Tue May 14 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 16 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............12375 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 8 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (136125 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........50 to 60 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............33 to 43 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 16 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............11142 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 9 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (167130 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 78 to 88. West
wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 11 to 19 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 83 to 93. West wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 10 to 17 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 87 to 97.
Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 13 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 87 to 97.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 84 to 94.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-142215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
432 AM MST Tue May 14 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 17 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............13954 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 7 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (181402 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........50 to 60 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............31 to 41 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
sunny.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 17 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............12475 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 9 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (212075 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 78 to 88. West
wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 11 to 21 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 83 to 93. Northwest
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 10 to 17 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 86 to 96. West
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 13 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 87 to 97.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 85 to 95.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-142215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
432 AM MST Tue May 14 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........71 to 81 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............11 to 21 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............13691 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northeast 7 knots shifting to the
southwest 13 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (177983 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........46 to 56 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............36 to 46 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 15 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........70 to 80 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............13 to 23 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............11382 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 7 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (159348 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of mainly dry
thunderstorms. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 66 to 76.
Northwest wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 73 to 83. Northwest
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 13 to 21 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 75 to 85.
Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 16 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 77 to 87.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 75 to 85.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-142215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
432 AM MST Tue May 14 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........72 to 82 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 20 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............14972 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 8 knots shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (194636 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........48 to 58 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........70 to 80 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............11 to 21 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph increasing to
around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 5 mph increasing to
around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............12892 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 9 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (174042 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 68 to 78. West
wind around 25 mph. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 72 to 82. West wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 12 to 22 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 76 to 86. West
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 16 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 78 to 88.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 74 to 84.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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