Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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000
FXUS63 KUNR 162246
AFDUNR

Area Forecast Discussion For Western SD and Northeastern WY
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
446 PM MDT Sat Mar 16 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...
130 PM MDT Sat Mar 16 2024

-Dry weather continues. Breezy at times with elevated fire
 weather conditions through Mon/Tue

-Cooler with increasing chances for precipitation for the last
 half of the week

&&

.DISCUSSION...(This Evening Through Saturday)
Issued at 130 PM MDT Sat Mar 16 2024

Western CONUS ridge will remain in place through mid week, with
the Dakotas on the eastern edge of the ridge. Mean upper trough
over central Canada has and will continue to support cool fronts
into the FA, with one currently progressing through the area,
supporting breezy winds. Cooler conds expect Sunday, with WAA
ensuing Monday ahead of the next NW flow impulse, supporting,
rebounding temps well into the 60s. Sfc trough will shift through
the FA Tues and stall over or near the SW FA, with a cooling trend
then ensuing through the end of the week. Associated baroclinic
zone will provide the pathway for additional impulses, which may
allow for a few snow showers later in the week as the pattern
becomes more unsettled. Mainly dry conds can be expected most
places until the weekend when a western CONUS trough will cross
the Rockies and support unsettled and cooler conds into early next
week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS Through 00Z Sunday Evening)
Issued At 444 PM MDT Sat Mar 16 2024

Gusty northwest winds over the western SD plains will decrease
early this evening. Low to mid level clouds are expected to cross
into the area tonight, but conditions should generally remain VFR
through the forecast period.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
WY...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION/KEY MESSAGES...JC
AVIATION...13


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