Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
646
FXUS64 KEPZ 102130
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
230 PM MST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN A DRY AND SEASONABLY WARM
WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK. SKIES
WILL VARY FROM SUNNY TO MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A FEW HIGH CLOUDS
STREAMING OVERHEAD. WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT THROUGH THE
PERIOD. DAY TIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE 8 TO 12 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
MOST DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
VERY LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED WITH OUR CURRENT DRY AND QUIET
WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH NEXT WEEK. THE LOCAL WEATHER PATTERN
REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
ANCHORED OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL BRING MILD WEATHER
CONDITIONS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT
WINDS AND ABOVE NORMAL DAY TIME TEMPERATURES. AFTERNOON HIGHS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 70S WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LOWLANDS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

A DRY AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BRIEFLY SUPPRESS THE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE LATE SUNDAY AS IT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION. THIS
WILL ALLOW A COOL FRONT TO PUSH INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH ON
MONDAY. AS A RESULT TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER ON
MONDAY BUT WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY FROM THE
NORTH BUT WILL REMAIN LIGHT.

LONG RANGE MODELS HAVE CONVERGED ON HAVING THE HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE REBUILD OVER THE STATE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WITH DRY
CONDITIONS...MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...LIGHT WINDS AND ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. AFTERNOON HIGHS SHOULD STAY IN THE LOWER TO
MID 70S ACROSS THE DESERT LOWLANDS.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 11/00Z-12/00Z...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN U.S.
WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE MOSTLY CLEAR AND DRY WX THRU THE FCST PD. A
MINOR IMPULSE WILL BRING SOME HI CLOUDS TONIGHT OVR NMEX AND MOVE
OUT THURSDAY, WIND WILL BE GNLY LGT NE-NW  ARN 5 KNOTS BECOMING WSW-
WNW 10G17KTS AFT 18Z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER... LARGE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN U.S.
GIVING US NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. MINOR SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER
EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE FOUR CORNERS
WILL GIVE US SOME LIGHT TO BREEZY W TO NW SURFACE WINDS AT TIMES.
SKIES WILL REMAIN GENERALLY CLEAR TO A FEW HIGH CLOUDS AT TIMES WITH
TEMPS GRADUALLY INCREASING THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 38  72  39  73 /   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           34  70  36  72 /   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              31  72  32  71 /   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              33  70  33  71 /   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              30  53  31  56 /   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   35  70  34  71 /   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             33  69  33  69 /   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  28  73  31  73 /   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               30  72  30  73 /   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      39  72  40  73 /   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               29  71  32  73 /   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            35  72  37  74 /   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              38  69  40  70 /   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  33  71  36  73 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            32  72  34  72 /   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          37  72  37  71 /   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           27  71  29  71 /   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   30  72  31  73 /   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                30  71  33  73 /   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               37  71  38  71 /   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 37  64  35  67 /   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               30  62  31  64 /   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                37  62  35  63 /   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 33  68  32  68 /   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               33  71  32  71 /   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               30  71  32  72 /   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            23  70  25  69 /   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  29  70  31  70 /   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   23  72  25  73 /   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              22  73  25  73 /   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 32  71  32  70 /   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  32  74  32  75 /   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 29  74  30  74 /   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          30  73  31  73 /   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              34  74  33  74 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

04/20 LUNDEEN/NOVLAN



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.