Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 120935
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
435 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

.DISCUSSION...

IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING ARCTIC COLD FRONT...LAKE SNOWS WILL
LIFT NORTHWARD INTO THE BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN AREAS AND INTENSIFY
TODAY...BEFORE BEING SHUNTED BACK SOUTHWARD BY THE FRONT ITSELF LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...WITH THE FRONT ALSO BRINGING A MORE
GENERAL BURST OF SNOWFALL TO THE REGION. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...
A TRULY BONE CHILLING AIRMASS WILL THEN OVERSPREAD THE REGION LATER
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH BOTH TEMPERATURES AND WIND
CHILLS DROPPING TO DANGEROUSLY LOW VALUES.

NYZ001-002-010-011-122115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
435 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     90           80           60
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW         SNOW SNOW SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       24           -3            2
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 12                     NW 23
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 18         W 16        NW 24
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.23         0.16         0.06
PRECIP DURATION                    10           11            4
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               59           86           57
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4120           70         5670
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 25         W 26        NW 29
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              103000         1820       164430
DISPERSION INDEX                  103            2          164
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-122115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
435 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40          100           50
PRECIP TYPE              SNOW SHOWERS         SNOW SNOW SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       20           -5            2
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 12                     NW 21
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 14         W 14        NW 24
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.06         0.23         0.07
PRECIP DURATION                     2           12            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               59           87           58
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6100           70         5200
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 24         W 22        NW 31
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              146400         1540       161200
DISPERSION INDEX                  146            2          161
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-122115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
435 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           90           80
PRECIP TYPE              SNOW SHOWERS         SNOW SNOW SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       25           -3            3
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 12                     NW 25
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 15         W 13        NW 28
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.02         0.20         0.11
PRECIP DURATION                     1           11           10
PRECIP BEGIN                    12 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               50           88           59
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7020           70         6690
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 25        SW 22        NW 35
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              175500         1540       234150
DISPERSION INDEX                  176            2          234
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-122115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
435 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           90            0
PRECIP TYPE              SNOW SHOWERS         SNOW         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       23          -13           -1
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 11                     NW 16
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 15        SW 12        NW 18
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.14         0.27         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     7           12
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         6 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               58           99           56
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6040           70         6520
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 26        SW 24        NW 24
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              157040         1680       156480
DISPERSION INDEX                  157            2          156
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AND AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. LOWS AROUND
10 BELOW.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 9.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT AS COLD. LOWS
AROUND 6. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS AROUND 30.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S.

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


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