Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 010741
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
341 AM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...
COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA TODAY. REMAINS OF A
STATIONARY FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH AS A COASTAL TROUGH ON FRIDAY
THEN STALL OVER THE AREA DURING THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING GOOD
RAIN CHANCES...WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE...FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY. MORE SEASONABLE WEATHER WILL DEVELOP THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-012345-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
341 AM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           80           70
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   5            5            4
MAX/MIN TEMP          86           70           82
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E  5         SE  5        S  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  7        S  5         SE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.77         0.45         0.38
PRECIP DURATION       10           9            9
INVERSION             79/1000      2000         77/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        64           98           72
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4580                      4260
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     S 15
VENTILATION RATE      41220                     63900
ADI EARLY             23 FAIR      19 GEN POOR  27 FAIR
ADI LATE              30 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  46 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-012345-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
341 AM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           80           70
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   5            5            4
MAX/MIN TEMP          85           70           83
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E  5         E  3         LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  5        LGT/VAR      SE  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.73         0.43         0.36
PRECIP DURATION       9            9            9
INVERSION             77/1000      2000         75/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        68           98           69
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4750                      4690
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      S 12
VENTILATION RATE      66500                     56280
ADI EARLY             27 FAIR      24 FAIR      21 FAIR
ADI LATE              41 GEN GOOD  2 VERY POOR  41 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            7            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-012345-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
341 AM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           70           70
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            4
MAX/MIN TEMP          86           70           84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SE  5        SE  5        E  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  7        SE  4        SE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.51         0.30         0.34
PRECIP DURATION       9            9            9
INVERSION             79/1000      2000         78/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        65           98           68
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5080                      4610
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      S  9
VENTILATION RATE      66040                     41490
ADI EARLY             28 FAIR      25 FAIR      14 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              39 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  28 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            6            7
MAX LVORI LATE        3            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS
IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-012345-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
341 AM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           70           70
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            4
MAX/MIN TEMP          86           70           84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E  5         E  3         LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  4        LGT/VAR      E  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.31         0.32
PRECIP DURATION       8            9            9
INVERSION             78/1000      2000         76/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        65           99           66
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4930                      4990
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      S  3
VENTILATION RATE      64090                     14970
ADI EARLY             28 FAIR      29 FAIR      14 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              40 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  16 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            7            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS
IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

40




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