Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 032005
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
305 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT RAPIDLY NORTHWARD ACROSS THE CAROLINAS
OVERNIGHT...ALLOWING SOUTHWEST WINDS TO COMPLETELY SCOUR OUT THE
COLD AIR...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE 70S WEDNESDAY AWAY
FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST. RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH...WITH SHARPLY COLDER AIR
INVADING THE REGION INTO FRIDAY...LINGERING THROUGH SATURDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE TO HIGH.

NCZ105>110-041215-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
305 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           30           20           90
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          49           74           58           67
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  3         SW 10        SW 12 G21    SW 12
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW  6        SW 15 G22    SW 11        W 13 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.02         0.18
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            7
INVERSION             1900         64/1000      1800         64/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        95           58           89           52
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            5            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1670                      690
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     SW 18
VENTILATION RATE                   35070                     12420
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      22 FAIR      22 FAIR      22 FAIR
ADI LATE              11 POOR      37 FAIR      14 GEN POOR  22 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            5            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        5            3            4            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. MAXIMUM RH 81 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
79 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ096-099-041215-
BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
305 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           20           30           90
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          45           77           60           69
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G22    S 11         SW 11
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW  6        SW 15 G23    SW 11        NW 12 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.02         0.25
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            7
INVERSION             1900         66/1000      1800         66/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        94           55           88           51
DSI                                2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            4            5            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3600                      1660
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     W 16
VENTILATION RATE                   75600                     26560
ADI EARLY             5 VERY POOR  34 FAIR      28 FAIR      26 FAIR
ADI LATE              11 POOR      58 GEN GOOD  14 GEN POOR  27 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        6            2            4            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. MAXIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
32 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
73 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-SCZ017-024-041215-
ROBESON-MARLBORO-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...BENNETTSVILLE...DILLON
305 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           20           30           90
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          41           77           60           68
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      SW 11 G22    SW 10        SW 11
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW  6        SW 17 G25    SW 11        NW 11 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.03         0.33
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            8
INVERSION             1900         65/1000      1800         64/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        97           53           86           47
DSI                                2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4440                      1500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     W 15
VENTILATION RATE                   102120                    22500
ADI EARLY             6 VERY POOR  36 FAIR      31 FAIR      23 FAIR
ADI LATE              11 POOR      69 GOOD      14 GEN POOR  24 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        7            1            4            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. MAXIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
31 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
69 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
39 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 82 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-041215-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
305 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           20           20           90
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          48           77           60           73
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G21    S 12         SW 12
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW  6        SW 15 G22    SW 11        W 14 G22
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.15
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            7
INVERSION             1900         66/1000      1800         67/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        92           53           90           51
DSI                                2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2660                      1790
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     SW 21
VENTILATION RATE                   55860                     37590
ADI EARLY             4 VERY POOR  23 FAIR      26 FAIR      30 FAIR
ADI LATE              11 POOR      47 GEN GOOD  14 GEN POOR  39 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        5            3            4            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 30.
MAXIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ023-032-033-039-041215-
DARLINGTON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DARLINGTON...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
305 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           20           20           90
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          43           78           61           75
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G21    S 10         SW 12
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S  5         SW 15 G23    SW 10        W 13 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.22
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            7
INVERSION             1900         68/1000      1800         68/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        97           49           88           48
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4810                      2280
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     W 18
VENTILATION RATE                   101010                    41040
ADI EARLY             5 VERY POOR  34 FAIR      32 FAIR      34 FAIR
ADI LATE              10 POOR      66 GOOD      14 GEN POOR  42 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        6            1            4            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 30.
MAXIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
71 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

8




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