Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 212029
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
329 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES UP ALONG THE
CAROLINA COAST. A WEDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP IT COOL AND CLOUDY
INTO TUESDAY. AS THE WEDGE BREAKS DOWN LATER TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT...SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND PERSIST INTO A WARM WEDNESDAY. IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT...DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED TO FINALLY REACH THE
AREA ON CHRISTMAS DAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE AREA FROM
THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE WEEK WILL MOVE OFFSHORE WITH ANOTHER COLD
FRONT POSSIBLY MOVING ACROSS THE AREA LATE NEXT WEEKEND.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-221230-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
329 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           80           20           30
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          42           54           42           57
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  8        N  7         N  3         LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  8        N  6         LGT/VAR      E  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.07         0.01         0.06
PRECIP DURATION       9            5            1            2
INVERSION             1800         CONTINUED    CONTINUED    CONTINUED
MAX/MIN RH (%)        98           87           100          94
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                340                       250
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      NE  1
VENTILATION RATE                   2380                      250
ADI EARLY             11 POOR      9 POOR       6 VERY POOR  5 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              9 POOR       9 POOR       2 VERY POOR  8 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            8            10           10
MAX LVORI LATE        6            7            10           8

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY FOG.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
NEAR 100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS 90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM
RH 51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
58 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-221230-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
329 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           80           20           60
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          39           50           39           55
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  7        N  8         N  3         LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  7        N  7         LGT/VAR      E  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.06         0.02         0.05
PRECIP DURATION       10           5            1            2
INVERSION             1800         CONTINUED    CONTINUED    CONTINUED
MAX/MIN RH (%)        98           85           100          99
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                410                       250
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      NE  1
VENTILATION RATE                   3280                      250
ADI EARLY             11 POOR      10 POOR      7 POOR       5 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              8 POOR       10 POOR      2 VERY POOR  8 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            8            9            10
MAX LVORI LATE        5            6            10           8

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR
100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS 90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 78 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM
RH 47 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-221230-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
329 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           70           20           50
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          42           53           42           58
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  8        N  7         N  3         E  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  7        N  5         LGT/VAR      SE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.05         0.02         0.08
PRECIP DURATION       8            4            1            2
INVERSION             1800         CONTINUED    CONTINUED    CONTINUED
MAX/MIN RH (%)        96           84           100          97
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                410                       250
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      NE  2
VENTILATION RATE                   2460                      500
ADI EARLY             11 POOR      9 POOR       5 VERY POOR  6 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              8 POOR       8 POOR       2 VERY POOR  7 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            7            9            10
MAX LVORI LATE        5            6            9            8

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR
100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS 90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 80 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-221230-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
329 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           80           20           80
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          40           47           39           52
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  8        NE  8        NE  3        NE  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  9        NE  6        LGT/VAR      E  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.05         0.02         0.07
PRECIP DURATION       10           6            1            5
INVERSION             1800         CONTINUED    CONTINUED    CONTINUED
MAX/MIN RH (%)        95           83           100          99
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                390                       260
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      NE  2
VENTILATION RATE                   2730                      520
ADI EARLY             11 POOR      10 POOR      6 VERY POOR  6 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              9 POOR       10 POOR      2 VERY POOR  8 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            8            9            10
MAX LVORI LATE        5            5            9            8

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR
100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF SHOWERS 90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 77 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-221230-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
329 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           70           20           70
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          41           51           40           56
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  8        N  7         NE  3        LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  8        N  5         LGT/VAR      SE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.05         0.02         0.08
PRECIP DURATION       9            4            1            5
INVERSION             1800         CONTINUED    CONTINUED    CONTINUED
MAX/MIN RH (%)        97           82           100          99
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                380                       250
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      NE  2
VENTILATION RATE                   2280                      500
ADI EARLY             11 POOR      9 POOR       5 VERY POOR  5 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              8 POOR       7 POOR       2 VERY POOR  7 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            8            9            10
MAX LVORI LATE        5            6            9            8

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR
100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF SHOWERS 90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 80 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27




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