Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 182010
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
310 PM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A strong cold front arrives late tonight and Sunday morning. The
front may be accompanied by some gusty late night showers. The front
will usher in much colder and drier air with Monday seeing the lowest
daytime highs with the possibility for a freeze or frost late Sunday
night and Monday night. Temperatures will moderate Tuesday and
Wednesday. Forecast uncertainty increases mid to late next week as
another cold front moves into the area. The weather could turn
unsettled and will hinge on the track of developing low pressure in
the Gulf of Mexico.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-191215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
310 PM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        20           30           0            0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          57           65           33           57
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 11 G25    NW 11 G26    NW  8        N  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 14 G30    NW 10        N  6         N  3
Precip amount         0.02         0.02         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1            1
Inversion             None         None         1900         42/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        95           39           77           32
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          4            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4520                      2680
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 18                     N  7
Ventilation rate                   81360                     18760
ADI early             28 Fair      75 Good      7 poor       31 Fair
ADI late              15 Gen poor  68 Good      5 Very poor  27 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            4            3            3
Max LVORI late        4            1            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 78 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 54 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
54 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-191215-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
310 PM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        30           20           0            0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           63           31           57
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 11 G24    NW 10        NW  6        N  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 14 G26    NW 10        NW  4        LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.03         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1            0
Inversion             None         None         1900         41/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        88           38           78           30
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          4            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4610                      2910
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 18                     N  2
Ventilation rate                   82980                     5820
ADI early             26 Fair      68 Good      8 poor       25 Fair
ADI late              15 Gen poor  71 Good      3 Very poor  22 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            4            3            4
Max LVORI late        4            1            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light and variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 78 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 52 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-191215-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
310 PM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        30           20           0            0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           62           30           57
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 12 G25    NW 10        NW  6        NW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 17 G29    NW 10        NW  4        LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.03         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1            0
Inversion             None         None         1900         41/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        82           36           81           29
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4690                      3190
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 18                     W  2
Ventilation rate                   84420                     6380
ADI early             20 Gen poor  66 Good      8 poor       22 Fair
ADI late              20 Gen poor  74 Good      3 Very poor  17 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       3            3            3            4
Max LVORI late        3            1            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows around 40. Maximum RH 80 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
96 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-191215-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
310 PM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        20           20           0            0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          57           65           33           58
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 11 G24    NW 11 G21    NW  7        N  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 13 G25    NW 10        N  6         NE  3
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1            0
Inversion             None         None         1900         43/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        90           37           77           30
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          4            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4530                      2600
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 18                     N  8
Ventilation rate                   81540                     20800
ADI early             27 Fair      60 Gen good  7 poor       27 Fair
ADI late              14 Gen poor  71 Good      4 Very poor  26 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            4            3            4
Max LVORI late        4            1            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 81 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 54 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
55 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-191215-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
310 PM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        30           20           0            0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           64           32           58
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 11 G22    NW 10        NW  6        N  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 14 G25    NW 10        N  3         LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1            0
Inversion             None         None         1900         42/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        87           36           81           29
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          3            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4700                      2830
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 18                     NE  2
Ventilation rate                   84600                     5660
ADI early             24 Fair      62 Good      8 poor       26 Fair
ADI late              16 Gen poor  71 Good      3 Very poor  23 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            4            3            4
Max LVORI late        4            1            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light and variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 81 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-191215-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
310 PM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        40           0            0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          55           62           30           58
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 11 G23    NW  9        NW  6        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 17 G26    NW 10        NW  3        LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             None         None         1900         41/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        79           35           82           30
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          3            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4730                      3130
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 20                     SW  2
Ventilation rate                   94600                     6260
ADI early             17 Gen poor  61 Good      7 poor       17 Gen poor
ADI late              19 Gen poor  80 Good      2 Very poor  14 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       3            3            3            4
Max LVORI late        4            1            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light and variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows around 40. Maximum RH 81 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
97 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
48 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

5



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