Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 261007
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
607 AM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will keep dry and abnormally warm
conditions across eastern Kentucky for another couple of days. RH
values will remain on the lower end during this time, in the mid
30 to mid 40 percent range today, and in the 40 percent range on
Wednesday. A cold front will cross eastern Kentucky late
Wednesday and Wednesday night, ushering an airmass more typical of
late September. A secondary cold front will move across the area
late Friday and Friday night, reinforcing cold air and
introducing below normal temperatures for the weekend. Both cold
fronts are expected to be dry with only a few sprinkles in the
forecast Wednesday night.

KYZ068-079-083-084-262030-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
607 AM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Areas of dense valley fog in the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 88.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........35-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    north in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 0 to 5 mph shifting to the north around 5
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....34.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (33800 knot-ft).
ADI.................2 increasing to 30 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog developing towards
                    dawn.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph until early
                    morning becoming light.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................24 decreasing to 1 late.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Areas of valley fog in the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 87.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........41-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north up to 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 0 mph increasing to north around 10
                    mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....61.
Vent Rate...........Good (60800 knot-ft).
ADI.................37 increasing to 50 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-262030-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
607 AM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Areas of dense valley fog in the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 87.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........38-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north up to 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 0 to 5 mph shifting to the north
                    around 5 mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....36.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (36000 knot-ft).
ADI.................2 increasing to 33 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................25 decreasing to 1 late.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Areas of valley fog in the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 87.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........42-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 5 mph shifting to the north in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion Index....59.
Vent Rate...........Good (59300 knot-ft).
ADI.................43.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-262030-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
607 AM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Areas of dense valley fog in the morning.
Max Temperature.....84-89.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........34-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    north in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 0 mph shifting to the north 5
                    to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....44.
Vent Rate...........Fair (44400 knot-ft).
ADI.................6 increasing to 40 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Areas of valley fog developing towards
                    dawn.
Min Temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest late.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................33 decreasing to 1 late.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Areas of valley fog in the morning.
Max Temperature.....83-88.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........40-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 0 mph increasing to north
                    around 10 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....54.
Vent Rate...........Good (54100 knot-ft).
ADI.................34 increasing to 46 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Sprinkles possible. Lows in the
lower 60s. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cooler. Mostly clear. Areas of dense valley fog
developing towards dawn. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Patchy dense valley fog in the morning. Highs in the
lower 70s. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Patchy dense valley fog developing towards
dawn. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest winds around 5 mph in the
evening.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Patchy dense valley fog in the morning. Highs in the
upper 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of valley dense fog developing
towards dawn. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Areas of dense valley fog in the morning. Highs in the
lower 70s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of dense valley fog developing
towards dawn. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Patchy dense valley fog in the morning. Highs in the
mid 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$
JMW



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