Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 302055
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
455 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

.DISCUSSION...Relative humidities in the 30s this afternoon will begin
to increase this evening as moisture increases ahead of a cold front.
Showers and thunderstorms will subsequently move into eastern Kentucky
this evening through tonight and into Friday. Southerly winds will
continue to gust to 20-30 mph at times through early tonight, before
diminishing and veering southwesterly for Friday. While sustained speeds
may increase to 10-15 mph at times Friday afternoon, a much cooler airmass
combined with lingering moisture and recent rainfall will keep fire
weather concerns low. Above normal warmth and RH values in the 30s look
to return Sunday afternoon.


KYZ068-079-083-084-311030-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
455 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    in the evening, then rain showers and
                    thunderstorms late.
Min Temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................5.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................84 decreasing to 25 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......100 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.54 - 0.77 inches.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....Around 54.
   24 hr trend......26 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........71-81 percent.
   24 hr trend......42 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....70.
Vent Rate...........Good (69600 knot-ft).
ADI.................57.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.18 inches.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
                    in the evening.
Min Temperature.....Around 44.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........96 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................55 decreasing to 14 late.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Max Temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........46-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....27.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27100 knot-ft).
ADI.................26.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-311030-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
455 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    in the evening, then rain showers and
                    thunderstorms late.
Min Temperature.....Around 54.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................5.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................79 decreasing to 27 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......100 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.39 - 0.69 inches.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......27 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........72-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......46 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................5.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....77.
Vent Rate...........Good (76800 knot-ft).
ADI.................59.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.22 - 0.36 inches.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the
                    evening, then a slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 44.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................54 decreasing to 18 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 inches.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max Temperature.....Around 56.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........51-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....34.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (33800 knot-ft).
ADI.................30.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-311030-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
455 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then rain showers
                    and thunderstorms late.
Min Temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................5.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................79 decreasing to 37 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......100 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.28 - 0.66 inches.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......26 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........68-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......41 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................5.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....88.
Vent Rate...........Good (87500 knot-ft).
ADI.................65.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.16 - 0.42 inches.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the
                    evening, then a slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 43.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................58 decreasing to 17 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......40 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.04 inches.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. A slight chance of rain showers
                    in the morning.
Max Temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........46-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....31.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (31200 knot-ft).
ADI.................29.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Warmer. Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 50s. East winds around 5 mph in the evening.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 70. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms in the
evening, then showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms
late. Lows in the lower 50s. Southeast winds around 5 mph
shifting to the west late.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. North
winds around 5 mph shifting to the east late.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
morning, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$
GUSEMAN



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