Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 121015
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
615 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE NORTHEASTERN U.S.
WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS
HIGH WILL BRING DRY WEATHER INTO SUNDAY ALONG WITH WARM
TEMPERATURES. A WEAKENING COLD FRONT AND A PASSING UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM ON
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HOWEVER...A STRONGER COLD FRONT AND
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL BRING A PERIOD OF UNSETTLED WEATHER FROM
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. MUCH COOLER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE AREA
BY MIDWEEK BEHIND THE DEPARTING COLD FRONT.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-130315-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...
PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...PIKEVILLE
615 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....34.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (33700 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65 VALLEYS...AROUND 70 RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT VALLEYS...79-88 PERCENT RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....118.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (118000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY...THEN A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...
THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE
AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
JP





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