Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 102130
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
430 PM EST SAT DEC 10 2016

...LOW HUMIDITY ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KY...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA TONIGHT
AND TEMPERATURES WILL MODIFY ON SUNDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT. LOW HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
AREA ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE WIDESPREAD RAIN MOVES INTO THE
AREA ON SUNDAY NIGHT. A WEAK SYSTEM WILL BRING SMALL CHANCES FOR
LIGHT PRECIPTATION AT MIDWEEK. ANOTHER SYSTEM COULD BRING
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION TO END NEXT WEEK...BUT TIMING AND THE
PRECIPITATION TYPE ARE UNCERTAIN.

KYZ068-079-083-084-110930-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRODHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...BURNSIDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
430 PM EST SAT DEC 10 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-29.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........71-81 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................4.
LVORI...............3.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....29.
VENT RATE...........POOR (28900 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................20 INCREASING TO 37 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................17.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.54 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN A
                    CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8.
VENT RATE...........POOR (7900 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................9.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.20 - 0.33 INCHES.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-110930-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...INEZ
430 PM EST SAT DEC 10 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-28.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................3.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....30.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (29900 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................16 INCREASING TO 39 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................19.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.44 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....15.
VENT RATE...........POOR (15200 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................16.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.06 - 0.28 INCHES.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-110930-
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...LONDON...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
430 PM EST SAT DEC 10 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-28.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........69-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................4.
LVORI...............3.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-34 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....34.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (34000 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................19 INCREASING TO 45 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................18.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.34 - 0.55 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN A
                    CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......38 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10.
VENT RATE...........POOR (9600 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................12.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.21 - 0.47 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND
SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...NOT AS COLD. CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE
EVENING...THEN SNOW LIKELY LATE. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MILDER. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN
LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
JP



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