Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 212136
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
336 PM CST Tue Feb 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Generally dry weather is anticipated Wednesday and Thursday with
afternoon high temperatures in the mid to upper 70s and lows in
the mid 50s to near 60 degrees.

There is a chance for showers and thunderstorms across the Mid-
South late Friday, but dry weather is expected across the area
for much of the weekend. High temperatures on Saturday and Sunday
are forecast to be in the 50s in the wake of a cold front.


ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-221130-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
336 PM CST Tue Feb 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     20           0            0            0
Precip Type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      1
Precip Begins         6 PM
Precip Ends           12 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      53 (-4)      72 (+6)      55           76
RH % (24h Trend)      100 (+3)     60 (-12)     98           54
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   S 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 2-6        S 8-12 G18
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 982                       1167
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3223                      3830
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1068                      1253
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3505                      4112
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  2                     S 11
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  5                     S 24
Vent Index (m2/s)                  2136                      13783
Category Day                       2                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              64                        67
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               E  2                      S 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               E  5                      S 22
Dispersion Index      8            12           5            57
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            3            3
Stability             E            B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. West winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph becoming northeast after midnight.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
43 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of rain showers. Partly cloudy.
Lows in the lower 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-221130-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
336 PM CST Tue Feb 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     30           0            0            0
Precip Type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      1
Precip Begins         6 PM
Precip Ends           12 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      54 (-4)      73 (+6)      55           78
RH % (24h Trend)      100 (+4)     57 (-10)     98           51
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   S 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 8-12
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1196                      1154
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3924                      3786
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1258                      1216
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                4128                      3990
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  2                     S 10
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  3                     S 22
Vent Index (m2/s)                  2516                      12160
Category Day                       2                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              65                        69
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               NE  2                     S  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               NE  5                     S 20
Dispersion Index      8            9            4            53
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            3            3
Stability             F            B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. West winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph becoming northeast after midnight.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows
in the mid 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows
in the mid 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-221130-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
336 PM CST Tue Feb 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     30           0            0            0
Precip Type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      2
Precip Begins         6 PM
Precip Ends           6 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      53 (-4)      72 (+4)      56           76
RH % (24h Trend)      100 (+10)    60 (-1)      96           52
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   S 2-6
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1065                      1368
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3495                      4487
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1186                      1491
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3892                      4893
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  2                     S 10
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  5                     S 22
Vent Index (m2/s)                  2372                      14910
Category Day                       2                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              64                        67
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  2                     S  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE  4                     S 18
Dispersion Index      6            10           4            54
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            3            3
Stability             D            B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph becoming northeast after midnight.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of rain showers. Partly cloudy.
Lows in the upper 30s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A slight chance of rain showers. Partly sunny. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-221130-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
336 PM CST Tue Feb 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     40           0            0            0
Precip Type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      2
Precip Begins         6 PM
Precip Ends           6 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      54 (-4)      73 (+6)      56           78
RH % (24h Trend)      100 (+6)     57 (-5)      97           50
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   S 2-6
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1069                      1329
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3506                      4360
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1190                      1453
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3904                      4766
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  1                     S 10
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  2                     S 22
Vent Index (m2/s)                  1190                      14530
Category Day                       1                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              65                        68
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               E  2                      S  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               E  4                      S 18
Dispersion Index      9            9            4            49
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            3            3
Stability             D            B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph becoming northeast after midnight.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A slight chance of rain showers. Partly sunny. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows
in the lower 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-221130-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
336 PM CST Tue Feb 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     40           0            0            0
Precip Type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      2
Precip Begins         6 PM
Precip Ends           6 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      54 (-4)      74 (+6)      55           79
RH % (24h Trend)      100 (+3)     56 (-11)     98           47
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   S 2-6
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 6-10
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1199                      1332
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3934                      4371
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1271                      1404
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                4170                      4607
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  1                      S  9
Transport Wnd (mph)                S  1                      S 20
Vent Index (m2/s)                  1271                      12636
Category Day                       1                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              65                        69
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               E  2                      S  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               E  4                      S 17
Dispersion Index      5            9            3            48
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            3            4
Stability             E            B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. North winds around
5 mph becoming northeast after midnight.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows
in the mid 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-221130-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
336 PM CST Tue Feb 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     60           20           0            0
Precip Type           showers      showers      NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.04         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            1
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   12 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      55 (-3)      73 (+6)      56           78
RH % (24h Trend)      100 (+8)     56 (-5)      96           47
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1097                      1398
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3598                      4586
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1221                      1523
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                4005                      4998
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  1                     S  8
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  2                     S 17
Vent Index (m2/s)                  1221                      12184
Category Day                       1                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              64                        69
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               NE  2                     S  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               NE  4                     S 14
Dispersion Index      10           10           3            44
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            3            3
Stability             D            B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 40 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows
in the lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

AC3



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