Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 230848
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
348 AM EST MON JAN 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES
ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. SOME HEAVIER DOWNPOURS COULD
RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING. RAIN WILL TAPER OFF LATE IN THE
DAY...BUT GUSTY WINDS WILL LINGER ALONG THE MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT.
DRIER AND COOLER WEATHER RETURNS TUESDAY BEFORE ANOTHER SYSTEM
BRINGS A CHANCE OF RAIN TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
348 AM EST MON JAN 23 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-12)  37-42 (-7)   47-52
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+13)  95-100 (-2)  61-66
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  8 G21                  W  8 G19
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G22    NW 11 G25    W  6 G18
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           20
PRECIP DURATION       7            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.11         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW 12
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 10 G21                  W 10 G19
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G22    NW 13 G25    W  8 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER
30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
348 AM EST MON JAN 23 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-13)  36-41 (-5)   45-50
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+15)  95-100 (-1)  57-62
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6 G25                 NW 11 G31
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G35    NW 17 G42    W  9 G22
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           20
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.15         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     NW 17
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G25                 NW 15 G31
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 17 G35    NW 22 G42    W 11 G22

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-241000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
348 AM EST MON JAN 23 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-15)  35-40 (-7)   49-54
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+15)  93-98 (-2)   43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 15 G38                 NW  8 G21
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G40    NW 15 G35    W  6
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           0
PRECIP DURATION       8            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.15         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 30                     NW 12
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               7 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 18 G38                 NW 10 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 20 G40    NW 18 G35    W  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-241000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
348 AM EST MON JAN 23 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-14)  37-42 (-7)   53-58
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+9)   91-96 (-6)   44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 15 G35                 NW  7 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G31    NW 11 G30    W  5
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0
PRECIP DURATION       3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.05         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 26                     NW  9
DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               8 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 19 G35                 NW  9 G17
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 17 G31    NW 15 G30    W  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-241000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
348 AM EST MON JAN 23 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-13)  37-42 (-6)   54-59
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+8)   91-96 (-6)   45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 14 G33                 NW  8 G22
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G32    NW 13 G32    W  5
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0
PRECIP DURATION       3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.05         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      3500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 24                     NW 10
DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               10 POOR
MAX LVORI             4                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 18 G33                 NW 10 G22
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 17 G32    NW 16 G32    W  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
348 AM EST MON JAN 23 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-13)  39-44 (-6)   49-54
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+15)  95-100 (-1)  56-61
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G27                 W  8 G20
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G29    W 13 G31     W  6 G15
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           20
PRECIP DURATION       7            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.11         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     W 10
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G27                 W 10 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G29    W 16 G31     W  8 G15

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
348 AM EST MON JAN 23 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-12)  39-44 (-8)   52-57
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+6)   90-95 (-5)   49-54
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 14 G31                 W  5 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G30    W 11 G28     LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0
PRECIP DURATION       3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.05         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 24                     W  6
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   9 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 18 G31                 W  7 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 17 G30    W 14 G28     SW  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-241000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
348 AM EST MON JAN 23 2017 /248 AM CST MON JAN 23 2017/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-12)  37-42 (-9)   54-59
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (0)    88-93 (-9)   44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 17 G37                 NW  6 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G37    NW 11 G30    LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 31                     NW  5
DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               6 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 21 G37                 NW  8 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 19 G37    NW 13 G30    SW  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$



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