Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 270843
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
443 AM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Chances for precipitation will increase today and Friday
as a cold front moves into the region. Some thunderstorms may become
strong to severe with damaging winds the main threat. Much cooler
and drier air is expected to move in for the weekend.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-280945-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
443 AM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      82-87 (-2)   65-70 (+1)   76-81
RH % (24h trend)      55-60 (+10)  95-100 (+4)  67-72
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     SW  5 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  9 G23
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           50           80
Precip duration       1            1            6
Precip begin          11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.33         0.29         0.71
LAL                   4            4            5
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6200                      4900
Transport wnd (mph)   W 12                      W 24
Dispersion            42 Gen good               61 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  6                     SW  6 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  8        LGT/VAR      SW 11 G23

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
60s to upper 70s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 70s to
mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s
to 80s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s.
South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-280945-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
443 AM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      79-84 (-5)   63-68 (+1)   74-79
RH % (24h trend)      54-59 (+7)   95-100 (+2)  63-68
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  6 G15                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  6 G15     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G24
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           40           80
Precip duration       1            1            6
Precip begin          11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.18         0.17         0.70
LAL                   4            3            5
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6400                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)   W 12                      W 24
Dispersion            34 Fair                   46 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  7 G15                 SW  5 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  8         LGT/VAR      SW 11 G24

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s to lower 80s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the 50s. North
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
60s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s
to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to
mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-280945-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
443 AM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      79-84 (-5)   65-70 (+2)   72-77
RH % (24h trend)      57-62 (+12)  95-100 (+2)  76-81
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  6 G16                 SW  6 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  7 G17     LGT/VAR      W 12 G38
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           30           80
Precip duration       1            1            6
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.14         0.11         0.81
LAL                   4            3            5
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6200                      5000
Transport wnd (mph)   W  9                      W 31
Dispersion            25 Fair                   49 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  8 G16                 SW  8 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  8 G17     SW  5        W 15 G38

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph shifting to the north less than 10 mph after midnight.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
60s to lower 80s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the 50s to lower
60s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the 60s to mid
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 60s
to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 60s to mid
80s. Light winds.

$$

TNZ087-102-280945-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
443 AM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      83-88 (-6)   68-73 (+3)   75-80
RH % (24h trend)      54-59 (+10)  93-98 (0)    76-81
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     S  5 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  9 G24
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           20           80
Precip duration       1            1            6
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.08         0.08         0.70
LAL                   3            3            5
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6100                      4800
Transport wnd (mph)   W 12                      SW 30
Dispersion            41 Gen good               70 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  7                     S  7 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW 11 G24

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
North winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s to
lower 60s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper
60s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 60s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to
mid 80s. Light winds.

$$

NCZ060-061-280945-
Nantahala National Forest-
443 AM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-4)   66-71 (+3)   75-80
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+8)   95-100 (-1)  80-85
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      W  8 G20
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           80
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            6
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.05         0.58
LAL                   3            3            5
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      5000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      W 29
DISPERSION            35 Fair                   67 Good
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        S  5         W  9 G20

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. North
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s to
lower 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 70s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to
mid 80s. Light winds.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-280945-
East Tennessee District East-
443 AM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      84-89 (-5)   67-72 (+1)   78-83
RH % (24h trend)      54-59 (+12)  94-99 (+3)   65-70
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G24
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           40           80
Precip duration       1            1            6
Precip begin          11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.20         0.19         0.77
LAL                   4            3            5
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6000                      4700
Transport wnd (mph)   W  9                      W 28
Dispersion            35 Fair                   77 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  7                     SW  5 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      SW 12 G24

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s to lower 80s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the 50s to lower
60s. North winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming
light.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
70s to upper 80s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-280945-
East Tennessee District West-
443 AM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      85-90 (-4)   68-73 (0)    76-81
RH % (24h trend)      55-60 (+9)   95-100 (+7)  74-79
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  5 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SW 10 G25
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           40           80
Precip duration       1            1            6
Precip begin          11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.14         0.20         0.89
LAL                   3            4            5
LASI                  3                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5800                      4300
Transport wnd (mph)   W  9                      W 28
Dispersion            38 Fair                   75 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  6                     S  7 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  6         LGT/VAR      SW 12 G25

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Northwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s to
lower 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s
to upper 80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s
to upper 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper
80s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-280945-
Cumberland District South-
443 AM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017 /343 AM CDT Thu Jul 27 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      87-92 (-1)   70-75 (+1)   77-82
RH % (24h trend)      52-57 (+2)   91-96 (0)    69-74
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     SW  7 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW 10 G27
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           30           80
Precip duration       1            1            6
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.08         0.12         0.71
LAL                   3            3            5
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6000                      4400
Transport wnd (mph)   W 14                      SW 26
Dispersion            57 Gen good               75 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  6                     SW  8 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  7         LGT/VAR      SW 13 G27

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. North
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s to
mid 60s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to
upper 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 80s.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 80s. Light
winds.

$$



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