Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
000
FNUS54 KMRX 211908
FWFMRX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT...WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION ON
WEDNESDAY...AND LINGER THROUGH THURSDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN
ON FRIDAY...AND CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 59-64 (+1) 79-84 (-3) 57-62 72-77
RH % (24H TREND) 87-92 (-5) 45-50 (-2) 90-95 45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) S 5 SW 7 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR S 9 SW 6 G16 W 11 G20
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 50 60 50
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.05 0.10 0.23 0.14
LAL 3 4 4 2
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6100 6900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 20 W 22
DISPERSION 68 GOOD 92 GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 57-62 (+1) 77-82 (-2) 56-61 73-78
RH % (24H TREND) 90-95 (-2) 46-51 (-2) 90-95 40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) S 6 W 6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) SW 5 S 8 G17 S 7 G15 W 11 G21
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 50 50 40
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.13 0.22 0.06
LAL 3 3 4 2
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6100 7600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 15 W 21
DISPERSION 44 GEN GOOD 90 GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ072-074-222015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 58-63 (+2) 76-81 (-3) 56-61 74-79
RH % (24H TREND) 90-95 (-5) 48-53 (-3) 88-93 33-38
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 7 G15 W 7 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) S 5 SW 10 G18 S 7 G15 W 11 G20
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 60 60 40
PRECIP DURATION 1 2 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.10 0.20 0.05
LAL 3 4 4 2
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6100 8100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 W 21
DISPERSION 49 GEN GOOD 88 GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ087-102-222015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 60-65 (+1) 78-83 (-6) 60-65 77-82
RH % (24H TREND) 85-90 (-10) 47-52 (0) 86-91 34-39
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) S 6 W 5 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) S 5 S 9 G16 LGT/VAR W 8 G17
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 60 50 30
PRECIP DURATION 1 2 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.09 0.19 0.04
LAL 3 4 4 3
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6200 7800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 20 W 21
DISPERSION 69 GOOD 103 VERY GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ060-061-222015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 59-64 (+2) 77-82 (-7) 59-64 76-81
RH % (24H TREND) 89-94 (-8) 49-54 (+2) 84-89 33-38
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) S 6 NW 6 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR S 8 G15 LGT/VAR NW 9 G17
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 50 50 30
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.11 0.18 0.03
LAL 3 4 4 3
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6400 8400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 17 W 22
DISPERSION 60 GEN GOOD 118 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI 4 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER
40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 60-65 (+2) 80-85 (-3) 58-63 75-80
RH % (24H TREND) 88-93 (-8) 46-51 (-2) 90-95 40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) S 5 SW 6 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 9 G16 SW 5 W 10 G18
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 50 50 40
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.10 0.22 0.09
LAL 3 4 4 2
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5800 5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 17 W 22
DISPERSION 65 GOOD 79 GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 61-66 (0) 80-85 (-4) 59-64 77-82
RH % (24H TREND) 85-90 (-10) 47-52 (-2) 87-92 38-43
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) S 6 SW 7 G19
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 9 G16 SW 5 W 10 G21
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 60 50 40
PRECIP DURATION 1 2 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.10 0.13 0.11
LAL 3 4 4 3
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6000 5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 23 W 23
DISPERSION 92 GOOD 85 GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013 /208 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013/
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 62-67 (0) 80-85 (-4) 60-65 78-83
RH % (24H TREND) 84-89 (-9) 47-52 (-2) 83-88 36-41
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 7 W 6 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 9 G16 LGT/VAR W 9 G19
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 60 50 30
PRECIP DURATION 1 2 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.09 0.04 0.07
LAL 3 4 3 3
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5900 5900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 22 W 22
DISPERSION 90 GOOD 89 GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$