Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 211908
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT...WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION ON
WEDNESDAY...AND LINGER THROUGH THURSDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN
ON FRIDAY...AND CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   79-84 (-3)   57-62        72-77
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-5)   45-50 (-2)   90-95        45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW  7 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9         SW  6 G16    W 11 G20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           60           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.10         0.23         0.14
LAL                   3            4            4            2
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     W 22
DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   92 GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   77-82 (-2)   56-61        73-78
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-2)   46-51 (-2)   90-95        40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      W  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        S  8 G17     S  7 G15     W 11 G21
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           50           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.13         0.22         0.06
LAL                   3            3            4            2
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      7600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     W 21
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               90 GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-222015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+2)   76-81 (-3)   56-61        74-79
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-5)   48-53 (-3)   88-93        33-38
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 W  7 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW 10 G18    S  7 G15     W 11 G20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           60           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.10         0.20         0.05
LAL                   3            4            4            2
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      8100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     W 21
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               88 GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-222015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   78-83 (-6)   60-65        77-82
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-10)  47-52 (0)    86-91        34-39
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      W  5 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  9 G16     LGT/VAR      W  8 G17
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           50           30
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         0.19         0.04
LAL                   3            4            4            3
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      7800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     W 21
DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   103 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-222015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   77-82 (-7)   59-64        76-81
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-8)   49-54 (+2)   84-89        33-38
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      NW  6 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           50           30
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.11         0.18         0.03
LAL                   3            4            4            3
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      8400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     W 22
DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               118 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI                          4                         3

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER
40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   80-85 (-3)   58-63        75-80
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-8)   46-51 (-2)   90-95        40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW  6 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    SW  5        W 10 G18
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           50           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.10         0.22         0.09
LAL                   3            4            4            2
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     W 22
DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   79 GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (0)    80-85 (-4)   59-64        77-82
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-10)  47-52 (-2)   87-92        38-43
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      SW  7 G19
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    SW  5        W 10 G21
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           50           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.10         0.13         0.11
LAL                   3            4            4            3
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     W 23
DISPERSION                         92 GOOD                   85 GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013 /208 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (0)    80-85 (-4)   60-65        78-83
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-9)   47-52 (-2)   83-88        36-41
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7                     W  6 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      W  9 G19
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           50           30
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         0.04         0.07
LAL                   3            4            3            3
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     W 22
DISPERSION                         90 GOOD                   89 GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$








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