Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 302007
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
406 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE TN VALLEY REGION THROUGH THURSDAY
WITH SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES. A COLD FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. MAINLY DURING THE MORNING
HOURS ON FRIDAY...SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH GUSTY
TO DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN CONCERNS.  SOME LINGERING SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE
FRIDAY NIGHT. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT WILL BE AROUND ONE INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. HIGH PRESSURE
INFLUENCES WILL ONCE AGAIN BUILD ACROSS THE TN VALLEY REGION THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AS TEMPERATURES FALL CLOSER TO SEASONABLE NORMAL VALUES. ANOTHER
WEAK FRONTAL PASSAGE IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY PROVIDING FOR A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HIGH PRESSURE INFLUENCES WILL ONCE AGAIN BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
MID PORTION OF NEXT WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES CONTINUING NEAR SEASONABLE
NORMAL VALUES.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-010930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
407 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (0)    77-82 (+2)   53-58        77-82
RH % (24H TREND)
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7800                      4500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      SW  8
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-010930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
407 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-2)   74-79 (+3)   51-56        74-79
RH % (24H TREND)
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7900                      4900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      W  6
DISPERSION                         9 POOR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-010930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
407 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-2)   75-80 (+3)   53-58        76-81
RH % (24H TREND)
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      5800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      SW  6
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-010930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
407 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    79-84 (+2)   56-61        79-84
RH % (24H TREND)
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      5800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      SW  8
DISPERSION                         7 POOR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-010930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
407 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   78-83 (+1)   55-60        78-83
RH % (24H TREND)
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      7200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      SW  7
DISPERSION                         9 POOR
MAX LVORI                          4

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-010930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
407 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   79-84 (+3)   54-59        80-85
RH % (24H TREND)
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      4400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      SW  6
DISPERSION                         7 POOR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-010930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
407 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   79-84 (+1)   57-62        80-85
RH % (24H TREND)
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     SW  9
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-010930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
407 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014 /307 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (0)    81-86 (+2)   59-64        81-86
RH % (24H TREND)
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     S 12
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$
JBW/OHX







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