Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA

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FNUS86 KSGX 261139
FWLSGX
SGXWRKECC
WORK DISCUSSION FOR SAN DIEGO FIRE WEATHER ECC DISPATCH FORECASTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
339 AM PDT MON JAN 26 2015

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##           ECC033, ECC034 or ECC035-                  ##
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##                LAXECCSGX                             ##
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##    discussions in the fire weather forecast (and     ##
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SUMMARY OF FWF DISCUSSIONS

Discussion from LAXFWFSGX


A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL BRING PERIODS OF
SHOWERS THROUGH THIS EVENING...DECREASING LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY
TUESDAY. DRY FOR WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM
THE SOUTHWEST WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR LATE IN THE WEEK.


Discussion from LAXFWFLOX

A PROLONGED PERIOD OF OFFSHORE FLOW WILL MAINTAIN
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS ACROSS SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. OFFSHORE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN
ACROSS INTERIOR SECTIONS THROUGH THE EVENING. AS THE UPPER LEVEL WINDS AND
OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASE LATER TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY...THE AREAL
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF SANTA ANA WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS LOS ANGELES
AND VENTURA COUNTIES. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FOCUSED ACROSS
THE MOUNTAINS WHERE GUSTS BETWEEN 60 AND 70 MPH WILL BE COMMON
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY EVENING. COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS
CAN GENERALLY EXPECT WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 60 MPH ON SATURDAY.
GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY...WITH GUSTS GENERALLY
RANGING BETWEEN 35 AND 55 MPH ACROSS THE REGION. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL
GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT THROUGH SATURDAY...EXCEPT SOME
SINGLE DIGIT READINGS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS ON SATURDAY. HUMIDITIES WILL
GRADUALLY MODIFY UPWARD ON SUNDAY. THE SANTA ANA WINDS WILL ALSO BRING WARM
TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION...WITH HIGHS INTO THE LOWER 80S ACROSS
WARMEST LOCATIONS ON SATURDAY...THEN MID 80S ON SUNDAY.

WHILE THE STRENGTH OF SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY EXCEED
CRITICAL LEVELS...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS...A RED FLAG WARNING WILL
LIKELY NOT BE ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT DUE TO THE CURRENT STATE OF THE FUELS.
LIVE FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS HAVE INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY ACROSS MUCH OF
LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...WHILE GREEN-UP OF THE FINE FUELS HAS
BEEN CONSIDERABLE. WHILE A RED FLAG WARNING HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED...A PROLONGED
PERIOD OF ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WILL OCCUR ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THIS
WEEKEND. A COOLING TREND WITH HIGHER HUMIDITIES ON MONDAY...WITH A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.


Discussion from SFOFWFHNX

AN OFFSHORE FLOW PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
REGION AND GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE SIERRA
NEVADA RIDGES AND THROUGH FAVORED CANYONS AND MOUNTAIN PASSES
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM
THE SOUTH BEGINNING TOMORROW AND WILL INCREASE CHANCES OF RAIN
AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW FROM LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. AN
UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK.



Discussion from RNOFWFVEF

INCREASING CLOUDS EXPECTED TODAY WITH RAIN MOVING INTO
PARTS OF NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND THE MOJAVE DESERT BY THE AFTERNOON. RAIN
CHANCES WILL EXPAND NORTHWARD TONIGHT AND LIFT INTO THE GREAT BASIN
TUESDAY. IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY BEFORE THE POSSIBILITY OF MORE UNSETTLED WEATHER RETURNS
LATE IN THE WEEK.



Discussion from PHXFWFPSR


A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE ALONG WITH A
GOOD CHANCE OF A WETTING RAIN FOR MOST OF THE REGION. THE RAIN WILL
TAPER OFF TONIGHT FROM SOUTH TO NORTH...BUT THE HIGHER HUMIDITIES
WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TODAY...PARTICULARLY ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN ARIZONA...FOLLOWED BY WARMER
CONDITIONS TUESDAY. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT ACROSS THE AREA.

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.


############# Modify the discussions below ###############

ECC033-262339-

DISCUSSION FOR ORANGE ECC DISPATCH
339 AM PDT MON JAN 26 2015


A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL BRING PERIODS OF
SHOWERS THROUGH THIS EVENING...DECREASING LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY
TUESDAY. DRY FOR WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM
THE SOUTHWEST WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR LATE IN THE WEEK.

$$

ECC034-262339-

DISCUSSION FOR RIVERSIDE ECC DISPATCH
339 AM PDT MON JAN 26 2015


A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL BRING PERIODS OF
SHOWERS THROUGH THIS EVENING...DECREASING LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY
TUESDAY. DRY FOR WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM
THE SOUTHWEST WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR LATE IN THE WEEK.

$$

ECC035-262339-

DISCUSSION FOR MONTE VISTA ECC DISPATCH
339 AM PDT MON JAN 26 2015


A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL BRING PERIODS OF
SHOWERS THROUGH THIS EVENING...DECREASING LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY
TUESDAY. DRY FOR WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM
THE SOUTHWEST WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR LATE IN THE WEEK.

$$




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