Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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000
FNUS73 KABR 171306
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for SE Refuge HD...USFWS
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
806 AM CDT Tue Oct 17 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 CDT on October 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service in Aberdeen SD.

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions will linger through the work week.
Temperatures will be at their peak today with highs in the upper
70s. This means RH could fall to around 25 percent this afternoon.
Winds will become stronger tomorrow and shift to the northwest as
a cold front moves through the region.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent cloud).
Max temperature.....75-80.
Min humidity........24-29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds, becoming southwest 5
                    to 14 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft agl, increasing to 2600-3300 ft agl
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 17 mph, increasing to 20 to 25
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2600-7900), increasing to fair
                    (53500-59800) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 (moderate).

TIME (CDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............77  77  74  70
RH..............26  26  30  35
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT wind spd..14  14  13  12
20 FT wind gust.20  20  15  15

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent cloud).
Min temperature.....42-47.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3800-4400).
Haines Index........6 (high).

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   1   3   4   6   8   10  12  15  18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............64  60  57  54  53  52  51  50  48  46  45  44
RH..............45  51  57  64  66  69  68  71  77  83  82  86
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..10  9   9   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  9   8
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent cloud).
Max temperature.....63-68.
Min humidity........23-28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 9 mph, becoming northwest
                    10 to 16 mph with gusts up to 25 mph early in
                    the morning, then, becoming west 15 to 22 mph
                    with gusts up to 30 mph late in the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft agl, increasing to 4400-4900 ft agl
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 19 mph, increasing to northwest 25
                    to 34 mph in the late morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3500-6800), increasing to very good
                    (110100-115600) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 (moderate).

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Sky (%).........22  18  10  6   9   14  16  15  13  12  11  9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............44  46  49  52  55  58  61  64  65  65  62  58
RH..............82  76  66  56  49  40  33  28  26  25  26  30
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W
20 FT wind spd..8   9   10  13  16  20  22  22  21  20  17  15
20 FT wind gust.10  15  15  15  25  30  30  30  30  30  25  20

$$
Forecaster...Wise
Requested by...Eric Hoggarth
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717366.0/ABR
.EMAIL Eric_Hoggarth@fws.gov



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