Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
392
FNUS71 KALY 070942
FWSALY
Spot Forecast for APB CATHEDRAL RX...Albany Pine Bush
National Weather Service Albany NY
542 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on May 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will bring mostly sunny skies and warm
temperatures for today. A storm system will bring some showers
and thunderstorms late tonight into Wednesday, with unsettled
weather and cooler temperatures expected for Thursday and
Friday.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms after 0800.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Dewpoint............39 increasing to 43 early in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in
the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3300 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (55800 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 9 15 21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............M M 1 M M 1 M M 1 M M 1
Temp............48 52 56 60 63 67 69 71 73 75 76 76
Dewpoint........38 40 43 44 44 44 45 44 43 42 41 41
RH..............68 63 62 55 50 43 42 38 34 31 28 28
20 FT wind dir..W NW NW NW N N NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..1 2 3 5 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 10
20 FT wind gust. 3 6 6 7 7 8 9 14 16 17 17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.6 0.9 1.6 2.5 3.4 4.4 5.2 5.9 6.3 6.4 5.8
Transp wind dir.NW NW N N N N NW NW NW NW NW W
Transp wind spd.8 8 8 8 7 7 7 8 9 10 10 10
LVORI...........3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
Haines index....4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3 4 7 10 14 20 29 39 47 53 56 52
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 3 am. Rain showers likely and
isolated thunderstorms early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms after 2000 until 0300. 1-8 strikes
after 0500.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Dewpoint............44 increasing to 47 in the late evening and
overnight.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
morning.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast
3 to 5 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (37500 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (0 knot-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............4.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.12 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........22 24 25 32 38 44 46 47 49 57 65 73
Weather cov..... CHC CHC LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ ISO
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 30 40 60
LAL.............M M 1 M M 1 M M 1 M M 2
Temp............73 70 67 64 61 59 57 56 55 54 53 52
Dewpoint........42 43 45 46 47 47 47 46 47 46 47 48
RH..............33 38 45 52 60 64 69 69 74 74 80 86
20 FT wind dir..NW W W W NW NW NW NW NW N N N
20 FT wind spd..9 7 5 5 5 5 3 3 2 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.16 9 7 7 7 7 6 5 3 3 3
Mix hgt (kft)...4.2 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W NW NW NW NW NW N N NE NE SE S
Transp wind spd.9 8 7 6 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 5
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 6
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..38 19 3 0 0 2 1 1 1 1 1 2
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers in
the morning. Scattered thunderstorms through
the day. Rain showers likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes after 0800 until 0900. 1-8 strikes
after 1100 until 1200. 9-15 strikes after 1400
until 1500. 1-8 strikes after 1700.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Dewpoint............51 increasing to 56 in the late morning and
afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
west around 12 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 13 mph shifting to the west 10 to 18
mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3600 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (55900 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.35 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........80 87 94 91 89 86 80 74 68 65 62 58
Weather cov.....LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT ISO
Chc of pcpn (%).70 80 90 80 70 70 60 50 40 40 40 40
LAL.............M M 3 M M 2 M M 3 M M 2
Temp............53 54 55 57 59 61 64 67 69 71 72 73
Dewpoint........49 50 52 53 55 56 58 58 58 57 57 56
RH..............86 86 90 86 87 84 81 73 68 61 59 55
20 FT wind dir..NE E SE SE E E SE SE S S SW W
20 FT wind spd..5 7 9 9 8 7 8 9 10 12 12 12
20 FT wind gust.7 10 13 13 12 10 12 13 15 15 16 16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.4 2.2 3.1 3.5
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S SW SW W W W W
Transp wind spd.7 9 12 13 13 13 12 10 10 13 16 18
LVORI...........5 5 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 1 1
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 6 9 10 11 12 10 9 13 29 47 56
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR
$$
Forecaster...KL
Requested by...Tyler Briggs
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413330.0/ALY
.DELDT 05/07/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tbriggs@albanypinebush.org