Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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FNUS71 KALY 211414
FWSALY

Spot Forecast for French Hollow Pile Burn...USFS
National Weather Service Albany NY
914 AM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on November 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service.

Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you
have questions or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
South to southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to around
30 mph at times today with minimum relative humidity values
in the 30s this afternoon.

Fair and mild today ahead of an approaching cold front. The front
will sweep across the region late tonight into Wednesday bringing
some snow and rain showers to the area. A more seasonable air mass
will be ushered back in with mainly fair weather then expected
through Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...None.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 12 to 15 mph.
Surface winds.......South winds 12 to 15 mph.
 Slope/valley.......South winds 12 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20
                    mph.
Mixing height.......900-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 19 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). A chance of rain
                    or snow showers after midnight.
CWR.................20 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...Pcpn chances begin around 5 AM.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph.
Surface winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph.
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......600-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.02 inches.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent), then becoming
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent). A chance of rain
                    or snow showers.
CWR.................40 percent.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...Pcpn end time around 2 PM.
Max temperature.....Around 37.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Eye level winds.....West winds 8 to 14 mph.
Surface winds.......West winds 8 to 14 mph.
 Slope/valley.......West winds 8 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......500-2000 ft AGL, increasing to 2600-3800 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 17 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.09 inches.

$$
Forecaster...JPV
Requested by...Keith Sargent
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719065.0/ALY
.EMAIL necc.dispatch@gmail.com



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