Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY

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FNUS71 KBGM 260757
FWSBGM

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHOHOLA - 6...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON, NY
357 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON MAY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.SYNOPSIS...

TODAY WILL BE DRY AGAIN, WITH MINIMUM HUMIDITY LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON
RANGING FROM 30-40%.  ALTHOUGH SYNOPTIC-SCALE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT (UNDER
10 MPH), WINDS COULD BECOME ERRATIC LOCALLY (GUSTING UP TO 20 MPH) THIS
AFTERNOON, AS UNSTABLE LOWER LEVEL CONDITIONS AND TERRAIN COMBINE.

FOR SATURDAY, HUMIDITY LEVELS LOOK HIGHER (50-60%). ISOLATED-SCATTERED
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-4300 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5900-7200 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...INCREASING TO 6400-8300 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............28  33  41  44  46  49  53  57  62
WEATHER COV.........                            ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE........                            RW  RW
TSTM COV............                            ISO ISO
TEMP................69  73  76  79  81  82  83  82  82
RH..................63  53  46  41  37  35  36  38  40
20 FT WIND DIR......W   SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   3   4   4   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....    5   5   5   5       10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    EVENING. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............62     62     72     73     64     69
WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV............ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP................80     76     72     69     67     64
RH..................44     54     61     68     73     81
20 FT WIND..........S 5    S 4    S 4    S 4    SW 3   SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....       5      5      5      5      5

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2900-4000 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4800-6200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING
                    TO 3600 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............66     56     55     57     60     59
WEATHER COV.........                            ISOLTD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............                            ISOLTD SCTTRD
TEMP................65     69     74     79     82     82
RH..................81     78     71     62     55     56
20 FT WIND..........SW 2   SW 2   SW 3   SW 4   S 5    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5             10

$$
FORECASTER...JUREWICZ
REQUESTED BY...PAT MCELHENNY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160526.SHOHO.01/BGM


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