Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FNUS74 KBMX 291157
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RABBITTOWN...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
657 AM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0654 CDT ON JULY 29.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

GENERALLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S AND LOW/MID 90S.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LESS THAN 10 MPH AND GENERALLY FROM THE
SOUTHWEST/WEST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SINCE SURFACE DEW POINTS ARE
SO HIGH, CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THRESHOLDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
MET, WITH NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ANTICIPATED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0700...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-5100 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5100-6300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 3100-3900 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 17
                    TO 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 35 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 53 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    INCREASING TO 64 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 46.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............71     73     79     85     88     87
RH..............99     89     74     63     58     60
20 FT WIND......SW 2   W 3    W 6    W 6    W 6    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....600    800    1800   5100   6000   3900
TRANSPORT WIND..240/7  240/8  240/10 250/17 250/21 250/18
DISPERSION......5      5      7      53     68     50
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     30     40     40
LAL.............2      3      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1900...THEN 2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-400 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....30 DECREASING TO 5.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............85     80     76     75     74     72
RH..............65     75     86     90     93     95
20 FT WIND......W 3    W 3    W 2    SW 2   SW 2   SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2400   1300   800    400    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..240/15 240/12 250/8  220/5  210/3  200/3
DISPERSION......31     19     8      2      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     20     10     10     10
LAL.............3      2      2      2      1      1

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT
                    DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5100-6200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 7100-8500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING
                    TO 6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 14 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 74 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 95 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 46 IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    35.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....              ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............71     74     80     86     89     91
RH..............99     96     80     65     59     53
20 FT WIND......SW 2   W 2    W 3    W 5    W 5    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....100    1300   3900   6200   8000   8200
TRANSPORT WIND..220/3  240/7  290/12 280/14 270/14 270/12
DISPERSION......2      3      8      95     50     42
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     20     30     40     40
LAL.............1      3      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...LINHARES
REQUESTED BY...JEREMY N BRAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160729.RABBI.01/BMX



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