Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FNUS74 KBMX 311903
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CRAB APPLE FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
203 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1356 CDT ON JULY 31.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE INCREASES
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND ON FRIDAY. HIGHER RAIN CHANCES ARE
EXPECTED AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....17.

TIME (CDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............83     84     80
RH..............40     38     57
20 FT WIND......N 2    NE 3   NE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....7000   6500   5100
TRANSPORT WIND..120/5  070/5  050/6
DISPERSION......16     16     18

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......25 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1400 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....23 DECREASING TO 9.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............78     74     68     66     65     65
RH..............61     71     87     93     97     97
20 FT WIND......NE 6   E 5    E 5    NE 5   NE 5   NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     30     30     30     30     30
MIX HGT (FT)....4300   2400   700    500    800    900
TRANSPORT WIND..060/8  070/12 090/13 080/12 070/13 050/15
DISPERSION......23     8      8      8      8      10

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18 INCREASING TO 33 EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............65     67     74     79     81     81
RH..............100    93     79     67     63     63
20 FT WIND......NE 5   NE 5   E 6    E 7    E 6    NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     50     50     50     50     50
MIX HGT (FT)....800    900    1500   2600   3100   2800
TRANSPORT WIND..050/14 050/12 050/10 070/14 070/14 070/10
DISPERSION......16     14     17     30     33     24

$$
FORECASTER...LINHARES
REQUESTED BY...NOONAN PHIFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140731.CRABA.01/BMX





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