Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 211123
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR TRAMWAY 7...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
422 AM MST SAT JAN 21 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MST ON JANUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A QUICK MOVING PACIFIC SYSTEM WILL PASS OVER THE AREA
TODAY INCREASING MOISTURE AND SNOWFALL OVER THE MOUNTAINS. MAY START
TO SEE LIGHT SNOW OVER THE BURN AREA AROUND NOON, BUT BETTER CHANCE
IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT, LESS
THAN HALF AN INCH. A WEAK COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO THE
AREA IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON WITH LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY WINDS, BEFORE
DRYING AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASE TONIGHT. GUSTS TO 20 MPH
MAY BE POSSIBLE TOWARDS MORNING.  NEXY PRECIPITATION EXPECTED LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 0800, THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1100 UNTIL
                    1400, THEN CHANCE OF SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 1400, THEN NORTHEAST
                    4-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW .

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2300, THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(35-45%). CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2100, THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 19.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW .

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1400, THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(35-45%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900, THEN 2500-3500 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW .

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5-6 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TRAMWAY 7.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

01/21-07 59  0  1 18 70 WSW  6  6 3 1 WSW 10  1630 SSW  3  4959 P
01/21-08 65  1  2 19 71 WSW  6  6 3 1 WSW 10  1391 SSW  3  4698 P
01/21-09 71  5  3 22 68 WSW  5  5 3 1 WSW 10  1971 SSW  5  7395 P
01/21-10 77  8  4 27 61 WSW  5  5 3 1  SW  9  2551   S  5 10525 P
01/21-11 78 12  4 31 56 WSW  3  3 3 1 SSW  9  3132   S  5 14089 P
01/21-12 80 23  5 35 50 WNW  3  3 3 1  SW  9  3409   S  3 11839 P
01/21-13 81 24  5 37 47   N  5  5 3 1  SW  8  3685   S  2  9022 P
01/21-14 83 25  5 37 48  NE  5  5 3 1 WSW  7  3962   CALM  5636 P
01/21-15 85 27  7 35 52  NE  5  5 3 1   W  9  3281  SW  3  9199 P
01/21-16 87 28  8 32 59   N  5  5 3 1  NW 13  2600  NW  5 10881 P
01/21-17 89 27  7 29 66   N  5  5 3 1 NNW 15  1919   N  7 10681 P
01/21-18 83 27  7 27 72 NNW  5  5 3 1 NNW 18  1875   N  8 13421 P
01/21-19 78 26  6 27 73  NW  5  5 3 1 NNW 23  1830   N 10 16019 P
01/21-20 73 26  6 27 71  NW  5  5 3 1 NNW 26  1786 NNW 12 18476 P
01/21-21 66 21  4 26 70 WNW  5  5 3 1 NNW 25  1688 NNW 12 16952 P
01/21-22 60 17  3 26 65   W  5  5 3 1 NNW 23  1590  NW 12 15488 P
01/21-23 54 12  2 25 63   W  6  6 3 1 NNW 21  1492  NW 10 14082 P
01/22-00 48 10  2 25 59   W  7  7 3 1  NW 18  1567  NW 13 17385 P
01/22-01 42  7  1 24 58   W  8 13 3 1  NW 15  1642 WNW 15 20937 P
01/22-02 35  5  1 23 57   W  9 15 3 1 WNW 13  1717 WNW 16 24739 P
01/22-03 29  2  0 23 54   W 10 16 3 1  NW 10  1453 WNW 16 20035 P
01/22-04 23  0  0 22 53   W 10 17 3 1  NW  9  1188   W 16 16142 P
01/22-05 17  2  0 20 54   W 12 18 3 1  NW  7   924   W 15 12359 P
01/22-06 17  2  0 19 53   W 13 21 3 1  NW  8   932   W 16 12794 P
01/22-07 17  2  0 19 51   W 14 22 4 1   W  9   940   W 16 13235 P
01/22-08 17  2  0 20 49   W 14 22 4 1   W 10   949   W 16 13681 P
01/22-09 17  2  0 23 46   W 13 21 4 1   W 15  1466   W 16 20950 P
01/22-10 17  2  0 26 44   W 12 18 4 1  NW 20  1983   W 16 28085 P
01/22-11 17  1  0 31 39   W 10 16 4 1  NW 25  2500 WNW 16 35084 P
01/22-12 22  1  0 35 36   W  9 15 4 1  NW 25  3055   W 14 37887 P
01/22-13 28  1  0 38 34   W  9 14 3 1 WNW 25  3610 WSW 13 38880 P
01/22-14 34  1  0 39 34   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 26  4165 WSW 10 38063 P
01/22-15 39  1  0 37 38   W  8  8 3 1   W 30  3237 WSW  9 25845 P
01/22-16 45  1  0 33 45 WSW  7  7 2 1   W 35  2310  SW  8 15770 P
01/22-17 51  1  0 29 53 WSW  7  7 2 1   W 39  1382  SW  7  7838 P
01/22-18 49  1  0 26 58 WSW  6  6 2 1   W 37  1221  SW  8  8013 P
01/22-19 47  1  0 25 59 WSW  6  6 3 1 WNW 35  1060  SW  8  7901 P
01/22-20 46  1  0 24 60 WSW  6  6 3 1 WNW 32   899  SW  9  7502 P
01/22-21 50  1  0 24 60 WSW  7  7 3 1 WNW 30   904  SW 12  9086 P
01/22-22 57  1  0 24 61 WSW  9 14 3 1   W 26   909 WSW 14 10687 P
01/22-23 61  9  2 24 62 WSW 10 16 3 1   W 24   914 WSW 15 12306 P
01/23-00 60  9  2 25 61 WSW 12 17 3 1   W 28   937 WSW 18 14896 P
01/23-01 57  9  2 25 62 WSW 12 18 3 1   W 31   959   W 21 17596 P
01/23-02 56  9  2 26 60 WSW 12 18 3 1 WSW 35   982   W 24 20406 P
01/23-03 56  9  2 26 61 WSW 12 18 3 1 WSW 35   949   W 23 19140 P
01/23-04 57  9  2 26 62 WSW 10 17 3 1  SW 33   917   W 23 17915 P
01/23-05 61 25  5 26 63 WSW 10 16 3 1  SW 33   885   W 22 16730 P
01/23-06 62 25  5 25 67 WSW 10 16 3 1  SW 31   926   W 21 16311 P
01/23-07 63 25  5 25 68 WSW  9 15 3 1 WSW 29   967   W 18 15785 P
01/23-08 64 25  5 27 66  SW  9 15 3 1 WSW 26  1009   W 17 15152 P
01/23-09 65 25  5 31 60  SW  9 15 3 1 WSW 30  1994   W 21 36413 P
01/23-10 67 25  5 36 53  SW  9 16 3 1 WSW 33  2979 WSW 25 64059   G
01/23-11 68 28  8 40 48  SW 10 16 3 1 WSW 37  3965 WSW 29 98090   G
01/23-12 69 28  8 43 45  SW 12 18 3 1 WSW 40  5560 WSW 30142467    V
01/23-13 71 28  8 44 44  SW 13 20 2 1   W 43  7155 WSW 31189663     E
01/23-14 72 28  8 43 45  SW 13 21 2 1   W 45  8750 WSW 31239678     E
01/23-15 71 28  8 41 47  SW 10 17 2 1   W 46  7736 WSW 28189299     E
01/23-16 69 28  8 38 50  SW  8 13 3 1   W 46  6723 WSW 25144845    V
01/23-17 67 17  3 35 54  SW  6  6 3 1   W 46  5709 WSW 22106317    V
01/23-18 67 17  3 33 56  SW  5  5 3 1   W 39  4434 WSW 20 75179   G
01/23-19 66 17  3 31 59  SW  6  6 3 1   W 32  3159 WSW 17 48293  F
01/23-20 65 17  3 30 61  SW  6  6 3 1   W 24  1884 WSW 16 25659 P
01/23-21 65 17  3 29 62  SW  6  6 3 1   W 21  1727 WSW 14 21209 P
01/23-22 64 17  3 28 64  SW  7  7 3 1   W 16  1570   W 13 17179 P
01/23-23 64 20  4 28 63 WSW  7  7 3 1 WSW 12  1414   W 12 13569 P
01/24-00 64 20  4 26 67 WSW  7  7 3 1 WSW 10  1289   W  9 10365 P
01/24-01 65 20  4 25 67 WSW  6  6 4 1   W  9  1163   W  7  7550 P
01/24-02 65 20  4 24 68 WSW  6  6 4 1   W  9  1038   W  6  5124 P
01/24-03 64 20  4 23 69 WSW  6  6 4 1 WSW  7  1109  NW  6  5306 P
01/24-04 61 20  4 22 70   W  6  6 4 1  SW  6  1179   N  6  5467 P
01/24-05 59 13  3 22 68   W  6  6 4 1 SSW  3  1249  NE  5  5608 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...KRIEDERMAN
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG BROWN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700601.0/BOU


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