Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

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FNUS71 KBOX 281032
FWSBOX

Spot Forecast for DCR Rx-MSSF...DCR Fire
National Weather Service Taunton MA
632 AM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on June 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure south of the region will bring dry conditions with
temperatures in the upper 70s. Westerly winds will gust up to 20
MPH during the late morning into the afternoon hours. Skies will
be clear to start, but clouds will build in during the afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (8300-50900 knot-ft), increasing
                    to excellent (68600 knot-ft) early.
CEILING (KFT).......25, decreasing to 6.0.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Dewpoint............51.
LVORI...............2.
CWR.................0 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 10 mph.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent), then becoming partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent).
Max apparent temp...71.
Surface winds.......West winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......800-2400 ft AGL, increasing to 5700-7300 ft
                    AGL.
ADI.................10, increasing to 21 early, then increasing to
                    41 late in the morning, increasing to 62,
                    increasing to 74, decreasing to 51 late.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 16 mph.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   2   0   1   2   6   11  24  26  41  55
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............60  64  67  70  72  74  75  76  76  76  75
Dewpoint........52  53  52  52  51  51  50  49  49  49  49
RH..............75  67  59  53  48  44  41  39  39  39  40
Heat index (F)..60  64  67  70  72  74  75  76  76  76  75
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   7   8   8   9   9   10  9   9   8   8
20 FT wind gust.10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Surface wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.6   7   8   8   9   9   10  9   9   8   8
Surface wnd gst.10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.1 2.4 3.6 4.9 5.7 6.5 7.3 7.1 6.9 6.7
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.13  15  15  16  16  16  16  16  16  15  15
LVORI...........3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............10  21  41  57  66  70  74  78  77  71  51
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VRate kt-ft/10008   14  31  51  69  80  91  102 99  89  87
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  7.0 6.0

.TONIGHT...

Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (400-49300 knot-ft).
CEILING (KFT).......7.0, increasing to 25 in the evening, then
                    decreasing to 20 after midnight, decreasing to
                    15 late.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Dewpoint............52.
LVORI...............4.
CWR.................0 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 7 mph until early morning,
                    becoming light and variable.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent), then becoming
                    mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Max apparent temp...68.
Surface winds.......West winds 5 to 7 mph until early morning,
                    becoming light and variable.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL, decreasing to 100 ft AGL.
ADI.................34, decreasing to 5 until just after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 13 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........55  14  9   12  15  17  25  25  25  25  28  32
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............73  71  68  66  64  63  62  61  60  59  58  58
Dewpoint........51  52  53  53  53  54  54  54  54  54  54  54
RH..............46  51  59  63  67  72  75  78  81  83  86  86
Heat index (F)..73  71  68  66  64  63  62  61  60  59  58  58
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..7   7   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT wind gust.15  10  10  10                          5   5
Surface wnd dir.W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.7   7   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
Surface wnd gst.15  10  10  10                          5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...4.5 2.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  W   W   W   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.13  12  9   8   8   7   7   8   8   8   7   7
LVORI...........1   1   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   6   5
ADI.............37  31  4   4   4   3   3   4   4   4   3   7
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VRate kt-ft/100049  23  1   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0
Ceiling (kft)...7.0 25  25  25  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  15

$$
Forecaster...Dunten
Requested by...A. Whiddon
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1711775.0/BOX
.EMAIL aaron.whiddon@state.ma.us


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