Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX

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000
FNUS74 KBRO 052001
FWSBRO

SPOT FORECAST FOR BV AIRPORT...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
201 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON FEBRUARY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A DRY COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE REGION
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE LOW LEVEL WINDS
WILL BE SHIFTING AROUND FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASING
DRAMATICALLY DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. THESE INCREASING NORTH TO
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL START BRINGING IN MUCH DRIER AIR TO THE
REGION FORCING THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES INTO THE 20 TO 30
PERCENT RANGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE MIXING HEIGHTS WILL
INCREASE INTO THE 5000 TO 6000 FOOT RANGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS COLD
FRONT. RED FLAG WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED DURING TO THE DAY SATURDAY
DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF THE FALLING RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND THE
INCREASING NORTH TO NORTHWEST LOW LEVEL WINDS. A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52.
RH..................MAX 98 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-2400 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CST)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............75  75  75  79  79  79  71  71  71  75  75  75
WEATHER COV.........                        PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE........                        FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
TEMP................62  60  59  58  57  56  56  56  56  56  54  53
RH..................63  69  76  81  85  87  87  88  88  89  93  97
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  N   NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......9   8   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.....SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  N   NW  NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.....5   4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
EYE LVL WND GST.....15  15  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.4 3.7 3.0 2.4 2.1 1.7 1.4 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.6

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 73.
RH..................80 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 23 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH 13 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15
                    MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 13 TO 18 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 400-1100 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 4400-5800 FT AGL.

TIME (CST)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............61  61  61  36  36  36  6   6   6   5   5   5
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TEMP................52  53  56  58  61  64  67  70  72  73  71  67
RH..................98  96  91  80  67  53  42  32  26  23  23  27
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
20 FT WIND SPD......6   9   12  15  16  17  17  18  18  17  15  13
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  15  15  20  25  25  25  25  25  25  20  20
EYE LVL WND DIR.....NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
EYE LVL WND SPD.....3   4   7   8   9   10  10  10  10  10  8   7
EYE LVL WND GST.....10  15  15  20  25  25  25  25  25  25  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.4 0.6 0.9 1.1 2.7 4.2 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.0 4.4

$$
FORECASTER...60
REQUESTED BY...MIKE LERMA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160206.BVAIR.01/BRO


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