Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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FNUS71 KCTP 231624
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for Stitier Gap RX...Bureau of Forestry
National Weather Service State College PA
1224 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 EDT on April 23.

If conditions become unrepresentative...
contact the National Weather Service in State College.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather will continue into Monday morning as a ridge of
high pressure drifts overhead today and then off the Southern
New England Coast Monday morning. Showers will move into the
area from the south on Monday as an area of low pressure at
the surface and aloft moves up the Atlantic Coast, and a
deepening moist easterly flow develops over the Commonwealth.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds...becoming southeast
                    around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......900-2600 ft AGL...increasing to 3100-4200 ft
                    AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5...or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........0      1      2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............58     62     63
RH..............36     31     30
20 ft wind......E 4    E 4    SE 4
20 ft wind gust.5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....3800   4100   4000
Transport wind..E 5    E 3    SE 3
Haines index....5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds.
Mixing height.......2000-3700 ft AGL...decreasing to 400-1200 ft
                    AGL in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 5 mph...becoming northeast around 2
                    mph late.
Haines Index........4 to 5...or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........3      11     18     23     40     38
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............63     57     51     47     45     44
RH..............31     40     52     63     73     79
20 ft wind......SE 3   SE 2   S 2    S 1    E 1    NE 2
20 ft wind gust.5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....3700   2800   1200   400    500    500
Transport wind..SE 3   S 5    S 5    S 5    S 3    E 2
Haines index....5      5      5      5      5      4

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A chance of
                    showers early in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds...becoming east 5 to 6
                    mph late in the morning.
Mixing height.......400-1800 ft AGL...increasing to 2400-3200 ft
                    AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....East 2 to 10 mph...becoming southeast 13 to 15
                    mph late in the morning.
Haines Index........4 to 5...or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........55  59  64  69  73  78  82  85  89  90  92  83
Weather cov.....                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............45  45  47  49  52  55  56  57  58  58  57  57
RH..............79  82  76  71  63  57  55  53  51  51  51  51
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.        5   5   10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.8 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.2
Transp wind dir.NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.2   3   5   7   10  13  13  13  13  14  14  15
Haines index....4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...WFO-CTP/Lambert
Requested by...Dan Smith
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707588.0/CTP
.EMAIL danielsmi@pa.gov


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