Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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000
FNUS73 KEAX 231459 CCA
FWSEAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCHOOLHOUSE SOUTH...USFWS...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
843 AM CDT TUE SEP 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WINDS AND HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY PICK UP THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND
NORTHEAST KANSAS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE LESS
FURTHER SOUTH INTO WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI. OVERALL...THE FIRE DANGER
THREAT WILL REMAIN LOW THROUGH WEDNESDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68 AT IGNITION...MAX 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 46 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 0-1400 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 2700 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...THEN INCREASING TO 3200-4700 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 1700
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........39     31     39     38
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............65     71     74     74
RH..............62     54     48     46
20 FT WIND......S 9    S 10   S 12   SE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 81 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 22 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........35     40     46     52     51     51
WEATHER COV.....                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TEMP............70     63     60     58     56     55
RH..............53     65     70     72     76     80
20 FT WIND......SE 7   SE 7   SE 7   SE 7   SE 6   SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      4      4      4

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 47 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........53     50     49     48     42     43
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............54     58     66     71     74     75
RH..............83     75     59     51     47     48
20 FT WIND......SE 6   S 8    S 8    S 8    SE 8   SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      5

$$
FORECASTER...MITCHELL
REQUESTED BY...DEON STEINLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140923.SCHOO.01/EAX









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