Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FNUS73 KEAX 061359
FWSEAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 4...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
759 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON MARCH 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH TODAY WILL HELP PULL IN
DRY AIR INTO THE REGION... BRINGING DOWN HUMIDITY VALUES INTO THE
MID 30 TO MID 40 PERCENT RANGE. SOME GUSTS MAY BE POSSIBLE BUT IS
NOT EXPECTED TO EXCEED AROUND 20 MPH.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43 AT IGNITION...MAX 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 100-1900 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 1700-2800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 17
                    TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........14  17  17  18  19  20  21
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............43  48  51  54  54  53  51
RH..............47  41  38  37  38  38  41
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   9   10  10  9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10          10  10
HAINES INDEX....4   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 84 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 21 MPH BECOMING WEST 6 TO 10
                    MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........21  21  22  22  22  23  23  22  20  18  16  15
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............49  46  43  41  39  38  37  36  35  34  33  32
RH..............45  50  56  62  66  69  72  75  77  81  83  84
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT WIND SPD..8   7   7   6   7   7   8   8   7   7   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.10                      10  10
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 39 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO
                    3800-5200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 1900 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........14  13  12  11  10  9   8   9   10  11  12  13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............33  34  38  42  46  51  54  57  58  58  57  54
RH..............80  78  72  65  56  49  44  41  39  40  41  45
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   7   8   8   8   8   9   10  10  9   7
20 FT WIND GUST.            10  10  10  10  10          10
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...WFO EAX
REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOURNEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150306.UNIT4.01/EAX





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