Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FNUS74 KEWX 221602
FWSEWX

Spot Forecast for Camp Bullish 1...USFWS
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1002 AM CST Wed Feb 22 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CST on February 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather and warmer temperatures are in the forecast for today.
Relative humidity will drop around 20 percent across the area this
afternoon, but winds will stay below 15 mph. High temperatures will
be around 87 degrees with sunny skies.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon, then becoming light
                    late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon, then becoming light
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......0-1800 ft AGL increasing to 1000-2500 ft AGL in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   2   1   1   0   1   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............73  78  81  84  87  87  85
RH..............31  28  26  25  23  24  26
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   4   4
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10          5   5
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   3   3   3   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10          5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   8   8   8   7
Haines index....4   4   4   4   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......100-500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 1 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........3      3      3      2      1      1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............82     72     64     60     57     54
RH..............29     42     56     64     68     75
20 ft wind......S 3    S 3    S 3    S 3    S 3    S 3
20 ft wind gust.5      5      5      5      5      5
Eye level wind..S 2    S 2    S 2    S 2    S 2    S 2
Eye lvl wnd gst.5      5      5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....500    300    100    100    100    100
Transport wind..S 7    S 6    S 6    SW 5   SW 2   SW 1
Haines index....5      5      4      4      4      4

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......100-1800 ft AGL increasing to 2200-2900 ft AGL
                    early in the afternoon, then decreasing to 900
                    ft AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 2 to 8 mph increasing to south 12 to
                    20 mph in the late morning and afternoon, then
                    decreasing to around 9 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........2      3      4      3      3      6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............53     58     67     78     86     87
RH..............80     74     56     37     28     27
20 ft wind......S 2    S 3    S 5    S 7    S 7    S 6
20 ft wind gust.       5             10     10     10
Eye level wind..S 1    S 2    S 3    S 4    S 4    S 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.       5             10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....100    100    500    1400   2500   2200
Transport wind..SW 2   SW 8   SW 15  S 20   S 17   S 12
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      5

$$
Forecaster...29
Requested by...Jeffrey Adams
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702625.0/EWX
.EMAIL Jeffrey_adams@fws.gov



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