Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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FNUS72 KFFC 232135
FWSFFC

Spot Forecast for Davenport OHV...USFS
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
435 PM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1700 EST on February 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure will be across the area through Friday ahead of a
cold front approaching from the NW. Anticipate this cold front to
cross the area early Saturday morning. Ahead and along the front
we expect showers and isolated thunderstorms possible.

Tonight...anticipate partly to mostly cloudy skies with fog
development in the early morning hours. Winds should be out of the
SE around 5 to 10mph. Cloud decks will lower through the early
morning hours (700-1K ft) which may mean the location of the fire
will be within the clouds for a portion of the morning hours, not
to mention the fog potential is present as well. So, expect low
clouds, patchy fog and the slim possibility of light drizzle.

Friday...low level moisture improves, especially in the late
morning as clouds lift and fog erodes. Winds will be out of the SE
and increasing through the day ahead of the front, around 15 to
20mph with higher gusts possible.

Friday Night...increasing clouds with winds diminishing a bit from
the south. Precipitation will start to move into the area Friday
evening into Saturday morning with the potential for isolated
thunderstorms. Winds will swing to the SW around midnight and and
increase a bit out of the NW by early Saturday morning, around
10mph with higher gusts.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent)...then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent)...then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Patchy fog late.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (700 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL...decreasing to 200-300 ft AGL.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........51     51     57     63     62     55
Weather cov.....                                   PATCHY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............67     61     57     54     52     51
RH..............55     75     84     92     100    100
20 ft wind......SE 3   SE 5   SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   SE 6
20 ft wind gust.5      10     10     10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....3500   200    200    200    300    300
Transport wind..SE 7   SE 6   SE 6   SE 7   SE 7   SE 7
SDspl kt-ft/10007      1      1      2      1      2

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. A slight chance of showers
                    late.
CWR.................10 percent...increasing to 20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 15 mph...increasing to 15 to 18 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (2600-48400 knot-ft)...increasing
                    to good to excellent (39300-61200 knot-ft) late
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......300-1100 ft AGL...increasing to 3200-4000 ft
                    AGL in the late morning and afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........68     71     66     51     51     68
Weather cov.....PATCHY PATCHY                      S CHC
Weather type....FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      10     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............50     51     61     68     71     73
RH..............100    100    81     63     57     54
20 ft wind......SE 6   SE 7   S 8    S 12   S 14   S 14
20 ft wind gust.10     10     15     20     25     25
Mix hgt (ft)....300    1100   3200   3200   4000   4000
Transport wind..SE 7   S 12   S 17   S 17   S 17   S 16
SDspl kt-ft/10003      20     48     58     61     56

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers in the evening...then showers likely
                    and a slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    midnight.
CWR.................20 percent...increasing to 30 percent...then
                    increasing to 60 percent...decreasing to 50
                    percent...decreasing to 30 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 2400...then 1-8 strikes.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph with gusts up to 20
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after midnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (0-19500 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL...decreasing to 300-400 ft AGL.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........65     69     85     92     95     96
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
CWR.............20     20     20     30     60     50
LAL.............1      1      1      2      2      2
Temp............70     65     62     59     57     54
RH..............61     71     81     83     81     88
20 ft wind......S 12   S 9    S 7    S 7    S 8    SW 8
20 ft wind gust.20     15     15     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....4000   400    300    300    300    300
Transport wind..S 13   S 10   S 9    S 8    S 8    SW 9
SDspl kt-ft/100020     0      3      2      2      3

$$
Forecaster...Pagano
Requested by...Jason Demas
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702504.1/FFC



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