Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 030050
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TORCH...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
650 PM MDT THU JUL 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1823 MDT ON JULY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE GENERAL WINDS ALOFT WILL BE NORTHERLY ON FRIDAY DUE TO HIGH
PRESSURE CENTERED OVER WESTERN UTAH. MOISTURE REMAINS TRAPPED UNDER
THIS RIDGE AND WILL AGAIN FUEL SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS
NEAR THE FIRE. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT AND
NEARBY STORMS OR RAIN SHAFTS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED. EXPECT
SIMILAR HIGHS ON FRIDAY ALLOWING AFTERNOON HUMIDITY LEVELS TO SETTLE
NEAR 30 PERCENT DURING PEAK HEATING. CLOUD COVER AND OUTFLOW WINDS
WILL AFFECT THIS HOWEVER. TERRAIN DRAINAGE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
MORNING...SWITCHING TO UPSLOPE/SOUTHWEST BY LATE MORNING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THROUGH NOON THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNVALLEY/NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH THROUGH MID
                    MORNING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AT 7 TO 12 MPH BY
                    1300. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING GOOD BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 10300 FT AGL BY 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...S  HENNING
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150702.TORCH.02/GJT


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