Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 171432
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAULS CREEK RX...USFS/SAN JUAN NF/COLUMBINE RD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
832 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0901 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN COLORADO TODAY. THE RIDGE
WILL REMAINING DOMINATE AND KEEP THE DEEPEST MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL
STORM ODILE FARTHER SOUTH IN NEW MEXICO. ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL MOVE
INTO SOUTHWESTERN COLORADO TO INCREASE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE DAY. DEWPOINTS HAVE ALREADY STARTED TO INCREASE IN
SOUTHEASTERN UTAH AND SOUTH OF THE COLORADO BORDER. WINDS WILL
REMAIN WEAK UNDER THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DOMINATED WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING BUT
                    VARYING FROM SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO TERRAIN
                    DOMINATED AFTER SUNDOWN. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1600 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DOMINATED WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...AS
REQUESTED BY...BRITTON QUINLAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140917.SAULS.01/GJT



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