Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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000
FNUS72 KJAX 050717
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ANASTASIA STATE PARK PRESCRIBED FIRE...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
317 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER TODAY DUE TO LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG
WINDS...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE WEST OF THE REGION
WITH STABLE CONDITIONS. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 MPH WILL
INCREASE TO NEAR 20 MPH MIDDAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH LIKELY.
MINIMUM HUMIDITY WILL NEAR 30% THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH DISPERSION
ABOVE 75 UNITS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400-5900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 14 TO 25 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 77.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........9   12  10  8   5   8   11  14
TEMP............72  74  76  77  78  78  78  77
RH..............44  40  34  32  30  30  31  32
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..16  17  18  20  20  20  18  17
20 FT WIND GUST.20  25  25  30  30  30  25  25
DISPERSION IDX..48  64  68  71  74  76  79  80
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1900 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 14
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........15     15     5      1      3      2
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............75     70     66     63     61     59
RH..............34     42     47     50     51     57
20 FT WIND......NW 15  NW 12  NW 14  NW 14  NW 12  NW 13
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     20     20     15     15

$$
FORECASTER...ENYEDI
REQUESTED BY...ALICE BARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160505.ANAST.02/JAX



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