Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS73 KJKL 140944 AAA
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR JUDY LANE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
544 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2020 EDT ON APRIL 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A BAND OF SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WILL WORK ACROSS THE
AREA FROM LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.
PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT WITH ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY
TODAY. THE BIGGER THREAT WILL BE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AS THESE SHOWERS
PUSH EAST ACROSS THE AREA. SOUTHERLY WINDS COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 35
MPH. A BETTER CHANCE FOR A SOAKING RAIN WILL ARRIVE LATE TONIGHT AS A
COLD FRONT MARCHES EAST ACROSS THE AREA. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SURGE
INTO THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING WITH RAIN
CHANGING OVER TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING BY MIDDAY TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30
                    MPH INCREASING TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
POP.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-4800 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28 TO 36 MPH DECREASING TO 22 TO 25
                    MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........100    100    100    100    100    100
WEATHER COV.....       SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TEMP............70     72     73     74     75     72
RH..............45     43     43     43     44     46
20 FT WIND......S 10   S 13   S 15   SW 15  SW 15  SW 13
20 FT WIND GUST.25     30     30     35     35     30
RIDGETOP WIND...S 15   S 15   S 20   SW 20  SW 20  SW 15
MIX HGT (FT)....1600   3300   3600   2600   4300   4500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 28   SW 35  SW 35  S 31   SW 29  SW 25
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY BECOMING
                    LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH
                    LATE AT NIGHT.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH TOWARDS DAWN.
POP.................100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0100...THEN 2 UNTIL 0400...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........100    100    100    100    100    100
WEATHER COV.....       ISOLTD SCTTRD OCNL   OCNL   OCNL
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............65     56     50     45     42     39
RH..............61     97     100    100    100    86
20 FT WIND......S 9    SW 6   SW 3   W 3    NW 9   NW 12
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     5      5      15     20
RIDGETOP WIND...S 10   SW 5   SW 5   W 5    NW 10  NW 15
MIX HGT (FT)....3300   2200   1900   2200   2100   2100
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 20  S 20   SW 20  SW 20  NW 25  NW 26
LAL.............1      1      1      2      1      1
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      3      3      3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
POP.................80 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-4100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........100    100    98     91     85     80
WEATHER COV.....OCNL   SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............36     35     34     36     37     37
RH..............84     81     70     56     51     52
20 FT WIND......NW 12  NW 10  NW 10  NW 12  NW 10  NW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20     25     25     20
RIDGETOP WIND...NW 15  NW 15  NW 15  NW 15  NW 15  NW 10
MIX HGT (FT)....2400   3600   4100   4600   5000   5100
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 23  NW 23  NW 23  NW 24  NW 22  NW 22
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...SULLIVAN
REQUESTED BY...EJ BUNZENDAHL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140413.JUDYL.01/JKL






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