National Weather Service Text Product Display

Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
Versions: 1 2
000
FNUS73 KJKL 151019
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR WHITE ROCKS TRAIL...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
619 AM EDT WED MAY 15 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1757 EDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WARM AND MODERATELY DRY TODAY WITH MIN RH AROUND 30 PERCENT. ANOTHER
CONCERN IS THAT THE WINDS WILL BE GUSTING UP TO 22 MPH. THE
COMBINATION OF THE WIND AND RH WILL CREATE NEAR CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THIS AFTERNOON. WITH WIND GUSTS OF 22
MPH...IT COULD INCREASE THE RISK OF BEING NEAR SNAGS. THE SOUTHERLY
FLOW WILL HELP TO INCREASE THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND RH SHOULD BE
ON THE RISE THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ALSO THERE WILL BE THREAT FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS STARTING ON THURSDAY. EXPECT CONTINUED
WARM...MOIST...AND UNSETTLE WEATHER THROUGH TUESDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........15     15     16     20     17     16
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............56     66     75     79     79     81
RH..............89     64     49     37     31     29
20 FT WIND......SW 6   W 9    W 12   W 12   W 12   SW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     22     22     22     22
RIDGETOP WIND...SW 5   W 10   W 15   W 15   W 15   SW 15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........17     20     22     24     37     46
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............78     70     65     60     58     58
RH..............40     56     69     84     94     92
20 FT WIND......SW 8   W 7    W 6    W 6    W 3    W 3
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     5      5
RIDGETOP WIND...SW 10  W 10   W 5    W 5    W 5    W 5

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EARLY EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL
                    EVENING.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    1800...THEN 2.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........59     64     66     68     66     65
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............62     69     75     76     72     70
RH..............79     64     56     55     62     68
20 FT WIND......SW 3   W 7    W 8    W 8    W 8    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     15     10     10
RIDGETOP WIND...SW 5   W 10   W 10   W 10   W 10   W 10

$$
FORECASTER...JACOBSON
REQUESTED BY...SASHA ERNST
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20130514.WHITE.01/JKL
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
