Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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000
FNUS76 KLOX 150617
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for CREEK...ANF
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
1017 PM PST Thu Dec 14 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0000 PST on December 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST FRIDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PST FRIDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...Santa Ana winds will diminish a bit overnight then
increase some in the morning. Winds are not expected to be as strong
as Thursday. Winds will then turn weakly onshore Friday afternoon
with poor relative humidities. A quick moving upper level trough will
dive down the California coast and move into the area late Friday
night into Saturday. No rain is expected, but there should be an
increase in clouds Friday night into early Saturday morning but
should clear out relatively fast. Winds behind the passing front will
strengthen from the north on Saturday morning, then turn
northeasterly with the beginning of another round of Santa Ana winds.
At this time, plenty of cold air and upper level support is expected
by Saturday night into Sunday morning which should enhance the
strength of the Santa Ana winds. This has the potential to be a
strong event Sunday.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....61-64.
Max humidity........10-14 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph with gusts to 11 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 22 mph.
 Ridgetop...........East to northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......AOB 1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........8-11 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 8 to 14 mph early, becoming
                    variable 3 to 6 mph by late morning. Winds
                    then becoming south 4 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph...becoming north 4 to
                    8 mph late afternoon.
Mixing height.......AOB 1000 ft early, increasing to 3100-4000 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 mph in the morning, then shifting to
                    the west-northwest 6 mph in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....54-58.
Max humidity........17-22 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 3 mph early, then becoming variable
                    2 to 3 mph by late in the evening.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds up to 5 mph early, then becoming
                    variable 3 to 5 mph by late in the evening.
 Ridgetop...........Winds becoming west 10 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......1900-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest to south around 6 mph.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy early, then mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....71-74.
Min humidity........15-18 percent.
Eye level winds.....Winds variable 2 to 3 mph early, then shifting
                    to the northeast 3 to 6 mph by late in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds variable 3 to 5 mph early, then shifting
                    to the northeast 6 to 12 mph by late in the morning.
 Ridgetop...........Northwest winds 6 to 12 mph early, shifting to the
                    northeast 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
Mixing height.......1500-3100 ft AGL increasing to 3700-4800 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 16 mph.

$$
Forecaster...KAPLAN
Requested by...Kristen Allison
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1719849.3/LOX
.EMAIL kristenallison@fs.fed.us


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