Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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703
FNUS72 KMFL 271243
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for BSA RX...EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK
National Weather Service Miami FL
843 AM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on June 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Shower and Thunderstorm activity will increase in the afternoon
over the burn site as sea breezes push inland and enhance
convection. Outside of thunderstorms, winds will remain
generally light during the next 24 hours with low dispersion
values.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms through early
                    afternoon,...then showers and thunderstorms
                    likely late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming south 5 to 8 mph. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1400,...then 4.
Mixing height.......300-1400 ft AGL...increasing to 2600-3800 ft
                    AGL in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph...increasing to 0 to 8 mph
                    through early afternoon.
Dispersion index....2...increasing to 17 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Ceiling (kft).......25000...decreasing to 4000.

Time (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
Sky (%).........49  57  57  57  64  64  64  63  63  63  62  62
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY SCH SCH
Temp............86  89  90  90  89  88  87  86  84  83  82  82
RH..............70  64  61  61  61  63  66  68  71  74  76  79
20 ft wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
20 ft wind dir..140 150 150 150 150 160 170 180 180 170 170 130
20 ft wind spd..3   4   5   5   5   5   6   6   5   4   2   2
20 ft wind gust.5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.4 2.5 1.5 0.5 0.4
Mixng wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W
Mixng wind spd..3   5   6   6   6   7   8   8   7   6   3   2
Dispersion idx..12  18  20  21  17  19  21  21  15  10  2   1
LVORI...........3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   4   5
Chc of pcpn (%).20  30  30  30  60  60  60  60  60  60  20  20
LAL.............2   2   2   2   4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent)...then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely early in the
                    evening,...then a slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms until just after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 76.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................4 until 2000,...then 2.
Mixing height.......1500-2500 ft AGL...decreasing to 300-500 ft AGL
                    until just after midnight.
Transport winds.....West 2 to 7 mph...becoming north 1 to 2
                    mph,...then becoming south 0 to 1 mph after
                    midnight.
Dispersion index....13...decreasing to 1 until just after midnight.
LVORI...............5.
Ceiling (kft).......4000...increasing to 25000.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    morning,...then a chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms through early afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................2 until 0800,...then 3.
Mixing height.......300-1400 ft AGL...increasing to 2400-3500 ft
                    AGL in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 0 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....5...increasing to 16 early.
LVORI...............5.
Ceiling (kft).......25000...decreasing to 5000.

$$
Forecaster...Reynes
Requested by...MICHAEL GUE
Type of request...Prescribed
.TAG 1711535.3/MFL



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