Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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000
FNUS72 KMHX 221105
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MILLIS ROAD...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
705 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING WILL MOVE OFFSHORE
THIS AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE COLD
FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY THEN MOVE OFF THE
COAST THURSDAY NIGHT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
FRIDAY AND CROSS THE REGION EARLY SATURDAY. A SECONDARY STRONGER
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT STALLING OVER OR
JUST SOUTH OF THE REGION SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............29     35     39     51
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................65     72     75     76
RH..................68     53     48     48
20 FT WIND..........SW 5   SW 7   SW 10  SW 11
20 FT WIND GUST.....       15     15     20
LVORI...............3      1      1      1
ADI.................5      36     40     42
HAINES INDEX........5      5      5      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    DAY...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO
                    15 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............66     78     70     60     52     41
WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
TEMP................72     67     65     64     61     60
RH..................57     70     75     78     84     78
20 FT WIND..........SW 11  SW 10  SW 8   W 6    W 6    NW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     15     15     10     10     15
LVORI...............1      3      4      4      4      4
ADI.................31     16     10     7      11     12
HAINES INDEX........4      5      4      4      3      3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH...INCREASING TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 23 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............27     17     14     11     8      8
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................58     57     62     66     68     68
RH..................75     69     52     40     34     34
20 FT WIND..........NW 7   NW 8   NW 9   NW 11  NW 12  NW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     20     20     25     20
LVORI...............4      3      2      1      1      1
ADI.................11     15     15     67     68     68
HAINES INDEX........4      5      5      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...ELARDO
REQUESTED BY...JAMES CHERRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140422.MILLI.01/MHX






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