National Weather Service Text Product Display

Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
Versions: 1 2
000
FNUS73 KMKX 201749
FWSMKX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HRRBP1304-SHOP...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1249 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1255 CDT ON MAY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT THE BURN
SITE INTO EARLY EVENING. DEWPOINTS HAVE MIXED OUT A BIT MORE THAN
ANTICIPATED SO FAR...AND RH VALUES MAY DIP INTO THE MID OR UPPER
30S THIS AFTERNOON IF THIS TREND CONTINUES. HIGHER DEWPOINTS TO
THE SOUTHWEST MAY ADVECT UP THIS WAY THOUGH...SO A BIT TRICKY WITH
HOW LOW RH VALUES WILL GET. CURRENTLY THINKING THAT THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78 AT IGNITION...MAX 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (11900-55300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING
                    TO EXCELLENT /111600 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
                    MAX...EXCELLENT /111600 KNOT-FT/ LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT TO
                    EXCELLENT (139700-167800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT
                    (162300-195800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (128800 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TEMP............77     80     81     79
RH..............50     42     41     45
20 FT WIND......S 14   S 14   SW 14  S 12
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     30     25
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (65600-95200 KNOT-FT)
                    DECREASING TO POOR TO GOOD (1700-36000 KNOT-FT)
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............76     70     66     65     64     63
RH..............64     76     87     90     90     93
20 FT WIND......S 9    S 8    S 6    S 5    S 5    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...DDV
REQUESTED BY...SEAN SALLMANN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130520.HRRBP.01/MKX
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
