Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 231014
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR RKS 68...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
614 AM EDT MON MAY 23 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GOOD MORNING. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WITH A NORTH
WIND COMPONENT TODAY...GENERALLY NORTHWEST TO NORTH. THE SEA
BREEZE IS FORECAST TO PUSH ACROSS THE BURN SITE LATE IN THE DAY
(AFTER 5 PM) AND INCREASE WINDS FROM THE NORTHEAST TO EAST.
LIGHT SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS DO NOT BODE WELL FOR MUCH
DISPERSION BUT HIGH MIXING HEIGHTS SHOULD PLACE DISPERSION
IN THE FAIR CATEGORY (MID 30S) DURING PEAK HEATING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-6000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....17 INCREASING TO 36 IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........17  14  14  14  14  14  14  21
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............79  82  84  86  88  88  88  88
RH..............54  47  43  37  34  34  34  34
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   NNW NW  NNW N   NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-2000 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH INCREASING TO EAST AROUND 17
                    MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO 2
                    TO 3 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
DISPERSION INDEX....35 DECREASING TO 2 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........21     12     12     12     17     17
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............85     80     75     71     70     69
RH..............39     49     62     76     81     87
20 FT WIND......NE 8   E 13   E 7    SE 2   SE 3   E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15                   5
LVORI...........1      2      3      4      6      6

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 2 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....37 INCREASING TO 53 IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........17     13     13     13     36     36
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............68     71     78     84     89     87
RH..............93     93     67     51     45     44
20 FT WIND......E 1    E 2    E 3    E 6    E 7    E 9
20 FT WIND GUST.              5                    10

$$
FORECASTER...KELLY
REQUESTED BY...BENJAMIN BANDOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160523.RKS68.01/MLB



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