Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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549
FNUS73 KMPX 281809
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Rapids Lake EVC...USFWS
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
109 PM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 CDT on March 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

An east to southeast wind will continue through the afternoon with
mixing heights rising to near 5000 feet.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Temperature.........59 at ignition...Max 62.
RH..................44 percent at ignition...Min 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds east at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......4800 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4800-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /33200 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /48700 knot-ft/ increasing to good (51900
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low at ignition...max 4.

Time (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Temp............59  59  60  60  60  58
RH..............44  43  41  39  37  40
20 ft wind dir..E   NE  NE  NE  NE  E
20 ft wind spd..4   4   4   4   4   4
20 ft wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...4.8 4.8 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.9
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.8   9   9   10  12  13
Haines Index....4   4   4   4   3   3
Sdspl kt-ft/100033  37  41  45  49  52

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Temperature.........Min 38.
RH..................Max 89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing Height.......3500-4900 ft AGL decreasing to 600-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (5800-54200 knot-ft).

Time (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Temp............56     51     47     44     41     39
RH..............46     59     71     76     82     85
20 ft wind......E 4    E 3    E 3    E 2    E 3    E 3
20 ft wind gust.5      5      5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....4900   3500   2000   600    800    1100
Transport wind..E 13   E 13   E 12   E 12   E 13   E 15
Haines Index....3      3      4      4      4      4
Sdspl kt-ft/100054     38     21     6      9      14

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain late in
                    the afternoon. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Temperature.........Max 53.
RH..................Min 50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing Height.......1400-3000 ft AGL increasing to 3400-3900 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southeast 16 to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to excellent (20000-63500 knot-ft)
                    increasing to excellent to excellent
                    (60100-72700 knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.

Time (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Temp............38     41     47     51     53     52
RH..............89     76     60     52     50     52
20 ft wind......E 3    E 5    E 6    E 6    E 6    E 6
20 ft wind gust.5      10     10     15     15     10
Mix hgt (ft)....1400   2200   3000   3900   3700   3500
Transport wind..SE 16  SE 18  SE 21  SE 22  SE 22  SE 21
Haines Index....4      4      4      4      4      4
Sdspl kt-ft/100020     36     54     73     69     63

$$
Forecaster...TAGGART
Requested by...Dan Paulson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705376.0/MPX
.EMAIL daniel_paulson@fws.gov



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