Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FNUS73 KOAX 171002
FWSOAX

Spot Forecast for Joe George RTRL Rx...BIA-Winnebago Agency
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
402 AM CST Fri Nov 17 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on November 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Fairly mild air will be in place across the area today, ahead of a
cold front that should bring in cooler conditions for tonight and
Saturday. Light rain is expected to occur tonight, with the rain
possibly mixing with light snow in parts of northeast Nebraska.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent), then becoming
                    partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9 to 11 mph with gusts up to 20
                    mph, becoming north with gusts up to 20 mph
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height.......300-2000 ft AGL, increasing to 2300-2800 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 17 to 26 mph, becoming north 16 to 24
                    mph late in the morning, then increasing to 22
                    to 28 mph early.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (5700-43300 knot-ft), increasing
                    to good to excellent (46600-65000 knot-ft)
                    early in the afternoon.
GFDI (max)..........Low.
Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........80     59     53     61     74
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............43     48     52     52     47
RH..............79     63     54     55     66
20 ft wind......SW 9   NW 9   NW 10  NW 11  N 10
20 ft wind gust.15     15     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....500    1500   2400   2800   2300
Transport wind..SW 20  NW 16  NW 20  N 28   N 22
GFDI............1      1      1      1      1
Haines index....5      4      4      3      2
SDspl kt-ft/10009      20     43     65     47

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A chance of
                    rain. A chance of snow after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    early in the evening.
Mixing height.......100-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 21 to 28 mph, becoming northwest 23 to 32
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (2000-49000 knot-ft).
GFDI (max)..........Low.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........81     87     93     100    94     75
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   SNOW   SNOW
Tstm cov........
Temp............44     42     40     38     34     34
RH..............70     73     73     76     89     89
20 ft wind......N 9    N 11   N 13   N 13   NW 14  NW 13
20 ft wind gust.15     20     25     25     25     25
Mix hgt (ft)....2000   1900   1700   1400   600    100
Transport wind..N 21   N 28   N 32   N 31   NW 28  NW 24
GFDI............1      1      1      1      1      1
Haines index....2      2      2      2      3      4
SDspl kt-ft/100037     45     48     37     15     2

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 41.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 12 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 25
                    mph, increasing to 30 mph in the late morning
                    and afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-2000 ft AGL, increasing to 1000-2900 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 23 to 31 mph, increasing to 25 to 33
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (5000-36800 knot-ft), increasing
                    to good to excellent (49300-78200 knot-ft) late
                    in the morning, then decreasing to fair (24800
                    knot-ft) late.
GFDI (max)..........Low.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........44     33     25     20     12     9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............33     33     37     39     41     38
RH..............89     85     70     61     54     58
20 ft wind......NW 12  NW 13  NW 16  NW 17  NW 17  NW 14
20 ft wind gust.20     25     30     30     30     25
Mix hgt (ft)....300    500    1400   2500   2900   2000
Transport wind..NW 23  NW 25  NW 29  NW 33  NW 31  NW 28
GFDI............1      1      2      3      3      2
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/10005      11     37     71     78     49

$$
Forecaster...Miller
Requested by...Duwayne Traversie
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1718915.0/OAX


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