455
FNUS71 KOKX 020722
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Fresh Pond Central RX...NYS-DEC
National Weather Service New York NY
322 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

631-924-0383

.DISCUSSION...
A warm front this morning will be followed by a cold front
this afternoon. Little moisture will accompany both fronts,
so no rain is expected through the day. SW winds shift
W to NW this afternoon behind the cold front.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........58 at ignition...Max 70.
RH..................75 percent at ignition...Min 55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 7 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Southwest winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 18 to 22 mph shifting to the west 10
                    to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /22400 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /34700 knot-ft/.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........77  76  69  62  55  45  35  25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............58  62  65  67  70  70  70  69
RH..............75  67  63  61  57  55  57  57
20 FT wind dir..200 210 210 210 210 220 230 240
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   6   6   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.13  13  13  8   8   13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.8 2.1 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.0
Transp wind dir.220 230 250 280 290 290 280 270
Transp wind spd.21  22  18  15  12  10  12  12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..22  33  35  31  25  23  22  20
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Min 49.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    northeast after 3 am.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 14 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 15 to 16 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (14900 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1200 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........22  18  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  25  35  45
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............67  65  62  60  58  57  55  54  52  51  50  49
RH..............63  65  70  72  72  72  77  80  86  89  89  93
20 FT wind dir..260 290 310 330 330 340 000 020 030 040 050 050
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.8   7   7   8   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3
Transp wind dir.280 300 310 320 340 340 000 020 030 040 050 050
Transp wind spd.13  13  14  14  14  14  14  15  16  15  15  16
Vrate kt-ft/1K..15  9   3   1   2   3   3   3   3   2   1   3
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Max 59.
RH..................Min 60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast
                    6 to 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 14 to 23 mph shifting to the east 12
                    to 13 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (13100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (54200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........48  52  56  58  59  61  57  53  49  42  36  29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............49  50  51  52  54  55  57  58  59  59  59  59
RH..............89  83  80  77  71  72  67  62  60  60  60  60
20 FT wind dir..060 060 060 060 060 070 080 090 100 110 110 120
20 FT wind spd..7   8   9   9   8   7   7   7   7   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.13  14  14  14  14  13  13  13  13  8   13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.6 2.3 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.6
Transp wind dir.050 060 060 060 060 070 070 080 080 080 080 080
Transp wind spd.18  21  23  23  22  21  18  17  15  14  13  12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..13  29  45  53  54  53  53  51  47  43  40  35
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...JC
Requested by...Bryan Gallagher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412993.0/OKX
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bryan.gallagher@dec.ny.gov