Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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000
FNUS71 KPHI 231740 CCA
FWSPHI

SPOT FORECAST FOR SILVER SPRAY...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
139 PM EDT WED APR 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION
WILL BUILD ACROSS OUR REGION THROUGH FRIDAY AND THEN WEAKEN FRIDAY
NIGHT WHILE LOW PRESSURE DRIFTS INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES.

THE WIND WILL INCREASE ON THURSDAY AND COULD GUST TO AROUND 25
MPH. WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND LOWER DEW POINTS, THE AFTERNOON
HUMIDITY VALUES COULD DROP INTO THE TEENS AND 20S ON THURSDAY.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............7   9   11  13  14  16  19  23
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................47  51  54  56  57  58  58  58
RH..................38  32  26  23  21  22  22  23
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......17  17  18  18  18  18  17  15
20 FT WIND GUST.....25  25  25  25  25  25  25  20
CWR.................0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............27  30  32  33  36  39  42  45  46  47  50  52
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................56  54  51  48  46  45  43  42  41  40  39  38
RH..................24  27  30  35  40  43  49  53  57  62  64  70
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......14  12  10  8   6   5   2   1   0   0   0   0
20 FT WIND GUST.....20  15  15  10  10      5
CWR.................0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............54  57  58  61  66  71  76  81  84  82  78  74
WEATHER COV.........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................38  39  42  47  51  55  58  60  61  62  63  62
RH..................70  70  62  51  46  40  37  35  35  36  38  43
20 FT WIND DIR......E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......0   1   1   2   3   5   6   7   7   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....            5   5       10  10  10  10
CWR.................10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  40  40  40  40
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  40  40  40  40
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
FORECASTER...ROBERTSON
REQUESTED BY...MATT BOSS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140424.SILVE.01/PHI








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