Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NC

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000
FNUS72 KRAH 211324
FWSRAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR MORGAN 2B...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
824 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON FEBRUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHERLY FLOW IN ADVANCE OF A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE A MODEST
WARMING TREND THIS WEEKEND...ALONG WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 17 TO 21
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............84     91     90     90
WEATHER COV.........       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................35     40     43     44
RH..................59     62     62     70
20 FT WIND..........SE 5   S 5    S 5    S 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....                     5
MIX HGT (FT)........800    1100   1500   1500
TRANSPORT WIND......SE 10  SE 14  S 21   S 17
LVORI...............3      3      3      3
ADI.................11     26     26     22

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN
                    THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............89     89     90     90     91     93
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................45     44     40     40     41     40
RH..................70     79     96     96     89     92
20 FT WIND..........S 4    S 3    S 4    S 4    S 4    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........300    300    300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......S 10   S 5    S 7    S 7    S 7    S 6
LVORI...............3      5      9      9      7      10
ADI.................22     4      5      5      5      2

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN LIKELY IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 22
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING WEST
                    AROUND 12 MPH LATE.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............95     96     98     100    99     97
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40     43     49     54     57     58
RH..................96     96     89     80     75     69
20 FT WIND..........SW 2   SW 1   SW 2   SW 4   SW 5   W 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....                     5             5
MIX HGT (FT)........300    300    600    1000   1300   1500
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 2   SW 3   SW 10  SW 20  SW 22  SW 16
LVORI...............10     9      4      4      3      3
ADI.................2      3      11     11     32     13

$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN ROBINSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150221.MORGA.02/RAH



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