Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NC

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FNUS72 KRAH 251310
FWSRAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR BYRD...NCFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
910 AM EDT TUE AUG 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON AUGUST 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL PROGRESS SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH CENTRAL
NORTH CAROLINA THIS MORNING...THEN STALL OVER COASTAL PORTIONS
OF THE CAROLINAS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS SHOULD REMAIN EAST OF THE BURN SITE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT THIS MORNING...INCREASING TO 4500 FT
AGL BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...THEN RAPIDLY
DECREASING TO 250 FT AGL WITHIN AN HOUR OF SUNSET.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING WEST 6 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............41  42  42  43  43
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................85  86  86  86  86
RH..................50  46  46  46  48
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.3 3.9 4.5 4.5 4.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   6   6   6   6
LVORI...............2   2   2   2   1
ADI.................16  29  29  29  31

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 250 FT AGL WITHIN AN HOUR
OF SUNSET.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............43  44  44  44  43  43  42  41  41  40  38  36
WEATHER COV.........SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RW
TSTM COV............SCH
TEMP................84  82  78  75  73  72  71  70  69  68  68  67
RH..................53  58  69  76  81  84  87  90  90  90  87  87
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  N   NW  N   E   E   E   NE  N   N   NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.5 4.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   N   N   N   E   E   E   NE  N   N   NE  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   7   8   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
LVORI...............1   1   4   4   4   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
ADI.................31  31  3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3

$$

FORECASTER...VINCENT
REQUESTED BY...JAY STRIDER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150825.BYRD_.01/RAH


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