Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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000
FNUS71 KRNK 301623
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR CROW FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1223 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1213 EDT ON APRIL 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SHOULD SEE A DRIZZLY AFTERNOON WITH CLOUDY SKIES...TRANSITIONING
TO MORE RAIN AS HEAD TOWARD LATE IN THE DAY AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH SUNDAY WILL BE ONE HALF TO
ONE AND A HALF INCHES. THIS AFTERNOON...MIXING HEIGHTS WILL
BE LOW DUE TO THE LOWER CLOUDS AND SOUTHEAST WIND...THEREFORE
ANY SMOKE WILL STAY CLOSE TO THE TERRAIN BUT DRIFT NORTHWEST
DUE TO SOUTHEAST TRANSPORT WINDS OF 8-15 MPH.


&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PATCHY DRIZZLE AND FOG.
                    A CHANCE OF RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5
                    TO 8 MPH.
CWR (0.01 IN).......30 PERCENT THROUGH 3 PM...INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT
                    BY 6 PM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.


TIME (EDT)          NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............100    100    100
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RAIN   RAIN   RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................57     58     59
RH..................80     77     75
20 FT WIND..........SE 5   SE 5   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)........1800   2200   2100
TRANSPORT WIND......SE 9   SE 12  SE 12
CWR.................20     30     40

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR (0.01 IN).......100 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.


TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............100    100    100    100    100    99
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................59     58     56     55     55     54
RH..................76     81     84     86     89     90
20 FT WIND..........SE 4   SE 4   SE 3   SE 3   SE 3   SE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........1900   1600   1600   1400   900    900
TRANSPORT WIND......SE 10  SE 9   SE 8   SE 7   S 6    S 5
CWR.................50     70     80     90     100    90

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS. THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5
                    TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......80 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH.


TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............98     97     92     83     80     81
WEATHER COV.........DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............              LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
TEMP................54     56     61     68     72     71
RH..................94     93     85     72     63     62
20 FT WIND..........S 3    S 3    S 3    SW 4   SW 5   SW 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........900    900    1800   3100   4900   4800
TRANSPORT WIND......S 5    S 5    S 8    SW 12  SW 14  SW 12
CWR.................80     70     70     70     70     70

$$
FORECASTER...PERRY
REQUESTED BY...CAMERON CRISP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160430.CROWF.01/RNK



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