Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS72 KTAE 250811
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BU 77...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
411 AM EDT MON JUL 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8833.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT INITIALLY THIS MORNING WHICH COULD LEAD TO SOME
VARIABILITY IN THEIR DIRECTION...BUT AS THEY INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON
WILL BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY. A FEW SHOWERS ARE ALREADY EAST OF THE BURN
SITE THIS MORNING BUT HAVE BEEN DISSIPATING ONCE THEY REACH A FEW MILES
INLAND. THE BETTER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE AFTER 10-11AM WITH ABOUT A 30 PERCENT CHANCE.

.TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS
TEMP............82     89     90     90     89
RH..............79     65     60     59     59
20 FT WIND......NE 3   E 8    SE 10  SE 12  SE 10
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2100   4400   5300   5500   4900
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 6   SE 9   SE 9   SE 12  SE 14
DISPERSION IDX..16     45     39     52     57
CWR.............20     20     30     30     30

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS
TEMP............87     83     81     79     78     78
RH..............63     74     79     87     88     89
20 FT WIND......SE 9   SE 7   SE 5   SE 2   SE 2   E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10            5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4200   2900   1300   500    500    500
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 14  S 14   S 14   SE 5   SE 5   SE 5
DISPERSION IDX..53     7      6      2      2      2
CWR.............30     20     20     20     20     20

.TUESDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS
TEMP............78     79     84     87     87     87
RH..............91     88     74     68     70     68
20 FT WIND......E 2    E 3    SE 6   SE 8   S 10   S 12
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5             10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....500    600    2500   3700   4300   4400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 5    E 7    E 7    S 6    S 12   S 12
DISPERSION IDX..2      7      21     24     45     44
CWR.............20     50     50     50     60     60

$$
FORECASTER...JESSICA FIEUX
REQUESTED BY...MITCH KETRON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160725.BU77_.01/TAE


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