Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Alaska-Pacific RFC

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AGAK78 PACR 252046
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT SUN JUN 25 2017

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS LOW FOR ALASKA.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION....

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW EDGING CLOSER TO THE PANHANDLE PASSES THROUGH BY
MONDAY MORNING. SHOWERS PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY BUT TAPER
OFF DRASTICALLY BY MONDAY MORNING IN RESPONSE.

THE BIGGER PLAYER THAT STAYS WITH US THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE
WEEK HAS ENTERED THE BERING SEA AND SPINNING A FRONT THROUGH THE
ALASKA PENINSULA THIS MORNING.  THE UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO SWING
DOWN THROUGH THE BERING SEA JUST NORTH OF THE ALEUTIANS OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW INTRODUECES SOMEWHAT ANOMALOUS
PRECIPITATBLE WATER ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA ON
MONDAY.

THE SOUTHEAST MAINLAND AND MUCH OF THE PANHANDLE GET SHOWERS TODAY
AND INTO TONIGHT WHICH COULD PRODUCE UP TO AN INCH OF RAINFALL AT
FAVORED MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS. IN THE MORE ORGAINIZED PRECIPITATION
ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST RAIN COULD
REACH AN INCH AS WELL WHICH SPREADS INTO SOUTHCENTRAL BY TUESDAY
AND BEYOND.

...PRECIPITATION...

SELECTED 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ENDING AT 4 AM AKDT TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR
======== ====                 == ==   =====
CNAA2    CHISANA SNOTEL       PC RM :   1.00
FMRA2    FORTYMILE RIVER AT T PP RG :   0.90
PAEG     EAGLE                PP RZ :   0.84
EGYA2    EAGLE RAWS           PP RG :   0.78
CSNA2    CHISANA RAWS         PP RG :   0.76
NVSA2    NICK`S VALLEY SNOTEL PC RM :   0.75
AMCA2    AMERICAN CREEK       PC RM :   0.70
MHPA2    MITKOF HWY PETERSBUR PP RZ :   0.65
UPPA2    UPPER TSAINA SNOTEL  PC RM :   0.60
MXYA2    KENNICOTT RIVER NR M PP RZ :   0.59
KKEA2    KAKE RAWS            PC RG :   0.57
TKFA2    TOK RAWS             PP RG :   0.55
PAPB     SAINT GEORGE ISLAND  PP RZ :   0.55
KKEA2    KAKE RAWS            PP RG :   0.55
TNWA2    AK TOK 70 SE         PC R4 :   0.54
SAWA2    SPEEL ARM STATION 4- PC RZ :   0.51
PPSA2    POWDER PATCH STATION PC RZ :   0.51
ZMBA2    ZAREMBO ISLAND SOUTH PC RG :   0.50
TOKA2    TOK                  PC RP :   0.50
TEEA2    TEE LAKE RAWS        PC RG :   0.50
LLKA2    LONG LAKE SNOTEL     PC RM :   0.50
JDTA2    JUNEAU DOWNTOWN LARC PC RP :   0.50
DCSA2    DAVIES CREEK SNOTEL  PC RM :   0.50
UPPA2    UPPER TSAINA SNOTEL  PC R2 :   0.48
PAPG     PETERSBURG AIRPORT   PP RZ :   0.48
PAGN     ANGOON               PP RZ :   0.48
SNPA2    SAINT PAUL ISLAND CR PC RG :   0.46
PAOR     NORTHWAY AIRPORT     PP RZ :   0.46
MCAA2    MONTANA CREEK AT BAC PP RG :   0.46
ECEA2    EAGLECREST TOP CWOP  PP RZ :   0.46
PAZK     EUREKA LODGE         PP RZ :   0.45
PAJK     JUNEAU FORECAST OFFI PP RZ :   0.45
HONA2    HOONAH RAWS          PC RG :   0.44
SDIA2    SOUTH DOUGLAS        PC RZ :   0.43
PAJN     JUNEAU AIRPORT       PP RZ :   0.43
PAJK     JUNEAU FORECAST OFFI PC RZ :   0.43
ZMBA2    ZAREMBO ISLAND SOUTH PP RG :   0.42

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER NORTHERN MAINLAND AND THE ALEUTIAN
ISLANDS. INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER
SOUTHERN MAINLAND AND THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE ENTIRE STATE BUT ESPECIALLY OVER
THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND AND SOUTHEAST.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS TEXT PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZEUP IN THE FALL. A
GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/APRFC/GRAPHICALHMD

$$
ETH



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