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000
AGUS71 KTAR 251711
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
105 PM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED JUST EAST OF BOSTON SATURDAY MORNING AND
WAS DRIFTING EVER SO SLOWLY TO THE NORTHWEST.  THE LOW WAS
UNUSUALLY STRONG FOR LATE MAY AND EXTENDED FAR UP INTO THE
ATMOSPHERE.  RAIN...AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW WAS SPIRALING AROUND
THE SYSTEM WITH SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION VERY HEAVY.  SOME OF THE
HEAVIEST RAIN WAS FALLING OVER THE WHITE MOUNTAINS AND PARTS OF
THE HUDSON VALLEY.
:
AS THE SYSTEM DRIFTS SLOWLY NORTHWEST AREAS OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN
SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.  DURING SUNDAY THE LOW
WILL ACCELERATE TO NORTHEAST AND WE WILL SEE THE PRECIPITATION
BECOME LIGHTER...MORE SCATTERED AND FINALLY DURING SUNDAY NIGHT.
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR THE HOLIDAY WITH DRY WEATHER
AND MILDER TEMPERATURES.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
THE WET WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUED TO BRING RAIN TO NEW ENGLAND AND
EASTERN NEW YORK FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY AMOUNTS OF
AN INCH OR MORE WERE REPORTED IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND...
EASTERN MAINE...AND FROM THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN MAINE ACROSS
NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND VERMONT INTO EASTERN NEW YORK.
:
THE CONTINUED RAINFALL WILL CAUSE SEVERAL RIVERS TO RISE TO OR
ABOVE ACTION STAGE...WITH A FEW POINTS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE
MINOR FLOOD STAGE THIS WEEKEND. THE EAST BRANCH OF THE AUSABLE
RIVER AT AUSABLE FORKS, NY ROSE TO FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.
IT HAD CRESTED AND WAS FALLING...BUT COULD GO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING. OTHER POINTS FORECAST TO
CREST NEAR OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE IN THE LAKE CHAMPLAIN DRAINAGE
BASIN THIS WEEKEND INCLUDE: THE WINOOSKI RIVER AT ESSEX JUNCTION..
.THE MISSISQUOI RIVER AT NORTH TROY AND EAST BERKSHIRE, VT...
OTTER CREEK AT CENTER RUTLAND, VT...AND THE LAMOILLE RIVER AT
JOHNSON AND EAST GEORGIA, VT IN THE CONNECTICUT RIVER BASIN
...THE CONNECTICUT RIVER AT NORTH STRATFORD...DALTON...AND WEST
LEBANON, NH AND WELLS RIVER, VT ARE FORECAST TO CREST NEAR OR
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. IN THE MERRIMACK RIVER BASIN...THE PEMIGEWASSET
RIVER AT WOODSTOCK AND PLYMOUTH, NH WILL CREST NEAR OR ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE. IN MAINE...THE KENNEBEC RIVER AT SKOWHEGAN...NORTH
SIDNEY...AND AUGUSTA, ME AS WELL AS THE SWIFT RIVER AT ROXBURY, ME
WILL ALL CREST NEAR OR ABOVE ACTION STAGE.
:
SEVERAL OTHER TRIBUTARIES THAT ARE NOT NERFC FORECAST POINTS COULD
ALSO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. PERSONS WITH INTERESTS ALONG AREA
RIVERS SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC INDICATES NO SIGNIFICANT
RIVER FLOODING IS LIKELY FOR THE RIVERS IN NEW ENGLAND AND NEW
YORK FOR THE NEXT FIVE DAYS. MINOR RIVER FLOODING IS LIKELY IN
NORTHERN NEW YORK...NORTHERN VERMONT..NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW
HAMPSHIRE...AND WESTERN MAINE THIS WEEKEND.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP.SHTML
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:          STEVE NOGUEIRA
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                   JEFF OUELLET