Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Northeast RFC

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AGUS71 KTAR 201733
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1231 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO HEAD EAST ACROSS EASTERN NEW YORK STATE
MIDDAY THURSDAY. LATEST RADAR LOOP INDICATES SNOW SHOWERS AND
SQUALLS HAVE INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ACROSS NEW YORK
STATE.
:
24 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE LIQUID EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS HAVE
RANGED FROM NIL UP TO 0.2 INCH ACROSS MOST AREAS...EXCEPT 0.25 TO
0.75 INCH AMOUNTS WERE RECORDED WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW DOWNWIND OF
LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. SNOW TOTALS GENERALLY RANGED FROM NIL UP
TO A COUPLE INCHES ACROSS HIGH TERRAIN AREAS...UP TO SIX TO 18
INCHES DOWNWIND OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.
:
THE COLD FRONT WILL HEAD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS DOWNWIND OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO AND
INSTABILITY SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES ACROSS THE HIGH TERRAIN OF
NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL OCCUR THROUGH
TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS FOR SATURDAY.
:
48 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE LIQUID EQUIVALENT PRECIPITION FORECAST
AMOUNTS THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING RANGE FROM 0.50 UP TO 1.50
INCHES DOWNWIND OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO...INCLUDING THE TUG HILL
PLATEAU REGION. 48 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE FORECAST LIQUID EQUIVALENT
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ELSEWHERE RANGE FROM NIL TO 0.15 INCH.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
NERFC FORECAST POINTS ARE NOW GENERALLY IN RECESSION OR HOLDING AT
STEADY LEVELS.  NO HYDROLOGIC RESPONSES ASSOCIATED WITH THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOWS IN WESTERN NEW YORK HAVE YET BEEN OBSERVED, AS
TEMPERATURES IN THAT AREA CONTINUE TO REGISTER WELL BELOW FREEZING
.  THIS TREND OF COLD TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
BALANCE OF THE UPCOMING WEEK, DELAYING ANY SIGNIFICANT HYDROLOGIC
RESPONSE UNTIL THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
:
ACCORDING TO THE USGS WATER WATCH WEBPAGE...7-DAY AVERAGE
STREAMFLOWS ACROSS THE NERFC REGION ARE GENERALLY NORMAL TO BELOW
NORMAL FOR MID-NOVEMBER.  EXCEPTIONS TO THIS TREND ARE IN THE
HUDSON RIVER BASIN AND IN SOUTHERNMOST RHODE ISLAND, WHERE FLOWS
ARE BELOW NORMAL TO MUCH BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS PERIOD.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
THIS TEXT PRODUCT WILL BE DISCONTINUED EFFECTIVE DECEMBER 2 2014.
IT WILL BE REPLACED BY A PRODUCT AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/BRIEFINGS
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:         NEAL STRAUSS
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                  BILL SAUNDERS





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