Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FLUS44 KTSA 141000
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 AM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-151000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
500 AM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...MAINLY EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AS A DIFFUSE FRONTAL BOUNDARY LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. ADDITIONAL SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A STRONGER COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE
REGION FROM THE NORTH. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING TO BECOME STRONG TO MARGINALLY
SEVERE  WITH WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL THE CONCERN.

TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY NOT BE AS HOT TODAY ACROSS THE MAJORITY
OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES WILL
TOP OUT IN THE MID T0 UPPER 90S THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. HEAT INDEX VALUES ACROSS THIS AREA COULD APPROACH 105 DEGREES
THIS AFTERNOON AS WELL.

WIND GUSTS WILL BE IN THE 25 TO 30 MPH RANGE TONIGHT ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA BEHIND THE STRONG COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES SOUTH ACROSS THE
AREA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SEVERAL THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND WESTERN ARKANSAS FROM MID-WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND AS AN ACTIVE
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPS OVER THE AREA. THE MOST LIKELY
PERIOD FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WHEN
THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO INCREASE. SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS WILL MOST LIKELY SEE THE HEAVIEST RAIN WITH
1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$






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