Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 281057
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
656 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID SEP 28/1200 UTC THRU OCT 01/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1


...MID ATLANTIC INTO THE NORTHEAST...

THE SOUTHWARD MOVING CLOSED LOW OVER THE OH VALLEY WILL BE BACKING
THE LOW TO MID LEVEL FLOW DOWNSTREAM OF IT ACROSS THE MID
ATLANTIC---BEGINNING A MULTI DAY PRECIPITATION EVENT THAT WILL
BRING QUITE A BIT OF RAIN OVER NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE MID
ATLANTIC REGION. AS THE DEEP-LAYER FLOW BACKS S-SE...THE INJECTION
OF MOISTURE OFF THE ATLANTIC GULF STREAM WILL BRING HIGHER PWS
W-NW INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. TAKING A LOOK AT THE LATEST 00Z
GFS-BASED ESRL FORECAST OF INTEGRATED WATER VAPOR TRANSPORT (IVT)
SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED ATMOSPHERIC RIVER SET UP FROM OFF THE
ATLANTIC COAST NORTHWEST THROUGH THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC
REGION...THEN WESTWARD INTO THE OH VALLEY AND SOUTHERN LOWER MI.
MEANWHILE...THE NEGATIVE U (EASTERLY) WIND MOISTURE FLUX ANOMALIES
CLIMB TO AROUND 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE
MASON-DIXON LINE PER THE GEFS/ECENS. ADDING TO WHAT WILL BECOME A
VERY FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT IS SOME ELEVATED
INSTABILITY TO WORK WITH -- WITH MUCAPES AVERAGING 400-800 J/KG
PER THE MODELS.

IN TERMS OF THE DAY 1 QPF...WPC FOLLOWED A BLEND OF CONTINUITY
(PREVIOUS FORECAST) ALONG WITH THE 00Z GFS...UKMET...AND RGEM. THE
00Z ECMWF IS SOMEWHAT OF A WET OUTLIER WITH THE HEAVY RAIN AXIS
REACHING FARTHER NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHEAST PA...NORTHERN DE...AND
SOUTHERN NJ...THUS FOR NOW HAVE NOT INCORPORATED THE ECMWF IN THE
QPF BLEND OVER THIS AREA. MEANWHILE...THE 00Z NAM IS A NOTABLE
WESTERN OUTLIER WITH THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL (2-3+ INCHES) ACROSS
THE BLUE RIDGE AND EASTERN SLOPES OF THE APPALACHIANS. GIVEN THAT
THE MEAN LOW-LEVEL INFLOW WILL HAVE MORE OF A SOUTHERLY VS.
EASTERLY COMPONENT (I.E. MINIMAL UPSLOPE) THROUGH MUCH OF THE
PERIOD...ALONG WITH THE INSTABILITY GRADIENT EAST OF THE BLUE
RIDGE...HAVE DISMISSED THE 00Z NAM QPF.

HEAVIEST QPF -- 2 TO 3+ INCHES -- WAS NOTED ALONG AND WEST OF THE
I-95 CORRIDOR TO INCLUDE RIC...DCA...BWI...AND MDT. DESPITE THE
DRY ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS (RELATIVELY HIGH FFG)...WILL MAINTAIN
THE LARGE SLIGHT AND SMALL MODERATE RISK AREAS (WITH SOME MINOR
TWEAKS) IN THE NEW DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK THAT WERE
INHERITED FROM YESTERDAY`S DAY 2 ERO.


...SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN INTO THE OHIO VALLEY...

THE STRONG CLOSED LOW INITIALLY OVER THE UPPER LAKES WILL BE
DROPPING SOUTHWARD INTO THE LOWER LAKES AND TOWARD THE OH VALLEY
THIS PERIOD.  SHOWERY CONDITIONS WILL DROP SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE
WESTERN LAKES AS THE ASSOCIATED COMMA HEAD DEFORMATION PRECIP BAND
ALSO PUSHES SOUTHWARD. AS NOTED ABOVE... THE WESTWARD EXTENSION OF
THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER WILL REACH THESE AREAS...AS THE APPROACHING
UPPER LOW ALLOWS THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT (WCB) AND ANOMALOUS PW AND
850-700 MB MOISTURE FLUX TO BACK MORE WESTERLY INTO A DEEPENING
TROWAL ZONE. HAVE BOOSTED MAX AREAL-AVERAGE QPF TO 0.50-1.00
ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOWER MI SOUTH INTO OH A RESULT OF GOOD
MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS...SOME OF WHICH MAY BE ENHANCED WITH THE
STRENGTHENING EASTERLY FLOW OFF LAKE ERIE.


...SOUTHWEST/SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN/SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...

THE CLOSED HIGH OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BE WEAKENING THIS
PERIOD---ALLOWING CONTINUED SLOW NORTHWARD PUSH TO THE CLOSED LOW
INITIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN BAJA INTO THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN
GREAT BASIN THIS PERIOD.  WIDESPREAD SCATTERED SHOWERS LIKELY TO
CONTINUE IN THE ABOVE AVERAGE PW AXIS AHEAD OF THIS CLOSED
LOW---SUPPORTING LIGHT TO MODERATE AREAL AVERAGE PRECIP TOTALS
ACROSS THESE REGIONS.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...EAST...

THE MODELS ALL CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE A STRONG UPPER LOW CUTTING
OFF FROM THE WESTERLIES AND DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH THE OH VALLEY
BY THURSDAY. THEREAFTER...IT IS EXPECTED TO MEANDER AND POSSIBLY
DRIFT A BIT BACK TO THE NORTH BY SATURDAY. THE MAIN CONCERN FOR
THE EASTERN U.S. WILL BE OVER PARTS OF THE UPPER OH VALLEY AND
ESPECIALLY THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC REGION WHERE
BACKING LOW TO MID LEVEL FLOW AND A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET
WILL DRIVE AN ANOMALOUS DEEP LAYER SOUTHEAST FETCH OF ATLANTIC
MOISTURE INLAND ACROSS THE REGION. THE ANOMALOUS MOISTURE
TRANSPORT WILL COUPLE WITH LARGER SCALE ASCENT AND UPSLOPE FLOW
FOR A HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL EVENT.

A CONSENSUS OF THE ECMWF AND GFS INDICATE A LOW LEVEL JET
INCREASING TO NEAR 50 KTS OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC COASTAL PLAIN BY
LATE THURSDAY WHICH WILL BE AIMING INTO THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS INCLUDING THE BLUE RIDGE. 850 MB MOISTURE
FLUX ANOMALIES ARE FORECAST TO RISE TO NEAR 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS
ABOVE NORMAL...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES 1 TO 2 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL. SO THIS ENVIRONMENT WILL TEND TO FOSTER
EFFICIENT RAINFALL PROCESSES WITHIN WHAT SHOULD BE OF STRONGER
LARGE SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED
TROUGH AXIS TENDING TO BECOME NEGATIVELY TILTED. ENHANCED LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS EXPECTED TO SET UP ALSO WITH THE AID OF A
RATHER STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE NOSING SOUTH THROUGH NEW
ENGLAND...WHICH WILL STRENGTHEN THE FRONTAL ZONE STALLED OUT OVER
THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN MID-ATLANTIC REGION. GRADUALLY THE SYSTEM
WILL EVOLVE AS OCCLUDED CYCLONE BY THURSDAY...WITH ENHANCED
ISENTROPIC LIFT ADDING TO THE LARGER SCALE ASCENT. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED
FOR THE DAY 2 PERIOD FROM EARLY THURSDAY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
WHICH IS CONSISTENT WITH A BLEND OF THE ECMWF/GFS AND UKMET. GIVEN
THIS A RELATIVELY BROAD SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AREA IS
MAINTAINED ALONG WITH A FOCUSED MODERATE RISK AREA INVOLVING AN
AXIS FROM SOUTHWEST PA NEAR THE LAUREL HIGHLANDS SOUTHEAST DOWN
INTO NORTHERN VA INCLUDING THE D.C. METROPOLITAN AREA. THIS WILL
BE ESSENTIALLY THE AXIS OF STRONGEST MOISTURE TRANSPORT
COLLOCATING WITH THE AXIS OF STRONGEST DEEP LAYER ASCENT AND
ACCOUNTING FOR UPSLOPE FLOW. LOCALLY SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF AND/OR
FLASH FLOODING PROBLEMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

DEEP LAYER CYCLONIC FLOW AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT BACK INTO THE OH
VALLEY WILL ALLOW AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF RAIN TO ADVANCE BACK
THROUGH THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION AND UPPER OH VALLEY REGION IN
GENERAL ALTHOUGH THE AMOUNTS HERE WILL NOT BE NEARLY AS HIGH AS
AREAS FARTHER EAST. NEVERTHELESS AS MUCH AS 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN
IS EXPECTED LOCALLY GIVEN THE PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST FETCH OF
MOISTURE AND ENERGY.

ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY FOR THE DAY 3 PERIOD...THE MID AND
ESPECIALLY LOW LEVEL FLOW ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD FROM THE
MID-ATLANTIC TO NEW ENGLAND WILL ACTUALLY BEGIN TO VEER A BIT AS
THE UPPER LOW SHIFTS SOMEWHAT BACK TO THE NORTH AND FAIRLY STRONG
RIDGING BUILDS OFFSHORE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR SOME LOCALLY HEAVIER RAINFALL POTENTIAL TO SET UP ACROSS
ESPECIALLY COASTAL AREAS OF NEW ENGLAND. SHOWER ACTIVITY SHOULD
ALSO SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF THE INTERIOR OF THE NORTHEAST AS A MORE
EXPANSIVE AREA OF ISENTROPIC LIFT SETS UP. IN GENERAL...THE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WILL BE CONSIDERABLY LOWER
THAN ON THURSDAY FOR THE MID-ATLANTIC AND UPPER OH VALLEY...BUT
POCKETS OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL STILL BE EXPECTED
GIVEN THE FACT THERE WILL STILL BE SHORTWAVE IMPULSES ROTATING
AROUND THE BASE OF THE UPPER LOW. THESES ADDITIONAL RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO AGGRAVATE RUNOFF PROBLEMS THAT MAY BE OCCURRING LOCALLY
FROM EARLIER HEAVY RAINS.


...SOUTHWEST/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...

A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY ENTERING THE SOUTHWEST WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DRIFT NORTH INTO GREAT BASIN THROUGH FRIDAY AS
A DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE WEST COAST. INCREASED
MOISTURE TRANSPORT AROUND THE NORTHEAST FLANK OF THE UPPER
LOW...COMBINED WITH SOME INCREASED SYNOPTIC SUPPORT FOR
ASCENT...SHOULD LEAD TO INCREASED SHOWER COVERAGE ACROSS THE WEST
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH THE THREAT SHIFTING NORTH WITH
TIME. THERE WILL BE A MARGINAL THREAT FOR SOME FLASH FLOODING
GIVEN THE INCREASED MOISTURE IN CONJUNCTION WITH OROGRAPHICS.
WIDESPREAD PROBLEMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED GIVEN THE GENERAL LACK OF
FOCUSED FORCING. HOWEVER ISOLATED FLASH FLOOD ISSUES MAY
ARISE...ESPECIALLY BY THURSDAY...AND THUS A MARGINAL RISK WAS
MAINTAINED FOR PORTIONS OF AZ/NM/UT/CO.


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

A DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH APPROACHING THE NORTHWEST WILL ALLOW A
SURFACE LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACH THE COASTAL
AREAS BY SATURDAY. SOME INCREASE IN SOUTHWEST ONSHORE FLOW WILL
ENHANCE THE MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND SHOULD YIELD SOME SHOWER
ACTIVITY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE LIGHT.

HURLEY/ORRISON

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

24HR QP VT 29/12Z
 0.01 494333 486328 477323 469319 464315 463311 462306 465302
      469296 473293 477291 481290 484291 491287 494285 498286
      508290 511291 513290
 0.01 544041 544034 543030 542019 537005 528994 521004 516025
      512043 513051 512057 511063 508069 506078 494110 492120
      491130 495137 494140 493145 491148 491155 492158 495159
      499154 503148 504137 508129 515116 522102 525094 529087
      532080 534072 537062 539054 544041
 0.01 475890 473881 470874 469868 468865 467852 466840 464829
      463822 460822 458825 457830 459835 459841 461844 461850
      461856 459860 455864 450865 447867 443867 436868 431865
      434859 438852 440848 441844 442836 439828 436820 436815
      438812 442807 445805 445802 443798 442792 441780 439773
      438764 438755 438748 435743 431737 428733 425733 418733
      414734 412732 412729 413718 417713 424711 430707 430702
      428699 423696 418698 410708 404719 400733 397736 394735
      388732 383731 377728 371725 366724 361729 356734 352738
      349744 347757 346765 343770 333779 328780 325779 317778
      312777 313772 310766 303763 295763 288763 282762 274763
      260765 251767 246769 240780 244786 250788 253790 254795
      256797 254800 252806 255811 258819 259826 260829 260832
      256836 250840 248844 247850 250855 251859 254860 261860
      269873 271875 272879 272888 275895 278902 280904 285904
      290902 295897 297893 308870 314867 317861 324847 328842
      332836 338832 343828 349825 357824 361823 362826 357830
      353834 350839 345851 344854 344859 346860 348857 350859
      351861 351866 352870 356870 359869 361869 362872 365878
      366881 370880 375877 377878 379882 384886 393886 409885
      418891 424894 427895 429893 435888 443887 448883 452877
      454874 457872 461872 463876 466884 464894 462901 460908
      460915 464918 468914 471907 474898 474892 475890
 0.01 426117 424117 422114 420116 420119 422119 424119 426117
      426117
 0.01 414104 414101 410099 405095 397094 392091 386088 382085
      378071 374066 371064 367063 356068 350070 343070 333071
      326071 320069 316069 313071 309074 306075 304073 301069
      297063 294059 288056 282053 274051 266051 244060 245065
      248071 253075 258079 271084 277085 282087 297092 298095
      301095 306093 312096 313099 312104 313110 316116 320116
      322113 326112 331112 335114 339118 341122 343130 345136
      349141 352147 350155 353169 351176 350179 353180 356185
      358187 362188 364188 367186 368183 367181 365178 370176
      373175 374171 375167 378165 379157 379152 383149 387148
      390148 392146 392143 388139 386130 387129 388125 390122
      394117 399113 405114 410110 414104
 0.01 390810 389807 387807 382808 378810 375812 370815 368818
      366820 367822 372820 375819 381817 384815 388813 390810
 0.01 311158 312152 311147 310143 311137 312130 313126 313122
      310119 306121 304125 300132 293138 289144 288150 289154
      294160 300162 303164 310160 311158
 0.01 230977 232980 232985 232994 231999 233005 239018 243022
      246022 248020 250016 253016 255013 262004 262000 260998
      254995 254991 256989 262986 273980 276975 279968 281962
      282955 277943 273928 272922 271913 268905 266902 266897
      265890 263890 262895 262912 261920 259927 251936 241942
      237946 234952 231963
 0.01 236810 232800 230786 227784 224787 221791 219796 220810
      225819 227824 226829 225834 225837 228839 230840 231836
      232831 232824 235814 236810
 0.25 505307 504307 503307 502308 500308 499308 498309 497310
      496310 494311 493313 492316 492318 493320 493321 494323
      495325 497325 499325
 0.25 432850 433840 433830 431821 429815 426809 424802 423795
      423787 426772 426766 425758 422752 419749 415747 409747
      406742 400744 393747 388745 383744 376746 373749 371752
      368759 365763 357770 349777 342784 326801 323804 323808
      324810 326811 325813 325818 337814 349810 355808 359808
      363809 367806 376801 382798 389797 396796 402797 404800
      404806 402811 396815 387821 379827 373835 370841 368847
      369850 372850 377851 382850 386847 390848 392853 394860
      396865 398867 408871 412873 419874 422871 424867 429856
      432850
 0.25 353119 350112 347105 345102 345098 346092 344087 342085
      338083 334083 332087 331092 331096 332099 337103 341104
      343107 345115 351119 353119
 0.25 315804 316800 314796 310792 301787 299785 298781 295777
      289775 285772 281772 278773 275778 278786 274788 273791
      278794 285804 289807 291809 293807 294804 297805 302807
      308808 313806 315804
 0.25 308854 308848 307844 305835 302827 298822 292818 286815
      281815 277817 272820 269823 268827 268837 267846 269853
      273861 276867 280874 283880 286881 291881 296876 298869
      301863 308854
 0.25 271970 270952 267937 265935 262935 257939 254944 248947
      243949 239954 236961 234967 235976 239981 241987 241991
      240994 242996 245996 245988 249983 255981 266976 271970
 0.50 428838 428828 427822 423816 418815 412814 407816 395820
      390823 385826 384831 387834 391835 395834 399837 402843
      407845 413845 414849 414854 415858 417860 422857 425852
      428845 428838
 0.50 418771 418763 416755 407755 401748 396749 390749 386749
      382751 378754 375758 362771 348782 342791 338799 338803
      340805 345805 354802 358801 361803 366802 370799 379795
      384793 389793 395792 401791 409787 413783 416779 418771
 0.50 298796 298794 297792 295792 293791 291791 289791 288791
      287791 286791 284791 284792 283794 284795 284796 286797
      288797 290797 292797 294797 295797 297797 298796
 0.50 293834 292830 289828 285826 281825 276825 273828 273832
      275835 281835 283838 281842 277844 273845 273851 275855
      278858 285862 286865 288865 288860 292851 293847 292841
      293834
 0.50 267972 268966 266962 266955 267952 265943 262942 261944
      261948 259952 257954 253957 250958 244959 241962 237967
      237972 239976 245977 250977 259974 263974 267972
 1.00 411770 410764 408761 402758 400754 397752 389754 382758
      377764 372768 366773 356782 351788 350791 350795 350798
      354796 362796 368794 375790 381786 387786 392787 396785
      403782 408777 411770
 1.50 407771 405764 401760 397756 391756 385759 381764 378768
      373771 365779 356787 356790 358792 364792 374785 380783
      386782 399779 404775 407771
 2.00 402772 401764 399761 396759 391759 386760 383763 381768
      378770 372776 370780 366782 363785 361789 365789 368786
      371783 376781 386779 395777 400774 402772
 3.00 394768 392766 392765 390765 388766 388767 388769 387770
      385772 384774 384775 386775 388774 389774 391772 392771
      392770 394768

24HR QP VT 30/12Z
 0.01 519180 521170 520162 512153 509152 505148 501143 494142
      491140 491137 487135 485133 481130 476133 474136 474139
      478144 475148 470145 467142 466138 463132 459129 457126
      457122 458113 460107 460103 458100 454095 447093 442090
      438090 436093 433093 431091 426088 424099 419101 415101
      412099 412088 410083 411079 413077 415070 416064 411061
      406058 403057 401059 382068 377064 370063 357066 352069
      350072 346071 335073 327074 323073 321074 318075 314074
      310071 302070 298067 286061 274054 268056 264058 260062
      259071 259078 261083 265087 270089 273088 274090 278092
      284091 288092 292096 298096 301098 303101 306107 310111
      315114 321111 327110 332114 330119 329124 328126 323132
      321138 317140 312142 308146 306152 305156 305160 309161
      313161 320159 325153 327147 336140 340136 343134 346135
      350137 354135 358136 369137 373138 376137 377132 380127
      385124 399121 403126 409125 414129 418129 421130 422135
      418139 413142 406141 399140 393140 384144 382147 383149
      388150 390151 391155 389159 383163 382170 384168 388170
      390172 392171 395165 398159 401158 404158 408154 411155
      412158 416159 417161 422158 427153 429152 432154 435160
      442161 446163 447165 451166 454164 458158 460156 463156
      467157 469155 474159 474164 469167 462177 461181 462185
      468184 470182 473183 477185 486178 489176 493178 496184
      500191 506193 511192 514189 518185 519180
 0.01 478027 476024 471023 468025 462025 460028 457030 455035
      457038 460036 465036 470036 473034 476031 478027
 0.01 443798 438748 437741 433739 430736 426735 421737 419731
      418724 420718 422708 422706 420700 419697 416693 408691
      399691 394692 390695 383698 375703 361714 355720 347723
      325731 307737 290744 276753 271759 263765 257770 254773
      251777 242790 240798 245804 250803 253802 255804 252808
      253815 253826 251836 249845 250850 251854 254856 258857
      267858 271857 275855 278851 280846 283842 286840 294836
      317813 325808 337807 342806 347807 352807 355810 359819
      359825 357829 357832 359835 362836 368836 371840 371843
      362846 358852 362863 372892 377895 381896 390895 406889
      419880 425874 428871 430867 431863 433857 434853 437849
      441841 444829 444819 442812 440807 441803 443798
 0.01 383195 381192 378189 375186 370184 364183 359183 359186
      364188 367189 372192 375195 381196 383195
 0.01 345182 345177 344171 343168 341166 336167 330165 327168
      332170 335172 339171 341175 341180 344183 345182
 0.01 231994 237994 241990 247988 252986 256982 258980 258976
      262964 262956 263952 263945 261937 257925 255921 250919
      245921 241923 238929 237936 236952 235957 232962 231963
 0.25 503155 502153 502152 501151 500149 499149 498148 496148
      495148 495151 496153 497156 499158 500158 501157 502156
      503155
 0.25 437794 436786 434780 432761 428753 424748 410750 406744
      406736 407728 408722 411714 411706 409704 405704 399708
      395713 390716 377720 366728 361731 354734 342739 332746
      321752 315756 311760 303769 294776 284784 282791 282798
      285804 289806 296806 302804 314796 320793 326792 332792
      339790 346790 353791 359794 363797 367802 370808 372815
      376821 380824 385825 390826 391829 394835 393843 390851
      388857 387864 387868 389870 393873 400874 406872 411870
      416865 424855 430845 433839 435832 435822 434811 436803
      437794
 0.25 404077 404072 401070 396073 394074 390074 386078 377072
      374073 372077 371084 368089 364089 363087 360087 361090
      363092 362094 360097 356097 351095 349092 349087 346083
      334082 330083 328085 328090 335099 338104 339108 340111
      343114 348118 352118 354117 358112 362109 364110 364114
      361119 363123 367122 369116 370112 370107 370102 372099
      378098 382094 387092 391089 398085 404077
 0.25 360765 359764 358763 356763 355764 354764 352765 352766
      352769 353769 355769 356769 358769 359767 360766 360765
 0.25 293079 292077 291075 287073 284072 282071 278070 275070
      271069 269070 269074 270076 274077 276077 279080 283080
      287080 290080 293079
 0.25 275830 275826 272825 270824 269825 267827 265829 264831
      262834 262836 264838 267837 269835 271834 273832 275830
 0.25 231986 237986 240985 244982 246980 248976 252972 253970
      252964 250962 245962 243964 240968 237971 235973 232976
 0.50 433802 433796 432791 429785 426774 424766 420761 414760
      407758 401753 399751 398748 397737 396733 393731 386733
      375740 372748 371756 367771 365780 366786 368788 371796
      375801 377804 379807 381811 384812 390815 395819 399823
      402827 403831 403838 402847 400855 401861 402864 406865
      408863 412858 417852 422847 426842 429836 432828 432822
      431816 431808 433802
 0.50 380078 379076 378076 376078 377080 377081 378080 379080
      380078
 0.50 356748 354744 350744 345745 341747 334752 327757 321763
      315770 310776 303781 295785 291788 288791 287795 290799
      294799 298798 313789 320784 325782 331782 340779 344776
      342772 340769 341767 344764 350758 354752 356748
 0.50 341098 341096 340095 338095 339098 340098 341098
 0.50 239981 240979 239979 237979 235979 235980 237981 238981
      239982 239981
 1.00 426808 425801 423798 420794 419790 417776 415772 412770
      403767 397761 391756 387753 383753 380755 378759 375769
      373772 372778 374784 376788 383793 387795 389799 395804
      403809 413824 415832 419836 423834 425829 425823 426810
      426808
 1.50 418806 413793 411775 407773 401771 397768 393763 390760
      386759 383761 380765 378771 376778 379785 382788 387792
      396798 406803 410806 415809 418806
 2.00 411803 411796 410791 408777 405775 401774 398772 394768
      392765 388763 385763 382766 380770 379775 380782 383786
      389790 397795 403799 411803 411803
 3.00 406792 406787 405783 401779 397776 393771 389767 385768
      383775 384784 389787 393789 398792 404793 406792
 4.00 402788 401784 399782 397781 395780 393777 391773 389771
      387771 386774 386777 386781 388783 390784 392785 394787
      397788 400789 402788

24HR QP VT 01/12Z
 0.01 534193 536182 536173 533166 529161 511144 473125 469120
      468112 469109 469106 467102 465102 458100 452096 447094
      441096 434094 429091 426089 426095 428097 427102 423105
      419111 414111 412109 412105 411098 408092 408087 409084
      411081 413080 416077 416072 417067 419065 422060 423058
      423053 422051 419050 414052 408052 401051 396049 385046
      378046 376048 372048 365047 358044 351044 346048 343050
      336053 325057 321058 317058 310057 287051 282040 281032
      277027 274023 268025 265030 263037 262043 258045 253048
      253055 256060 262064 262072 264078 268082 270084 274085
      281095 290102 296103 299102 303102 308105 311111 314116
      319117 326116 333117 337121 339122 340126 342132 343134
      347135 353133 356132 360132 369140 374140 378135 383130
      388127 392124 397122 409124 412124 415126 415130 413134
      412141 409142 405141 398141 393144 388148 383149 379151
      377157 379165 380168 385168 386171 389169 393168 408154
      412153 413156 415158 418159 423145 427139 432135 434138
      435141 433152 432154 433157 434160 437161 441165 443170
      447175 448177 446180 442184 440188 440190 445189 447188
      449191 451194 454194 458189 461189 463186 467181 469179
      471181 474182 477183 479182 482183 486187 489188 492186
      495187 498190 519200 524200 528198 532194 534193
 0.01 518991 518985 512984 507984 504982 496977 493978 487979
      482979 479982 472987 462001 458003 455007 453012 449015
      447019 447026 451027 454025 458023 464023 473022 477021
      481018 489023 492026 497027 503027 506024 508019 508012
      509003 507998 504995 509994 515994 518991 518991
 0.01 483258 484249 485245 483243 478234 467234 462233 457234
      448235 443236 437235 433236 428236 416234 408237 404239
      403242 405248 408253 412262 418265 422264 431262 434262
      436260 438259 438263 439268 443269 445270 446272 448278
      452281 456280 461280 466278 468271 469263 470260 473260
      475262 480261 483258
 0.01 477847 473836 471828 470820 468806 462797 459792 455790
      450789 446786 442776 444766 445753 448747 449741 451736
      452730 451722 449716 443711 436704 430694 423687 417681
      411678 407678 397683 393686 389690 386693 383699 381703
      377707 360716 351722 346725 342727 332732 325739 319748
      316752 312756 304759 297764 280776 272783 265790 251802
      247804 244807 243812 243819 245825 248827 253829 260829
      277836 284836 288834 290829 286825 292819 295810 299807
      301802 299797 301793 309785 318781 355786 359788 362788
      364791 369801 376809 378814 379821 378828 376830 371833
      369837 367842 366849 363854 362861 362874 363878 364880
      367884 370889 374892 377895 381898 385900 390902 399904
      404903 409902 414901 417898 423896 427898 433898 438896
      443906 448907 452904 455902 460901 468896 470891 473887
      475882 473875 473865 474858 477847
 0.01 445206 446204 446201 445198 444198 443196 443195 441195
      441197 441198 442200 442201 443203 443205 443206 445206
      445206
 0.01 448075 446072 445070 443069 441069 443072 444075 446075
      448075 448075
 0.01 430212 430211 429209 427208 426207 424205 422205 421204
      419206 417206 416208 417209 418209 420210 422210 423210
      425211 427213 428212 430212 430212
 0.25 515182 515178 513177 513171 511167 508167 507161 505158
      503157 502160 498159 491163 484161 481163 479167 480172
      483175 487177 490177 494176 498177 502178 506182 509184
      513184 515182
 0.25 469243 465240 458239 454241 451242 450247 451255 454260
      456266 459268 460265 460257 460252 462248 465244 469243
 0.25 465856 466845 464834 460817 457810 454803 445795 437784
      433778 431771 437759 440752 441745 438739 434734 438729
      439726 438724 435725 433724 426723 424722 424719 425712
      424702 421695 416691 413690 409691 402695 397700 390709
      387716 382720 378721 374727 370732 366736 353743 341750
      337755 334762 337763 340762 346759 349757 353757 357760
      362764 365772 367779 371785 379794 383800 388804 391809
      394817 397823 398828 397831 388841 381850 378857 376865
      376874 378883 382888 387890 395891 402891 417887 428881
      440875 451869 462869 465856
 0.25 411070 410068 407067 403067 401067 399069 396071 396076
      399077 401076 403072 404070 407069 408071 411070
 0.25 392077 393075 393073 392072 391070 390070 389072 389073
      389075 390077 392079 392077
 0.25 298080 300076 299071 295067 291064 286061 279059 275059
      273061 271065 272069 274074 280076 285080 290082 296081
      298080
 0.25 283800 281798 279798 278799 279799 281799 283800 283800
 0.25 274809 273808 273807 271807 269807 267808 267810 267811
      269812 270812 271812 272812 273812 274809
 0.50 453816 452810 448805 443797 436790 433787 428786 421787
      416784 413780 411777 411772 416769 416765 415762 412759
      409754 410747 413744 419738 418725 421714 421708 420700
      417695 413694 408698 405701 399709 397714 395719 391729
      385735 381739 377743 376745 377748 381751 383753 383757
      379762 377764 377771 380787 383789 387791 391792 397792
      403792 407792 413793 416795 419811 418814 416816 414816
      407810 403808 398811 400818 403822 412840 418850 424850
      429848 436840 439838 442834 445828 448824 450818 453816
 0.50 436751 436750 435749 434748 434749 434751 435752 436751
      436751
 0.50 418870 417865 415864 410866 405869 398871 393869 391867
      389863 391856 393849 395846 393843 388847 385851 381857
      379862 378868 379875 382882 388884 392883 397883 404882
      414877 418870
 1.00 416712 415705 413703 410705 406709 404713 403718 405724
      407728 409728 412723 414720 416715 416712
 1.00 404785 401781 397779 393778 390776 389774 390767 387765
      385768 385774 384779 385783 389786 392787 398786 403786
      404785

$$




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