Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 010908
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
507 AM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID SEP 01/1200 UTC THRU SEP 04/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


UPDATE

NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO THE PRELIM DAY 1 QPF FOR THE FINAL
ISSUANCE.

DAY 1

PACIFIC NORTHWEST

BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW WILL PERSIST AGAIN OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC
INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AS A STRONG CLOSED LOW ROTATES INTO
WESTERN B.C.   AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHING INLAND INTO
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TUESDAY AND THEN POST FRONTAL ONSHORE
CYCLONIC FLOW WILL KEEP SHOWERY CONDITIONS FOR THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST FROM THE WASHINGTON/NORTHERN OREGON CASCADES---WESTWARD
TO THE NORTHERN OREGON COAST RANGE/WASHINGTON COAST RANGE AND
OLYMPIC RANGE.  AREAL AVERAGE MODERATE AMOUNTS DEPICTED---WITH
ISOLATED HEAVY TOTALS POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN WASHINGTON
CASCADES.

SOUTHWEST---EASTERN GREAT BASIN INTO THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN
ROCKIES

NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE BROAD SCALE FLOW OVER THE
SOUTHWEST---EASTERN GREAT BASIN INTO THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN
ROCKIES.  WIDESPREAD SCATTERED MONSOONAL CONVECTION AGAIN LIKELY
IN THE AXIS OF SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE MONSOONAL PW VALUES
STRETCHING FROM NORTHWEST MEXICO INTO THE SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL TO
SOUTHERN ROCKIES.  LOW CONFIDENCE IN QPF DETAILS---WITH AREAL
AVERAGE LIGHT TO LOCALLY MODERATE TOTALS EXPECTED.

CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY

SHORTWAVE ENERGY EXPECTED TO PUSH EAST NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE
CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY DAY 1.  WEAK UPPER
DIFFLUENCE IN AN AXIS OF SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES WILL
SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE TO ISOLATED HEAVY PRECIP TOTALS
ACROSS THESE AREAS.  WITH CONFIDENCE LOW ON DETAILS GIVEN A WIDE
SPREAD IN MODEL SOLUTIONS---DAY 1 QPF LEANED TOWARD THE IN HOUSE
ENSEMBLE MEAN--NOT WANTING TO COMMIT TO SOME OF THE HEAVIER TOTALS
OF THE 1200 UTC SUNDAY ECMWF OR LATEST HI RES RUNS.

SOUTH OF THE LOWER LAKES TOWARD THE OH VALLEY

A SLOW MOVING CLOSED LOW ON THE NORTHERN END OF THE ELONGATED
UPPER TROF EXTENDING FROM THE OH VALLEY INTO THE MID MS VALLEY AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS IS EXPECTED TO PUSH ONLY SLOWLY EASTWARD DAY 1
ALONG OR JUST NORTH OF OH RIVER.  SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE AHEAD
OF THIS FEATURE---BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW HERE GIVEN THE MODEL
SPREAD.  LIGHT TO MODERATE AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS DEPICTED--WITH
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED HEAVY TOTALS AS PER THE HI RES MODELS.

SOUTHEAST TO COASTAL TEXAS

MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR SHOWERY CONDITIONS DAY 1 OVER SOUTHEAST AND
COASTAL TX IN THE VICINITY OF THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
ELONGATED MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROF EXTENDING INTO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS.  PERSISTENT ONSHORE SOUTHERLY FLOW OFF THE WESTERN GULF ON
THE EASTERN SIDE OF THIS TROF AXIS WILL SUPPORT MODERATE TO
ISOLATED HEAVY PRECIP TOTALS THIS PERIOD ALONG LARGE PORTIONS OF
COASTAL TX.

FLORIDA

SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING NORTH NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NW TO NORTH
FLORIDA WILL ENHANCE UVVS IN THE ABOVE AVERAGE PW AXIS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN OVER NORTH FLORIDA DAY 1.  MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT
THAT THE HEAVIEST PRECIP POTENTIAL DURING DAY 1 FOR FL WILL BE IN
THIS AXIS...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS FARTHER TO THE SOUTH INTO CENTRAL
AND SOUTH FLORIDA.


DAYS 2/3...

...GULF COAST/SOUTHEASTERN U.S...

AT THE START OF THE PERIOD...WEDNESDAY MORNING...A WEAK WAVE
SHOULD BE EMERGING OFF THE SC/GA COAST WITH AN ASSOCIATED HEAVY
RAINFALL THREAT EXITING THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. THIS CYCLONE APPEARS
TO BE WHAT REMAINS OF THE FORMER TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIKA. GIVEN ITS
WEAK STATE AT THIS TIME...WILL NOT FAVOR ANY SOLUTION SHOWING ANY
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT. THIS RULES OUT THE 12Z CMC/UKMET/ECMWF
CLUSTER. UTILIZED MORE OF THE 00Z GFS SOLUTION WHICH FAVORED
SOMETHING LIGHTER AND MORE OFFSHORE. BESIDES THE EXITING
WAVE...THE USUAL DIURNALLY DRIVEN THUNDERSTORMS WILL DOMINATE THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. WITH COLD POOL INTERACTIONS LOCALLY ENHANCING
AMOUNTS.

TO THE WEST...A VERY PERSISTENT UPPER LOW WILL LINGER OVER THE
WESTERN GULF OF MX. MODELS SHOW BROAD 850-MB SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW
ADVECTING PWATS IN THE 1.50 TO 1.75 INCH RANGE. THE BEST CHANCE
FOR HEAVIER RAINFALL REACHING THE GULF COAST WILL BE ALONG SEA
BREEZES WHICH WILL LOCALLY ENHANCE VERTICAL MOTIONS. IT APPEARS
THE MORE ORGANIZED ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN OUT OVER THE GULF OF MX
WHERE THE BETTER FORCING WILL BE PRESENT. MODELS DISPLAY
VARIABILITY IN THE TRACK OF THIS UPPER LOW WITH THE 00Z GFS/12Z
ECMWF BEING MOST CONSISTENT WITH ENSEMBLE MEAN SOLUTIONS.
THUS...FOLLOWED A COMBINATION OF THESE TWO DETERMINISTIC MODELS
FOR BOTH DAYS.


...CENTRAL PLAINS/MIDDLE MS VALLEY/GREAT LAKES/MID-ATLANTIC...

AN ACTIVE...YET UNPREDICTABLE PATTERN WILL UNFOLD FOR LOCATIONS
FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS EASTWARD THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND INTO
THE MID-ATLANTIC. A SERIES OF LOW-AMPLITUDE IMPULSES WILL TRAVERSE
A BROAD RIDGE EXTENDING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN U.S. CONVECTION IS
LIKELY TO DEVELOP...PARTICULARLY AS INSTABILITY INCREASES WITH
SUFFICENT DIURNAL HEATING. SOME OF THE FACTORS WORKING AGAINST A
MORE ORGANIZED PRECIPITATION EVENT ARE THE WEAK VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR...GENERALLY 10 TO 15 KNOTS BETWEEN 0-6 KM ALONG WITH SOME
CAPPING NOTED IN POINT FORECAST SOUNDINGS. THE MODEL SPREAD WITH
THIS PATTERN IS QUITE HIGH RESULTING IN VERY LIMITED
PREDICTABILITY. THE 00Z ECMWF TRENDED SIGNIFICANTLY WETTER ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES BUT NOT READY TO BUY INTO ONE INDIVIDUAL SOLUTION
IN THIS PATTERN. WPC SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE 00Z GFS/12Z
ECMWF WHILE TENDED TO WASH OUT SOME OF THE FINER DETAILS WHICH ARE
UNCERTAIN.


...NEW ENGLAND...

AMPLIFIED NORTHERN STREAM FLOW WILL CROSS FAR EASTERN CANADA WHICH
WILL DRAG A WEST-EAST ORIENTED BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS NEW ENGLAND.
THIS BACKDOOR FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DIVING SOUTH WHICH
WILL SPREAD SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TOWARD THE UPPER
MID-ATLANTIC/LOWER NEW ENGLAND BY DAY 3. MODEL SOLUTIONS WERE
SIMILAR ENOUGH TO FOLLOW SOME SORT OF CONSENSUS.


...FOUR CORNERS REGION...

A COMBINATION OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE WORKING ITS WAY INTO THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION IN CONJUNCTION WITH MULTIPLE SHORTWAVES PASSING
THROUGH WILL SUPPORT A THREAT FOR RAINFALL BOTH DAYS OF THE
PERIOD. EXACTLY WHAT PATH THESE PERTURBATIONS IN THE FLOW TAKE
WILL DICTATE THE WESTWARD EXTENT OF THE AREAL COVERAGE OF
PRECIPITATION. THE 00Z GFS TENDED TO DISPLAY A MORE WESTERN
SOLUTION WHICH DID NOT SEEM TO BE OUT OF THE REALM OF
POSSIBILITIES. DID INCORPORATE A PORTION OF ITS OUTPUT INTO THE
MIX. AS USUAL...THE COVERAGE OF RAINFALL WILL HAVE A DIURNAL SENSE
TO IT WITH THE COVERAGE WANING OVERNIGHT. HOW THIS CONVECTION
TRANSLATES DOWNSTREAM INTO THE ADJACENT PLAINS WILL BE A CHALLENGE
AS A STRENGTHENING LLJ WILL BE IN PLACE TO BETTER ORGANIZE ANY
ONGOING ACTIVITY. MODELS ARE ALL OVER THE PLACE WITH
PLACEMENT/STRENGTH OF THESE VORTICITY MAXIMA EMERGING INTO THE
HIGH PLAINS. TENDED TO BROAD BRUSH THE EASTWARD EXTENT OF THE
RAINFALL GIVEN THESE CONVECTIVE UNCERTAINTIES.


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/UPPER INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES...

A MEAN UPPER TROUGH ANCHORING THE NORTHWESTERN U.S. WILL MAINTAIN
PERSISTENT CYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE REGION. AS THE PARENT UPPER LOW
DIPS SOUTHWARD FROM FAR WESTERN BRITISH COLUMBIA...A SERIES OF
EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES WILL DROP DOWN INTO WA/OR/ID WITH AN
ACCOMPANYING THREAT FOR PRECIPITATION. AT THE JET LEVEL...THE
REGION WILL BE IN THE FAVORABLE RIGHT ENTRANCE SECTOR OF THE 100
KNOT PLUS SPEED MAX WHICH SHOULD SUPPLY ADEQUATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT.
WHILE MID/UPPER DYNAMICS ARE SUFFICIENT...LOW-LEVEL WIND/MOISTURE
PROFILES ARE MORE ON THE MARGINAL SIDE. PWATS GENERALLY RANGE FROM
0.50 T0 0.75 INCH RANGE WITH BETTER TROPOSPHERIC MOISTURE LOCATED
WELL OFFSHORE. ADDITIONALLY...THE PERIODS OF ONSHORE FLOW WILL BE
RATHER WEAK WHICH WILL MITIGATE THE STRENGTH OF THE UPSLOPE PARCEL
TRAJECTORIES. WHILE THE MODELS DISPLAYED SOME SYNOPTIC-SCALE
TIMING DIFFERENCES...THE ACTUAL QPF OUTPUT WAS RATHER SIMILAR.
ENDED UP FAVORING THE 27-KM 00Z GFS/12Z ECMWF TO HANDLE THE LOCAL
TERRAIN MORE ADEQUATELY.


ORAVEC/RUBIN-OSTER

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV



24HR QP VT 02/12Z
 0.01 536212 537207 538201 536193 533187 531181 530175 527169
      521161 517156 514152 509149 504148 504154 503157 501156
      492160 487163 486169 489173 490176 491180 490190 487196
      484200 480203 472209 463213 453216 444216 438219 435223
      433225 433229 438231 446227 455225 441241 442248 443250
      446251 449249 455249 466248 469248 471250 476254 483262
      487266 489270 496283 497285 500287 503288 505286 510284
      513280 518268 520260 520251 516239 512229 505218 502213
      500206 502202 507202 520218 524220 526223 530221 536212
 0.01 487231 487228 487227 485226 485225 484224 482224 481223
      479223 477224 476225 477226 478228 479228 480229 481231
      481232 483233 484234 486233 487231
 0.01 492987 489977 487967 484954 483949 481949 475957 472967
      472979 473987 473994 476004 478008 482010 487005 491995
      492987
 0.01 483854 483838 483828 480823 475818 471821 470826 458868
      452882 449884 448881 446876 443868 440858 436854 434849
      430843 423838 415834 413832 412828 408826 405826 403821
      402815 400810 398804 395801 397798 399793 398788 395785
      389786 385788 379795 372800 366806 362812 357817 352823
      347829 344838 343842 346845 352844 355839 359830 364823
      377812 380809 383809 385812 384815 382819 381824 381830
      384839 385844 381847 379850 377854 375864 375869 377871
      376875 375879 373882 374889 377892 380890 388889 392887
      402885 410880 413878 416877 421884 432901 434904 436910
      438917 436923 434927 431930 424934 419935 416936 410942
      405946 401952 395958 391970 383990 386000 387003 386006
      383008 371018 365024 363027 359029 355033 349038 342043
      333047 327050 325053 325057 336058 338056 341058 343059
      344064 342069 340073 331076 327078 321078 311077 303076
      298075 291073 282071 279071 276069 271068 257060 250055
      248054 245054 237056 235059 234063 236068 239070 246078
      260088 263092 267093 278095 288097 295104 300110 304112
      308113 313114 316113 327114 342112 354100 357097 359092
      357087 356079 357072 360069 362068 364070 367073 375090
      376094 381093 384092 389093 392098 392102 385109 380114
      378117 380120 384122 390118 397115 403109 406106 408102
      407100 403099 399096 401085 408079 414075 417067 416062
      413057 411054 405053 393052 388051 385049 381046 379042
      384036 392032 394030 395027 402009 404004 407002 411997
      416996 425993 429991 431988 454959 457937 459932 459927
      460915 470900 478882 481867 483854
 0.01 329785 328777 321777 315779 312783 304795 303801 300805
      291806 285806 275801 269798 262797 255799 250802 250810
      253815 257819 259825 262831 262838 262846 265850 271853
      276855 284855 290856 296858 302859 306856 309852 313837
      314830 316824 321812 324807 325801 329785
 0.01 231997 240005 250010 256010 262007 267004 270001 286993
      292989 296985 300980 303975 310966 317956 321950 322945
      321941 319939 316935 305929 300926 295924 289922 284925
      280929 274931 266939 260943 255945 243949 237957 232971
      231973 232976 233979 231981
 0.25 532208 533200 531196 525187 522178 517170 514167 509166
      504165 501167 499172 497177 499183 502186 509191 516196
      521205 523208 526209 530210 532208
 0.25 516262 516254 515247 511236 499219 494209 488207 485207
      479209 475211 472216 471219 476219 482221 487223 491225
      495237 500245 502251 502254 499255 493246 489242 486242
      485246 485250 486256 491266 497275 499280 502282 505282
      508280 510275 514267 516262
 0.25 480244 480240 479236 478233 476232 474232 472233 469235
      467236 464235 463237 465239 468240 471242 474244 476245
      478245 480244
 0.25 434957 434954 433952 431951 430950 428951 427952 426953
      426954 425956 425959 424961 424962 426963 428962 429961
      430961 431959 432959 433957 434957
 0.25 318800 316796 312798 308801 304807 299811 287816 283821
      279825 273829 270835 271839 273842 278846 283848 289850
      293850 296849 301844 306833 308825 311820 316806 318800
 0.25 292952 293945 291941 286941 283943 277948 271954 265958
      262962 261966 260972 263974 268975 273974 281971 285968
      286966 290958 292952
 0.25 278813 277809 276807 272806 271805 267805 263806 261807
      260809 261811 263813 266814 268815 271815 275815 278813
 0.25 253000 251996 249995 247994 244992 242991 238991 237992
      236995 236998 238000 242001 245001 249001 253000
 0.50 513260 513253 511247 509238 506234 501230 497226 495227
      495231 496236 500243 503247 505255 506261 511263 513260
 0.50 505276 505268 502264 498260 494254 491248 489246 488249
      490257 492263 495268 498273 501279 505278 505276
 0.50 517185 517180 516177 514174 512171 510170 507169 506169
      503171 502176 503179 504182 507184 509186 512187 515187
      517185
 0.50 491216 491214 489212 487211 486210 484210 482211 481211
      479212 478213 478215 478216 480218 481219 483220 485220
      486220 488219 489219 490218 491216
 0.50 307820 307814 305812 297816 290820 283825 275830 273835
      275839 281844 290847 295845 298842 302834 305826 307820
 1.00 300832 300825 296824 291825 286827 282829 278832 279834
      282837 286839 290840 295838 298836 300832 300832
 1.50 296834 297832 296830 295829 293829 291830 291831 290833
      291835 293835 295835 296834

24HR QP VT 03/12Z
 0.01 473619 476624 481624 487629 490633 492641 494647 496657
      498663 499673 501688 503705 505725 506734 505741 506750
      505755 503770 500780 494789 490793 487797 482806 478820
      474830 468836 463836 460832 457828 455823 452816 452808
      453802 451797 449793 446793 441793 438789 436789 436792
      437809 434812 429812 426810 424805 422797 421789 420781
      421775 424771 427768 430763 431756 431742 438720 439714
      442711 447709 452705 454700 459696 459683 458669 454653
      452647 450640 451627
 0.01 527250 527244 524242 522240 524237 526233 531229 534226
      536221 539211 541198 542189 543183 547172 549162 551146
      548137 546133 543131 541129 538131 533138 528144 522149
      518149 515147 505144 498142 494140 492137 491134 492129
      494125 498115 502107 507102 509094 509090 507080 504078
      502078 498085 495090 492091 486098 480104 476111 472118
      469121 465124 460127 455134 445145 443150 443155 443162
      444167 443179 446183 444188 444192 446194 448193 451188
      457185 464179 470173 477173 484178 485183 488187 488193
      486197 480200 475201 471203 466207 451212 424220 425232
      416234 415238 417243 420246 425247 429248 433247 437249
      439253 442260 451263 460262 465263 470264 475270 484286
      492300 495302 499303 503302 506300 508295 510290 512285
      514282 518275 521269
 0.01 509924 508909 505899 505892 506888 504880 499873 492871
      475867 468865 460861 455856 451850 447838 443830 438824
      435823 430823 427824 424827 422829 420827 419825 420823
      422819 421813 420809 420804 420800 417796 414793 411793
      408790 406786 402778 395773 388770 383765 374767 369773
      366777 362779 359781 356786 357794 359805 360811 359817
      358822 360825 368825 375820 380819 384820 384825 380827
      378830 378834 379841 381843 387849 390851 393852 402851
      408850 407854 405859 404864 405871 406874 410882 415889
      416895 416902 412921 411926 410931 405940 398954 385965
      381972 380976 380981 380988 382991 389996 399998 405996
      410991 416985 423971 443943 449937 449931 450925 456921
      463919 472918 482918 490922 496927 504934 507929 509924
 0.01 504972 504954 502949 499946 492937 487929 479924 476928
      475934 474940 474944 475947 476953 479959 481964 484969
      486975 489978 493980 497980 501977 504972
 0.01 401078 401072 399071 393066 389061 386058 386056 389054
      371037 368034 366036 362042 357046 354048 350048 343052
      340051 336053 332055 328055 326056 323054 318050 314047
      312048 310055 310060 311063 316069 317078 314080 312079
      303076 286074 274068 261061 249052 234031 231031 228034
      226042 224062 225067 226071 229077 237086 250095 255100
      259104 264110 270114 278116 285116 289115 294116 299122
      300125 305127 313127 321126 324125 328127 334128 339125
      340130 342131 345132 348129 349122 352119 354117 353115
      348110 346102 347097 348094 352089 356082 358074 365059
      372056 375057 375062 369063 367066 369068 372076 373080
      375084 377085 380082 385077 390080 394079 397080 401078
 0.01 374722 372707 371702 368697 363691 355689 346689 340691
      336693 330695 327698 320704 313711 309710 302712 298717
      297722 298728 299742 299747 299754 298766 294773 291778
      288780 285784 281787 278789 272790 264790 255787 250786
      243786 239789 238792 239801 237804 236810 236815 238820
      241830 242834 244837 250843 257852 258865 257868 255868
      250868 242873 239876 236880 233887 230896 230907 231914
      232919 231930 231944 231957 232961 233968 232979 230989
      232998 235002 238005 242008 247010 252011 258011 262009
      265006 270998 275993 279991 282987 286985 289981 293978
      295974 297970 299966 300960 302956 302942 305932 305919
      304914 303910 302898 303883 303878 306872 307861 307854
      310851 316843 323828 327818 331809 335799 337795 341792
      343789 344784 353778 357772 358768 358761 356756 352753
      358747 366739 370732 373727 374722
 0.01 355927 355919 352914 348910 344907 340904 335901 328902
      322904 315913 312924 316937 319941 323943 330943 334941
      339937 345935 350934 354930 355927
 0.25 534212 534201 534190 530183 526177 522170 516164 507152
      503152 502155 497161 491164 487169 494184 507191 515204
      519211 523216 527220 531220 533216 534212
 0.25 515261 515252 515246 513244 511237 507230 505222 502216
      499211 495208 492209 485209 480209 474212 470218 469220
      472223 479224 485225 489229 492236 496241 500247 502250
      500253 495249 493243 488238 485237 482234 480231 477229
      472230 467232 462235 457241 457244 460247 467249 475252
      487258 491260 493262 496269 500275 505279 507276 505267
      506261 508262 513264 515261
 0.25 479691 478676 476661 474647 472643 468640 464639 461641
      461646 461653 463668 466680 468684 470690 473703 474716
      473721 471726 468729 467734 466747 465759 467766 468768
      470766 473756 475745 478724 479712 479698 479691
 0.25 462226 463223 462221 461219 459218 457218 456218 454217
      452218 451220 450222 450223 451223 453223 455223 457224
      458225 460225 462226 462226
 0.25 470155 471152 469148 468147 465147 462148 461151 460153
      459158 459160 463162 464161 466159 468157 470155
 0.25 466717 465712 462715 460719 458724 456728 455732 454738
      455742 458741 461738 463733 464727 465722 466717
 0.25 468890 469885 467883 463879 455871 450860 442850 439844
      435844 433852 433861 432866 428864 423867 421874 424890
      424899 423907 420921 418938 419941 423942 428940 432936
      435930 441919 446906 446901 444898 441893 440891 441887
      444886 447886 451890 454895 458900 462900 467896 468890
 0.25 410961 411959 410958 410956 409955 407956 405957 404959
      403959 402961 402962 401963 400966 400968 401970 402971
      403972 405971 406970 407970 408968 409968 410966 410963
      410962 410961
 0.25 396789 394784 391783 387782 381784 379787 377792 376796
      374801 377802 379801 383799 386797 391795 395792 396789
 0.25 340098 341093 340091 339087 340082 338080 336079 333079
      332081 332084 332088 333092 334095 336097 338098 340098
 0.25 329766 328756 327747 323742 321741 316741 314747 313754
      311761 309769 307775 304780 299785 294788 284796 283798
      281803 281805 276807 268807 262809 261813 263816 268820
      280823 283825 285827 280832 280836 282839 285843 294852
      299852 300849 302843 309831 312826 316822 319814 320807
      325795 327787 328780 328772 329766
 0.25 330105 330099 325096 318094 314096 309099 307100 306104
      308109 310115 314118 320118 324113 328110 330105
 0.25 289100 290094 289091 286085 279080 274075 269072 262069
      256065 250061 245057 238053 235053 232055 231063 234068
      239074 249083 262090 272098 279102 283102 287102 289100
 0.25 287941 287924 287915 286908 285899 283893 279888 274884
      270881 265880 259882 254885 249889 245893 241897 238902
      237909 236916 237934 241962 242970 240976 237981 235987
      236994 239998 245997 248996 249992 248985 252982 261976
      270968 275966 279962 283957 285952 287941
 0.50 531213 531209 530205 529202 528199 527196 525192 523192
      520191 521194 522198 523203 524206 525209 527212 529214
      531213
 0.50 519188 518182 515175 512170 508165 504163 499165 494169
      494174 496180 499182 503183 509185 514187 519188
 0.50 502233 502228 500222 498219 495215 491213 487214 483214
      482217 485220 489223 492227 494230 496234 500235 502233
 0.50 487251 488247 486243 485242 482239 480238 478235 477235
      474237 472239 473242 474245 477248 479249 482251 485252
      487251
 0.50 436909 437902 434897 432894 430894 429897 429900 429907
      427912 426916 425921 426927 429928 432926 434921 435916
      436910 436909
 0.50 322791 323781 322776 319774 316774 315776 310781 307786
      300789 295792 290797 288802 289805 289809 278811 276814
      277818 283820 289821 296823 301826 304825 306823 313812
      317807 319800 322791
 0.50 279092 278087 275083 273078 269075 260072 251066 242062
      238062 240066 247074 254080 262085 270091 274094 278094
      279092
 0.50 279921 280912 279902 276896 273891 268888 264888 262889
      253897 244906 242912 241921 241930 242939 245944 250949
      256950 263949 269947 271944 272939 274933 276927 279921
 1.00 502176 503173 502172 501171 499172 498172 498175 500175
      502176 502176
 1.00 316796 316791 313790 310792 308794 306795 303797 302800
      303804 304806 307806 310805 312803 313800 315798 316796
 1.00 259913 260911 259909 258909 257908 255909 253909 251911
      250913 249913 250914 250915 251917 253918 255918 256917
      257916 258915 259914 259913

24HR QP VT 04/12Z
 0.01 539210 541195 540180 539172 537165 533154 530129 526127
      521128 517127 513124 510120 508115 516109 519106 522100
      524094 524085 524080 522074 520070 517069 513072 511069
      512065 516054 517048 518044 516030 513026 509022 502015
      496013 491015 488017 484022 483027 479039 476051 474057
      474066 473074 472084 466094 460099 457102 455102 453100
      451094 449093 438090 436095 435095 431094 431096 432101
      431109 433114 438117 442122 443127 440127 438129 437135
      436138 436143 435147 434153 435158 438162 442164 447173
      451177 452178 454177 457173 458168 459165 463162 472161
      476158 479159 480162 484166 483173 487182 489195 485201
      482203 478206 473207 467211 460215 451215 446217 440217
      444225 448227 453226 455228 455231 450232 441236 435243
      428247 427254 429258 433263 435269 439277 441282 445286
      448289 453290 460290 464289 470284 475276 478269 482273
      486277 489283 493290 495296 499295 504284 509284 512280
      520266 523262 525254 528237 530226 534223 539210
 0.01 485884 484876 481872 469868 465867 463866 460863 459858
      458846 455839 450835 448833 445833 438825 436822 436817
      435811 436806 441801 444793 445786 445779 446761 450744
      453726 452718 449711 446706 442703 434704 431705 429702
      424700 415703 403706 400706 398708 396715 396724 394731
      393734 394740 398747 402752 407756 411757 411763 408769
      404776 399781 397783 395782 394780 393773 389769 380770
      375774 373776 369777 366774 366768 364758 362755 358754
      352755 349754 345754 338751 332748 329744 326739 322724
      319719 314717 308718 303722 301728 301733 297734 293735
      290738 287744 285772 280777 274781 268783 263787 253793
      244801 241809 242817 246822 248823 250826 254830 259832
      265834 268834 270837 273841 278844 285848 292847 296853
      298859 300867 300876 302883 303886 306889 308891 313891
      319887 322881 323874 323865 322857 320849 318844 310833
      309825 310820 312820 317815 321810 328798 332794 337788
      343786 346786 349788 351794 352804 353813 349821 347827
      345830 346836 346842 352844 360843 364838 385825 390829
      387836 387844 388853 390861 393866 400878 404883 409885
      412893 413903 415910 419917 425917 430917 433914 436909
      439907 443906 453905 458901 460896 462893 477892 482887
      485884
 0.01 454083 454081 453078 450075 448073 447070 445070 441069
      441072 443074 444077 446077 448080 449083 451085 452085
      454083
 0.01 431994 432982 431975 430970 429965 426961 419954 419949
      417947 414945 410945 405945 402947 396954 387970 386975
      384980 382984 378987 375987 373991 371996 368998 363004
      363016 366020 366023 364025 358031 353036 345043 333051
      327055 325057 326059 324063 324067 322070 318073 314074
      303073 298074 292074 283073 275070 268066 261059 248051
      243050 240050 233055 227059 226060 226066 230073 237079
      248089 260102 267107 273111 281115 288119 294123 298126
      302127 308128 312131 316131 322130 334132 342136 347137
      351133 354132 358133 364133 366130 370121 373116 376112
      384111 390114 398111 400106 404103 410099 414091 415083
      412079 405074 404071 407068 413064 411053 411048 406044
      401041 397043 392043 391040 395037 399035 403035 407033
      408028 409024 407020 406016 405013 408012 416010 422008
      426004 429999 431994
 0.01 371082 371079 370077 370075 369073 367073 365072 364074
      364076 363077 362078 362081 363083 364085 364086 366087
      368088 369086 370084 371082
 0.01 303933 298889 297885 297879 298874 296870 295866 293863
      291859 287856 279856 274855 269853 261852 256854 249859
      244865 242869 242874 244883 238888 234895 231905 230909
      230914 230925 231937 232941 232946 231955 232964 234975
      232984 232995 236002 243006 249007 251005 255998 260991
      266985 272980 279976 285972 290966 294959 296949 300940
      303933
 0.25 528183 529177 529171 528163 526154 526144 525139 524136
      518135 513137 507138 501141 499152 499157 497160 493165
      493172 495179 505187 515198 520202 522202 523197 525186
      528183
 0.25 503233 505230 504226 503220 502217 499213 495212 492214
      488217 486217 485220 487224 492226 495230 498233 503233
      503233
 0.25 498263 499257 497252 493246 490239 486238 484238 482239
      480236 478233 476233 473234 470238 467245 466247 468249
      472250 480253 486257 490258 493261 496264 498263
 0.25 498113 499106 499100 495098 492099 485105 483106 478105
      472104 468104 465107 461115 456121 450139 448144 445147
      445152 447155 453159 453156 456155 459155 464154 467152
      469147 471144 474142 482143 486142 489142 490144 492144
      493137 491133 491128 495120 498113
 0.25 436715 437712 435711 434712 433713 432716 434717 436715
      436715
 0.25 433873 433865 431859 428847 424836 421832 417828 413826
      408826 404829 402834 400840 400846 399854 400862 403866
      407870 411873 416875 420876 423879 426880 429879 432876
      433873
 0.25 402984 403982 403979 401978 400979 398981 397982 396983
      396984 395986 395988 396990 398989 399989 400989 401986
      401985 402984
 0.25 348125 348122 347119 345117 343116 341113 338112 337115
      336117 334121 335125 337127 339128 342129 344129 347127
      348125
 0.25 323780 324771 323767 322762 315753 309741 307741 304742
      303747 302753 299760 294770 291775 288780 281788 278792
      273796 271798 272801 269804 263805 256807 255810 260813
      264816 270817 281820 286821 289820 291818 290814 288812
      284810 278808 276807 278805 289804 301800 306797 312796
      317793 321789 323780
 0.25 305089 303085 297086 294088 290088 283082 276078 268074
      262070 255063 248058 245057 239058 233063 232067 234071
      237073 241075 248079 255085 267096 273102 281105 284105
      288102 295098 300092 305089
 0.25 290912 290905 290897 289892 287886 286880 283875 280871
      276869 266867 262869 258872 249890 242897 240901 238907
      238912 238920 240925 240932 239942 240948 243953 243958
      245964 248965 251965 255962 272952 276950 279946 283936
      287926 290914 290912
 0.25 245992 245990 245988 244987 242986 241986 240985 240986
      239987 239988 239989 240992 242993 244993 245992
 0.50 523168 523160 523155 523147 521142 517141 513142 509144
      506148 506151 507156 511160 514163 517166 521169 523168
 0.50 481127 480122 477118 472116 468117 466122 464127 461131
      461135 464136 469135 472134 476132 479130 481127
 0.50 419856 420851 419846 418842 416840 414838 412838 411839
      409843 409845 408849 407852 407857 409859 412861 415860
      417858 419856
 0.50 319774 317763 311758 307756 303757 299764 297774 293782
      288789 287793 290797 298796 306793 314787 318780 319774
 0.50 279092 279086 275082 267077 259072 253065 246061 243061
      241062 239068 249072 255079 262086 269092 274094 278093
      279092
 0.50 284904 283895 281887 276882 269880 265882 263884 258890
      247899 244904 243913 246920 246927 248935 252941 254942
      259943 266939 270935 274929 279923 282916 284909 284904

$$




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