River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 181347
RVFAGL
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
9:47am EDT Saturday, May 18, 2013

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Parker - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 845.14 ft (NGVD 1929)  Armstrong County, PA
: Flood Stage 20.0 ft   Action Stage 13.9 ft
: Moderate Stage 23.0 ft   Major Stage 26.0 ft
: Latest Stage 3.4 ft at 900am EDT on Sat, May 18
:
: Forecasts are in 6-hour increments.

:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 16                           /   3.7
:     May 17   /   3.7 /   3.7 /   3.6 /   3.6
:     May 18   /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.4
:
.ER PARP1 20130518 Z DC201305181347/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 18 :                         /   3.4
.E2 : May 19 : /   3.3 /   3.3 /   3.3 /   3.3
.E3 : May 20 : /   3.3 /   3.3 /   3.3 /   3.3
.E4 : May 21 : /   3.2 /   3.2 /   3.2 /   3.2
.E5 : May 22 : /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.8
.E6 : May 23 : /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 15                           /  0.11
:     May 16   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 18                           /  0.02
:     May 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 15                           /  15.1
:     May 16   /  25.4 /  19.5 /  12.5 /  19.1
:     May 17   /  23.9 /  16.5 /   8.8 /  16.5
:     May 18   /  23.7 /  17.3 /  12.4 /  21.5
:     May 19   /  22.9 /  17.0 /  14.3 /  18.5
:     May 20   /  21.5 /  17.5 /  15.7
:____________________________________________________________________

: St Charles - Redbank Creek - PBZ
: Zero Datum 973.14 ft (NGVD 1929)  Armstrong County, PA
: Flood Stage 17.0 ft   Action Stage 14.1 ft
: Moderate Stage 20.0 ft   Major Stage 22.0 ft
: Latest Stage 3.3 ft at 915am EDT on Sat, May 18
:
: Forecasts are in 6-hour increments.

:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 16                           /   3.5
:     May 17   /   3.5 /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4
:     May 18   /   3.3 /   3.3 /   3.3
:
.ER SNCP1 20130518 Z DC201305181347/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 18 :                         /   3.2
.E2 : May 19 : /   3.2 /   3.2 /   3.1 /   3.1
.E3 : May 20 : /   3.1 /   3.1 /   3.0 /   3.0
.E4 : May 21 : /   3.0 /   3.0 /   3.0 /   3.0
.E5 : May 22 : /   3.0 /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.9
.E6 : May 23 : /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 15                           /  0.13
:     May 16   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 18                           /  0.02
:     May 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 15                           /  14.2
:     May 16   /  24.9 /  19.7 /  13.0 /  19.0
:     May 17   /  24.3 /  16.9 /   8.8 /  16.2
:     May 18   /  24.0 /  17.8 /  12.2 /  20.5
:     May 19   /  21.9 /  16.5 /  14.0 /  17.2
:     May 20   /  20.1 /  17.4 /  16.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: Kittanning L&D 7 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 773.4 ft (NGVD 1929)  Armstrong County, PA
: Flood Stage 21.0 ft   Action Stage 17.1 ft
: Moderate Stage 22.0 ft   Major Stage 23.0 ft
: Latest Stage 10.9 ft at 900am EDT on Sat, May 18
:
: Forecasts are in 6-hour increments.

:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 16                           /  11.0
:     May 17   /  11.1 /  10.9 /  11.1 /  11.0
:     May 18   /  11.0 /  11.0 /  10.9
:
.ER KTTP1 20130518 Z DC201305181347/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 18 :                         /  10.9
.E2 : May 19 : /  10.9 /  10.9 /  10.9 /  10.8
.E3 : May 20 : /  10.8 /  10.8 /  10.8 /  10.8
.E4 : May 21 : /  10.8 /  10.8 /  10.8 /  10.8
.E5 : May 22 : /  10.8 /  10.6 /  10.6 /  10.6
.E6 : May 23 : /  10.6 /  10.6 /  10.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 15                           /  0.02
:     May 16   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 18                           /  0.01
:     May 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     May 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 15                           /  16.9
:     May 16   /  26.2 /  20.9 /  14.7 /  20.0
:     May 17   /  25.5 /  16.3 /   8.4 /  17.0
:     May 18   /  25.1 /  17.3 /  11.3 /  22.2
:     May 19   /  22.8 /  16.7 /  14.5 /  19.2
:     May 20   /  22.2 /  18.0 /  16.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: Seward - Conemaugh River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 1076.01 ft (NGVD 1929)  Westmoreland County, PA
: Flood Stage 12.0 ft   Action Stage 8.8 ft
: Moderate Stage 14.0 ft   Major Stage 16.0 ft
: Latest Stage 2.9 ft at 845am EDT on Sat, May 18
:
: Forecasts are in 6-hour increments.

:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 16                           /   3.2
:     May 17   /   3.2 /   3.2 /   3.1 /   3.1
:     May 18   /   3.0 /   3.2 /   2.9
:
.ER SWDP1 20130518 Z DC201305181347/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 18 :                         /   2.9
.E2 : May 19 : /   2.9 /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.8
.E3 : May 20 : /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.8
.E4 : May 21 : /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7
.E5 : May 22 : /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7
.E6 : May 23 : /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 15                           /  0.02
:     May 16   /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.18 /  0.00
:     May 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 18                           /  0.01
:     May 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.03
:     May 20   /  0.03 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 15                           /  18.1
:     May 16   /  26.0 /  21.3 /  17.2 /  18.5
:     May 17   /  23.5 /  18.0 /  13.8 /  18.5
:     May 18   /  24.8 /  18.8 /  13.6 /  18.5
:     May 19   /  19.9 /  16.1 /  14.2 /  17.2
:     May 20   /  19.8 /  17.7 /  16.8
:____________________________________________________________________

: Clinton Lk #6 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 759.96 ft (NGVD 1929)  Armstrong County, PA
: Flood Stage 21.0 ft   Action Stage 17.0 ft
: Moderate Stage 22.0 ft   Major Stage 24.0 ft
: Latest Stage 10.0 ft at 900am EDT on Sat, May 18
:
: Forecasts are in 6-hour increments.

:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 16                           /  10.0
:     May 17   /  10.1 /  10.0 /  10.1 /  10.1
:     May 18   /  10.1 /  10.1 /  10.0
:
.ER CLNP1 20130518 Z DC201305181347/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 18 :                         /  10.0
.E2 : May 19 : /  10.0 /  10.0 /  10.0 /  10.0
.E3 : May 20 : /  10.0 /  10.0 /  10.0 /  10.0
.E4 : May 21 : /   9.9 /   9.9 /   9.9 /   9.9
.E5 : May 22 : /   9.9 /   9.7 /   9.7 /   9.7
.E6 : May 23 : /   9.7 /   9.7 /   9.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 15                           /  0.02
:     May 16   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     May 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 18                           /  0.00
:     May 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     May 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 15                           /  17.5
:     May 16   /  26.6 /  22.0 /  16.1 /  20.6
:     May 17   /  25.6 /  17.0 /   8.8 /  17.4
:     May 18   /  25.4 /  18.0 /  11.8 /  22.4
:     May 19   /  23.2 /  16.9 /  14.9 /  19.9
:     May 20   /  23.0 /  18.5 /  16.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Natrona L&D #4 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 736.04 ft (NGVD 1929)  Allegheny County, PA
: Flood Stage 21.0 ft   Action Stage 17.2 ft
: Moderate Stage 24.0 ft   Major Stage 26.0 ft
: Latest Stage 11.4 ft at 915am EDT on Sat, May 18
:
: Forecasts are in 6-hour increments.

:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 16                           /  11.6
:     May 17   /  11.6 /  11.5 /  11.5 /  11.5
:     May 18   /  11.5 /  11.5 /  11.4
:
.ER NATP1 20130518 Z DC201305181347/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 18 :                         /  11.4
.E2 : May 19 : /  11.4 /  11.3 /  11.2 /  11.2
.E3 : May 20 : /  11.2 /  11.2 /  11.2 /  11.1
.E4 : May 21 : /  11.1 /  11.1 /  11.1 /  11.1
.E5 : May 22 : /  11.1 /  11.1 /  11.0 /  10.9
.E6 : May 23 : /  10.9 /  10.9 /  10.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 15                           /  0.02
:     May 16   /  0.00 /  0.04 /  0.05 /  0.00
:     May 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 18                           /  0.00
:     May 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.03
:     May 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 15                           /  18.4
:     May 16   /  27.0 /  23.4 /  17.4 /  20.7
:     May 17   /  25.8 /  17.8 /   9.8 /  18.1
:     May 18   /  25.8 /  18.8 /  12.4 /  22.4
:     May 19   /  23.3 /  17.0 /  15.0 /  20.1
:     May 20   /  23.2 /  19.0 /  17.0
:____________________________________________________________________

: C.W. Bill Young L&D - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 725.52 ft (NGVD 1929)  Allegheny County, PA
: Flood Stage 17.0 ft   Action Stage 15.0 ft
: Moderate Stage 20.0 ft   Major Stage 23.0 ft
: Latest Stage 10.9 ft at 915am EDT on Sat, May 18
:
: Forecasts are in 6-hour increments.

:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 16                           /  11.0
:     May 17   /  11.0 /  10.9 /  10.9 /  10.9
:     May 18   /  10.9 /  10.9 /  10.9
:
.ER ACMP1 20130518 Z DC201305181347/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 18 :                         /  10.8
.E2 : May 19 : /  10.7 /  10.7 /  10.6 /  10.6
.E3 : May 20 : /  10.6 /  10.6 /  10.6 /  10.5
.E4 : May 21 : /  10.5 /  10.5 /  10.5 /  10.5
.E5 : May 22 : /  10.5 /  10.5 /  10.4 /  10.4
.E6 : May 23 : /  10.4 /  10.3 /  10.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 15                           /  0.03
:     May 16   /  0.00 /  0.05 /  0.10 /  0.00
:     May 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 18                           /  0.00
:     May 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.03
:     May 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 15                           /  18.8
:     May 16   /  27.4 /  23.7 /  17.6 /  20.8
:     May 17   /  25.9 /  18.6 /  10.7 /  18.5
:     May 18   /  26.0 /  19.5 /  13.1 /  22.4
:     May 19   /  23.5 /  17.4 /  15.2 /  19.8
:     May 20   /  22.8 /  18.9 /  17.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: Sharpsburg L&D #2 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 711.96 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)  Allegheny County, PA
: Flood Stage 21.0 ft   Action Stage 16.3 ft
: Moderate Stage 22.0 ft   Major Stage 23.0 ft
: Latest Stage 11.0 ft at 900am EDT on Sat, May 18
:
: Forecasts are in 6-hour increments.

:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 16                           /  11.2
:     May 17   /  11.1 /  11.1 /  11.1 /  11.1
:     May 18   /  11.1E/  11.1 /  11.1
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
.ER SHRP1 20130518 Z DC201305181347/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 18 :                         /  11.0
.E2 : May 19 : /  11.0 /  11.0 /  10.9 /  10.8
.E3 : May 20 : /  10.8 /  10.8 /  10.8 /  10.7
.E4 : May 21 : /  10.7 /  10.7 /  10.7 /  10.7
.E5 : May 22 : /  10.7 /  10.7 /  10.7 /  10.6
.E6 : May 23 : /  10.6 /  10.6 /  10.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 15                           /  0.03
:     May 16   /  0.00 /  0.05 /  0.14 /  0.00
:     May 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 18                           /  0.00
:     May 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.03
:     May 20   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 15                           /  18.9
:     May 16   /  27.8 /  24.0 /  17.8 /  20.8
:     May 17   /  25.8 /  19.2 /  11.5 /  18.8
:     May 18   /  26.0 /  20.1 /  13.9 /  22.4
:     May 19   /  23.9 /  17.8 /  15.5 /  19.7
:     May 20   /  22.5 /  18.8 /  17.2
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
: JEH
:...END of MESSAGE...




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