River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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257
FGUS51 KTAR 251505
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1100 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.82 ft at Mar-25 10:00 am
:
.ER ATTN6 20170325 E DC201703251100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0325:       ::       ::/     5.6/     5.1
.E2 :0326:/     4.8/     4.6/     4.5/     4.3
.E3 :0327:/     4.3/     4.5/     4.5/     4.3
.E4 :0328:/     4.1/     4.0
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.50 ft at Mar-25 10:31 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20170325 E DC201703251100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0325:       ::       ::/     3.7/     4.2
.E2 :0326:/     4.6/     4.8/     4.9/     4.9
.E3 :0327:/     4.9/     5.0/     5.0/     5.0
.E4 :0328:/     4.9/     4.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.27/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.05/ 0.10/ 0.01/ 0.09/ 0.16/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.68 ft at Mar-25 10:00 am
:Crest 7.36 at Mar-28 2am
:
.ER RAPN6 20170325 E DC201703251100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0325:       ::       ::/     3.8/     4.3
.E2 :0326:/     4.7/     4.9/     5.3/     5.7
.E3 :0327:/     6.2/     6.6/     7.1/     7.3
.E4 :0328:/     7.4/     7.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.30/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.05/ 0.10/ 0.02/ 0.09/ 0.15/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.44 ft at Mar-25 10:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20170325 E DC201703251100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0325:       ::       ::/     4.1/     4.3
.E2 :0326:/     4.2/     4.3/     4.4/     4.4
.E3 :0327:/     4.5/     4.7/     4.6/     4.4
.E4 :0328:/     4.2/     4.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.13/ 0.10/ 0.02/ 0.06/ 0.07/ 0.03/ 0.10/ 0.16/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.04/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.40 ft at Mar-25 10:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20170325 E DC201703251100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0325:       ::       ::/     4.7/     4.7
.E2 :0326:/     4.0/     3.5/     3.3/     3.3
.E3 :0327:/     3.0/     3.1/     3.3/     3.0
.E4 :0328:/     2.7/     2.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.26/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.08/ 0.02/ 0.09/ 0.15/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 6.21 ft at Mar-25 10:45 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20170325 E DC201703251100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0325:       ::       ::/     6.4/     6.4
.E2 :0326:/     5.2/     5.0/     5.1/     5.2
.E3 :0327:/     5.1/     5.2/     5.3/     5.1
.E4 :0328:/     4.9/     4.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.29/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.09/ 0.15/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.70 ft at Mar-25 10:30 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20170325 E DC201703251100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0325:       ::       ::/     5.6/     6.7
.E2 :0326:/     5.5/     5.2/     4.9/     4.8
.E3 :0327:/     4.6/     4.5/     4.8/     4.8
.E4 :0328:/     4.5/     4.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.24/ 0.10/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.08/ 0.03/ 0.10/ 0.15/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.29 ft at Mar-25 10:15 am
:
.ER WILN6 20170325 E DC201703251100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0325:       ::       ::/     3.5/     3.9
.E2 :0326:/     4.2/     4.6/     4.6/     4.4
.E3 :0327:/     4.3/     4.4/     4.3/     4.2
.E4 :0328:/     4.1/     4.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.30/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.09/ 0.15/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.58 ft at Mar-25 09:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20170325 E DC201703251100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0325:       ::       ::/     5.5/     5.6
.E2 :0326:/     5.6/     5.6/     5.7/     5.7
.E3 :0327:/     5.7/     6.0/     6.2/     6.2
.E4 :0328:/     6.1/     6.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.10/ 0.22/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 11.06 ft at Mar-25 10:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20170325 E DC201703251100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0325:       ::       ::/    11.3/    11.4
.E2 :0326:/    11.5/    11.5/    11.4/    11.4
.E3 :0327:/    11.4/    11.4/    11.5/    11.7
.E4 :0328:/    11.8/    11.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.11/ 0.08/ 0.02/ 0.05/ 0.08/ 0.02/ 0.10/ 0.18/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.02/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 605.43 ft at Mar-25 10:00 am
:Crest 622.54 at Mar-29 8am
:
.ER MMDN6 20170325 E DC201703251100/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0325:       ::       ::/   608.5/   611.1
.E2 :0326:/   613.7/   614.8/   616.3/   616.8
.E3 :0327:/   617.4/   617.9/   618.4/   618.9
.E4 :0328:/   619.5/   620.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.20/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.05/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.17/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 22.15 ft at Mar-25 10:15 am
:Crest 28.52 at Mar-28 2am
:
.ER AVON6 20170325 E DC201703251100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0325:       ::       ::/    24.5/    26.4
.E2 :0326:/    27.4/    27.8/    27.9/    27.8
.E3 :0327:/    27.8/    27.8/    28.0/    28.3
.E4 :0328:/    28.5/    28.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.24/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.10/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.18/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.99 ft at Mar-25 10:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20170325 E DC201703251100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0325:       ::       ::/     4.2/     4.5
.E2 :0326:/     4.8/     5.0/     5.0/     5.0
.E3 :0327:/     5.0/     4.9/     4.9/     4.9
.E4 :0328:/     4.9/     4.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.26/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.05/ 0.10/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.17/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.85 ft at Mar-25 10:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20170325 E DC201703251100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0325:       ::       ::/     3.9/     4.1
.E2 :0326:/     4.2/     4.2/     4.3/     4.4
.E3 :0327:/     4.3/     4.2/     4.2/     4.2
.E4 :0328:/     4.1/     4.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.29/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.11/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.16/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 8.32 ft at Mar-25 08:00 am
:Crest 10.80 at Mar-28 2am
:
.ER RHRN6 20170325 E DC201703251100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0325:       ::       ::/     8.8/     9.7
.E2 :0326:/    10.3/    10.6/    10.8/    10.8
.E3 :0327:/    10.7/    10.7/    10.7/    10.7
.E4 :0328:/    10.8/    10.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.27/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.10/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.17/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.58 ft at Mar-25 10:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20170325 E DC201703251100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0325:       ::       ::/     2.7/     3.1
.E2 :0326:/     3.2/     3.0/     2.8/     2.7
.E3 :0327:/     2.6/     2.5/     2.6/     2.8
.E4 :0328:/     2.8/     2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.21/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.10/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.19/ 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 690.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 688.05 ft at Mar-25 10:45 am
:
.ER CNDN6 20170325 E DC201703251100/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0325:       ::       ::/   688.0/   688.1
.E2 :0326:/   688.2/   688.2/   688.3/   688.4
.E3 :0327:/   688.4/   688.5/   688.6/   688.6
.E4 :0328:/   688.7/   688.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.18/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.19/ 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.87 ft at Mar-25 10:30 am
:
.ER CPNN6 20170325 E DC201703251100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0325:       ::       ::/     3.7/     3.8
.E2 :0326:/     3.7/     3.7/     3.6/     3.7
.E3 :0327:/     3.7/     3.7/     3.7/     3.7
.E4 :0328:/     3.7/     3.7
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.85 ft at Mar-25 10:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20170325 E DC201703251100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0325:       ::       ::/     4.5/     4.5
.E2 :0326:/     4.6/     4.6/     4.7/     4.8
.E3 :0327:/     4.8/     4.8/     4.9/     5.2
.E4 :0328:/     5.7/     6.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.14/ 0.25/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.01/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.08 ft at Mar-25 10:30 am
:Crest 6.10 at Mar-29 2pm
:
.ER MCKN6 20170325 E DC201703251100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0325:       ::       ::/     3.0/     3.0
.E2 :0326:/     3.0/     3.0/     3.1/     3.1
.E3 :0327:/     3.1/     3.1/     3.4/     3.8
.E4 :0328:/     4.4/     4.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.30 ft at Mar-25 10:30 am
:Crest 6.74 at Mar-30 8am
:
.ER ARTN6 20170325 E DC201703251100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0325:       ::       ::/     4.3/     4.4
.E2 :0326:/     4.5/     4.6/     4.6/     4.6
.E3 :0327:/     4.7/     4.8/     5.2/     5.6
.E4 :0328:/     6.0/     6.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.13/ 0.19/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.02/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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