River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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FGUS51 KTAR 301545
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1143 AM EDT Fri Sep 30 2016
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.25 ft at Sep-30 11:00 am
:
.ER ATTN6 20160930 E DC201609301143/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     3.3/     3.3
.E2 :1001:/     3.3/     3.3/     3.4/     3.4
.E3 :1002:/     3.4/     3.4/     3.4/     3.4
.E4 :1003:/     3.3/     3.3
: Gage Reading is below bottom of rating table
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.30 ft at Sep-30 11:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20160930 E DC201609301143/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     1.3/     1.4
.E2 :1001:/     1.4/     1.4/     1.5/     1.6
.E3 :1002:/     1.7/     1.7/     1.7/     1.6
.E4 :1003:/     1.5/     1.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.15/ 0.13/ 0.09/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.07 ft at Sep-30 11:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20160930 E DC201609301143/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     1.1/     1.1
.E2 :1001:/     1.1/     1.1/     1.1/     1.1
.E3 :1002:/     1.1/     1.2/     1.2/     1.2
.E4 :1003:/     1.2/     1.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.16/ 0.14/ 0.08/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.16 ft at Sep-30 11:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20160930 E DC201609301143/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     1.1/     1.3
.E2 :1001:/     1.2/     1.2/     1.3/     1.5
.E3 :1002:/     1.6/     1.6/     1.5/     1.4
.E4 :1003:/     1.3/     1.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.09/ 0.18/ 0.10/ 0.07/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 0.44 ft at Sep-30 11:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20160930 E DC201609301143/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     0.5/     0.5
.E2 :1001:/     0.5/     0.5/     0.6/     0.6
.E3 :1002:/     0.6/     0.6/     0.6/     0.5
.E4 :1003:/     0.5/     0.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.18/ 0.12/ 0.08/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.53 ft at Sep-30 11:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20160930 E DC201609301143/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     2.5/     2.5
.E2 :1001:/     2.5/     2.5/     2.5/     2.6
.E3 :1002:/     2.6/     2.6/     2.6/     2.6
.E4 :1003:/     2.5/     2.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.17/ 0.13/ 0.08/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.01 ft at Sep-30 11:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20160930 E DC201609301143/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     2.0/     2.0
.E2 :1001:/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0/     2.1
.E3 :1002:/     2.1/     2.2/     2.2/     2.1
.E4 :1003:/     2.1/     2.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.09/ 0.19/ 0.12/ 0.08/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.85 ft at Sep-30 11:15 am
:
.ER WILN6 20160930 E DC201609301143/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     1.9/     1.8
.E2 :1001:/     1.8/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9
.E3 :1002:/     2.0/     2.0/     1.9/     1.9
.E4 :1003:/     1.8/     1.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.17/ 0.14/ 0.08/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.25 ft at Sep-30 10:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20160930 E DC201609301143/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     4.3/     4.4
.E2 :1001:/     4.4/     4.4/     4.5/     4.5
.E3 :1002:/     4.5/     4.5/     4.4/     4.3
.E4 :1003:/     4.3/     4.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.16/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.13/ 0.08/ 0.08/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 8.33 ft at Sep-30 11:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20160930 E DC201609301143/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     8.3/     8.4
.E2 :1001:/     8.5/     8.6/     8.7/     8.9
.E3 :1002:/     9.0/     9.0/     9.0/     8.9
.E4 :1003:/     8.8/     8.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.08/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.15/ 0.10/ 0.08/ 0.02/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 586.29 ft at Sep-30 11:00 am
:Crest 607.21 at Oct-05 8am
:
.ER MMDN6 20160930 E DC201609301143/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/   589.6/   590.5
.E2 :1001:/   591.4/   595.4/   600.4/   601.2
.E3 :1002:/   602.3/   603.6/   604.5/   605.1
.E4 :1003:/   605.8/   606.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.13/ 0.12/ 0.08/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 14.05 ft at Sep-30 11:30 am
:
.ER AVON6 20160930 E DC201609301143/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/    14.2/    14.2
.E2 :1001:/    14.2/    14.2/    14.2/    14.2
.E3 :1002:/    14.3/    14.4/    14.5/    14.5
.E4 :1003:/    14.5/    14.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.11/ 0.13/ 0.09/ 0.02/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.18 ft at Sep-30 11:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20160930 E DC201609301143/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     2.2/     2.2
.E2 :1001:/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2
.E3 :1002:/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2
.E4 :1003:/     2.2/     2.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.13/ 0.13/ 0.09/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.20 ft at Sep-30 11:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20160930 E DC201609301143/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     1.2/     1.2
.E2 :1001:/     1.2/     1.2/     1.2/     1.3
.E3 :1002:/     1.3/     1.3/     1.3/     1.3
.E4 :1003:/     1.3/     1.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.13/ 0.15/ 0.09/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.45 ft at Sep-30 08:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20160930 E DC201609301143/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     3.4/     3.4
.E2 :1001:/     3.4/     3.3/     3.3/     3.3
.E3 :1002:/     3.4/     3.4/     3.5/     3.6
.E4 :1003:/     3.6/     3.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.09/ 0.14/ 0.09/ 0.03/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: -0.29 ft at Sep-30 11:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20160930 E DC201609301143/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/    -0.3/    -0.3
.E2 :1001:/    -0.3/    -0.3/    -0.3/    -0.2
.E3 :1002:/     0.0/     0.1/     0.2/     0.1
.E4 :1003:/    -0.0/    -0.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.09/ 0.12/ 0.08/ 0.03/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 690.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 687.02 ft at Sep-30 11:15 am
:
.ER CNDN6 20160930 E DC201609301143/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/   687.1/   687.1
.E2 :1001:/   687.1/   687.1/   687.1/   687.1
.E3 :1002:/   687.1/   687.1/   687.1/   687.1
.E4 :1003:/   687.1/   687.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.07/ 0.11/ 0.08/ 0.04/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.21 ft at Sep-30 11:30 am
:
.ER CPNN6 20160930 E DC201609301143/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     3.2/     3.2
.E2 :1001:/     3.2/     3.2/     3.2/     3.2
.E3 :1002:/     3.2/     3.2/     3.2/     3.2
.E4 :1003:/     3.2/     3.2
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.72 ft at Sep-30 11:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20160930 E DC201609301143/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     3.7/     3.7
.E2 :1001:/     3.7/     3.7/     3.7/     3.7
.E3 :1002:/     3.7/     3.7/     3.7/     3.7
.E4 :1003:/     3.7/     3.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.12/
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.84 ft at Sep-30 10:30 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20160930 E DC201609301143/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     1.8/     1.8
.E2 :1001:/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8
.E3 :1002:/     1.8/     1.8/     1.9/     1.9
.E4 :1003:/     1.9/     1.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.10/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.59 ft at Sep-30 10:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20160930 E DC201609301143/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     2.5/     2.5
.E2 :1001:/     2.4/     2.4/     2.4/     2.4
.E3 :1002:/     2.4/     2.4/     2.4/     2.4
.E4 :1003:/     2.4/     2.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.11/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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