River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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625
FGUS51 KTAR 111602
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1055 AM EST Thu Feb 11 2016
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.28 ft at Feb-11 10:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20160211 E DC201602111055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0211:       ::       ::/     2.3/     2.3
.E2 :0212:/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2
.E3 :0213:/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2/     2.1
.E4 :0214:/     2.1/     2.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.06/ 0.09/ 0.05/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.46 ft at Feb-11 10:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20160211 E DC201602111055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0211:       ::       ::/     2.5/     2.4
.E2 :0212:/     2.4/     2.4/     2.3/     2.3
.E3 :0213:/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2
.E4 :0214:/     2.1/     2.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.08/ 0.08/ 0.05/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.36 ft at Feb-11 10:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20160211 E DC201602111055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0211:       ::       ::/     2.4/     2.3
.E2 :0212:/     2.3/     2.3/     2.3/     2.3
.E3 :0213:/     2.3/     2.3/     2.3/     2.3
.E4 :0214:/     2.2/     2.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.08/ 0.14/ 0.06/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.28 ft at Feb-11 10:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20160211 E DC201602111055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0211:       ::       ::/     1.2/     1.2
.E2 :0212:/     1.2/     1.2/     1.2/     1.2
.E3 :0213:/     1.2/     1.2/     1.2/     1.2
.E4 :0214:/     1.1/     1.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.07/ 0.10/ 0.11/ 0.05/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.37 ft at Feb-11 10:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20160211 E DC201602111055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0211:       ::       ::/     4.0/     3.9
.E2 :0212:/     3.9/     3.9/     3.9/     3.9
.E3 :0213:/     3.9/     3.9/     3.9/     3.9
.E4 :0214:/     3.8/     3.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.08/ 0.11/ 0.09/ 0.05/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.60 ft at Feb-11 10:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20160211 E DC201602111055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0211:       ::       ::/     2.7/     2.7
.E2 :0212:/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7
.E3 :0213:/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7
.E4 :0214:/     2.7/     2.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.11/ 0.12/ 0.05/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.42 ft at Feb-11 10:15 am
:
.ER WILN6 20160211 E DC201602111055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0211:       ::       ::/     2.4/     2.3
.E2 :0212:/     2.3/     2.3/     2.3/     2.2
.E3 :0213:/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2
.E4 :0214:/     2.2/     2.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.09/ 0.11/ 0.08/ 0.05/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.80 ft at Feb-11 09:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20160211 E DC201602111055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0211:       ::       ::/     5.0/     5.0
.E2 :0212:/     5.0/     5.0/     5.0/     5.0
.E3 :0213:/     4.9/     4.9/     4.9/     4.9
.E4 :0214:/     4.9/     4.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.06/ 0.01/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 9.68 ft at Feb-11 10:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20160211 E DC201602111055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0211:       ::       ::/     9.7/     9.7
.E2 :0212:/     9.6/     9.6/     9.6/     9.6
.E3 :0213:/     9.6/     9.5/     9.5/     9.5
.E4 :0214:/     9.5/     9.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.10/ 0.04/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 592.43 ft at Feb-11 10:00 am
:
.ER MMDN6 20160211 E DC201602111055/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0211:       ::       ::/   592.5/   592.4
.E2 :0212:/   592.2/   592.0/   591.8/   591.6
.E3 :0213:/   591.4/   591.3/   591.1/   590.9
.E4 :0214:/   590.7/   590.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.05/ 0.09/ 0.05/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 19.20 ft at Feb-11 10:15 am
:
.ER AVON6 20160211 E DC201602111055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0211:       ::       ::/    19.1/    18.9
.E2 :0212:/    18.6/    18.3/    18.1/    17.9
.E3 :0213:/    17.8/    17.7/    17.6/    17.5
.E4 :0214:/    17.4/    17.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.05/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.79 ft at Feb-11 10:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20160211 E DC201602111055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0211:       ::       ::/     2.8/     2.8
.E2 :0212:/     2.8/     2.8/     2.7/     2.7
.E3 :0213:/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7
.E4 :0214:/     2.7/     2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.05/ 0.08/ 0.05/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.95 ft at Feb-11 10:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20160211 E DC201602111055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0211:       ::       ::/     2.0/     1.9
.E2 :0212:/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9
.E3 :0213:/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9
.E4 :0214:/     1.9/     1.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.05/ 0.08/ 0.06/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 6.48 ft at Feb-11 07:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20160211 E DC201602111055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0211:       ::       ::/     6.4/     6.3
.E2 :0212:/     6.3/     6.2/     6.1/     6.0
.E3 :0213:/     5.9/     5.9/     5.8/     5.7
.E4 :0214:/     5.7/     5.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.06/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 0.73 ft at Feb-11 10:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20160211 E DC201602111055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0211:       ::       ::/     1.0/     1.0
.E2 :0212:/     1.0/     1.0/     1.0/     1.0
.E3 :0213:/     1.0/     1.0/     1.0/     1.0
.E4 :0214:/     1.0/     1.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.05/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 689.2 ft
:
.ER CNDN6 20160211 E DC201602111055/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0211:       ::       ::/   688.7/   688.7
.E2 :0212:/   688.7/   688.7/   688.7/   688.7
.E3 :0213:/   688.7/   688.7/   688.7/   688.7
.E4 :0214:/   688.8/   688.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.05/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.41 ft at Feb-11 10:30 am
:
.ER CPNN6 20160211 E DC201602111055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0211:       ::       ::/     3.4/     3.4
.E2 :0212:/     3.4/     3.4/     3.4/     3.4
.E3 :0213:/     3.4/     3.4/     3.4/     3.4
.E4 :0214:/     3.4/     3.4
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.56 ft at Feb-11 10:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20160211 E DC201602111055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0211:       ::       ::/     4.6/     4.5
.E2 :0212:/     4.5/     4.5/     4.5/     4.5
.E3 :0213:/     4.5/     4.4/     4.4/     4.4
.E4 :0214:/     4.4/     4.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.09/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.05/ 0.09/ 0.05/
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.78 ft at Feb-11 10:30 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20160211 E DC201602111055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0211:       ::       ::/     3.5/     3.5
.E2 :0212:/     3.4/     3.4/     3.4/     3.4
.E3 :0213:/     3.4/     3.3/     3.3/     3.3
.E4 :0214:/     3.3/     3.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.07/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.05/ 0.09/ 0.05/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.88 ft at Feb-11 10:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20160211 E DC201602111055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0211:       ::       ::/     4.9/     4.8
.E2 :0212:/     4.8/     4.7/     4.7/     4.7
.E3 :0213:/     4.6/     4.6/     4.6/     4.6
.E4 :0214:/     4.5/     4.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.11/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.07/ 0.07/ 0.19/ 0.03/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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