River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FGUS51 KTAR 231612
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1107 AM EST Sun Nov 23 2014
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.12 ft at Nov-23 10:00 am
:Crest 5.75 at Nov-25 7pm
:
.ER BTVN6 20141123 E DC201411231107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1123:       ::       ::/     2.1/     2.2
.E2 :1124:/     2.4/     2.8/     3.2/     3.8
.E3 :1125:/     4.6/     5.2/     5.6/     5.8
.E4 :1126:/     5.7/     5.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.18/ 0.03/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.04/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.77 ft at Nov-23 10:00 am
:Crest 7.33 at Nov-26 7pm
:
.ER RAPN6 20141123 E DC201411231107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1123:       ::       ::/     1.8/     2.0
.E2 :1124:/     2.3/     2.6/     3.0/     3.5
.E3 :1125:/     4.1/     4.8/     5.4/     5.9
.E4 :1126:/     6.4/     6.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.11/ 0.20/ 0.03/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.84 ft at Nov-23 10:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20141123 E DC201411231107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1123:       ::       ::/     4.1/     4.3
.E2 :1124:/     5.0/     5.4/     5.3/     4.8
.E3 :1125:/     4.5/     4.2/     3.9/     3.5
.E4 :1126:/     3.3/     3.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.16/ 0.14/ 0.02/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.13 ft at Nov-23 10:15 am
:Crest 7.74 at Nov-24 7am
:
.ER GDVN6 20141123 E DC201411231107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1123:       ::       ::/     3.0/     3.8
.E2 :1124:/     5.1/     7.7/     6.2/     7.1
.E3 :1125:/     5.5/     4.7/     4.0/     3.6
.E4 :1126:/     3.3/     3.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.13/ 0.15/ 0.03/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.04/
: GDVN6 Above minor flood stage at 2014-11-24 07:00:00
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.70 ft at Nov-23 10:30 am
:Crest 9.27 at Nov-24 7pm
:
.ER LCSN6 20141123 E DC201411231107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1123:       ::       ::/     5.0/     5.7
.E2 :1124:/     7.1/     8.5/     9.0/     9.3
.E3 :1125:/     7.1/     6.4/     5.9/     5.5
.E4 :1126:/     5.2/     4.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.12/ 0.16/ 0.03/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.04/
: LCSN6 Above minor flood stage at 2014-11-24 07:00:00
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.28 ft at Nov-23 11:00 am
:Crest 10.76 at Nov-24 7pm
:
.ER EBZN6 20141123 E DC201411231107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1123:       ::       ::/     4.7/     5.2
.E2 :1124:/     8.4/    10.4/     9.5/    10.8
.E3 :1125:/     8.4/     7.6/     7.0/     6.4
.E4 :1126:/     5.8/     5.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.15/ 0.15/ 0.02/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.04/
: EBZN6 Above minor flood stage at 2014-11-24 07:00:00
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.71 ft at Nov-23 10:46 am
:Crest 9.55 at Nov-24 7am
:
.ER WILN6 20141123 E DC201411231107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1123:       ::       ::/     3.1/     3.4
.E2 :1124:/     7.4/     9.5/     8.8/     8.2
.E3 :1125:/     8.7/     9.0/     8.7/     8.0
.E4 :1126:/     6.6/     5.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.12/ 0.18/ 0.03/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.03/
: WILN6 Above minor flood stage at 2014-11-24 07:00:00
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.53 ft at Nov-23 10:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20141123 E DC201411231107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1123:       ::       ::/     4.6/     4.6
.E2 :1124:/     4.6/     4.7/     4.8/     4.9
.E3 :1125:/     4.9/     4.8/     4.7/     4.6
.E4 :1126:/     4.6/     4.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.15/ 0.20/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 9.46 ft at Nov-23 10:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20141123 E DC201411231107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1123:       ::       ::/     9.6/     9.8
.E2 :1124:/    10.2/    10.6/    10.9/    11.1
.E3 :1125:/    11.2/    11.3/    11.1/    11.0
.E4 :1126:/    10.7/    10.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.12/ 0.17/ 0.02/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.01/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 588.82 ft at Nov-23 10:00 am
:Crest 613.72 at Nov-26 1am
:
.ER MMDN6 20141123 E DC201411231107/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1123:       ::       ::/   589.5/   589.8
.E2 :1124:/   592.8/   600.3/   603.7/   606.4
.E3 :1125:/   608.7/   610.4/   612.2/   613.2
.E4 :1126:/   613.7/   613.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.16/ 0.02/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 15.96 ft at Nov-23 10:00 am
:Crest 21.82 at Nov-26 7pm
:
.ER AVON6 20141123 E DC201411231107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1123:       ::       ::/    16.1/    16.7
.E2 :1124:/    17.9/    18.9/    19.7/    20.5
.E3 :1125:/    21.0/    21.3/    21.4/    21.5
.E4 :1126:/    21.5/    21.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.19/ 0.03/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.04/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.52 ft at Nov-23 10:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20141123 E DC201411231107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1123:       ::       ::/     2.5/     2.6
.E2 :1124:/     2.7/     2.8/     2.9/     2.9
.E3 :1125:/     3.0/     3.1/     3.2/     3.3
.E4 :1126:/     3.5/     3.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.19/ 0.03/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.04/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.76 ft at Nov-23 10:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20141123 E DC201411231107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1123:       ::       ::/     1.8/     2.0
.E2 :1124:/     2.2/     2.4/     2.6/     2.7
.E3 :1125:/     2.8/     2.8/     2.7/     2.5
.E4 :1126:/     2.4/     2.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.23/ 0.03/ 0.10/ 0.00/ 0.02/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.93 ft at Nov-23 07:00 am
:Crest 6.94 at Nov-27 1am
:
.ER RHRN6 20141123 E DC201411231107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1123:       ::       ::/     3.8/     4.1
.E2 :1124:/     4.5/     5.0/     5.5/     6.0
.E3 :1125:/     6.3/     6.5/     6.7/     6.7
.E4 :1126:/     6.8/     6.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.24/ 0.03/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.02/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 0.84 ft at Nov-23 10:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20141123 E DC201411231107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1123:       ::       ::/     0.9/     1.1
.E2 :1124:/     1.4/     1.6/     1.6/     1.6
.E3 :1125:/     1.5/     1.5/     1.4/     1.4
.E4 :1126:/     1.3/     1.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.21/ 0.02/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.04/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 689.2 ft
:
.ER CNDN6 20141123 E DC201411231107/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1123:       ::       ::/   687.4/   687.4
.E2 :1124:/   687.4/   687.5/   687.5/   687.5
.E3 :1125:/   687.5/   687.5/   687.5/   687.5
.E4 :1126:/   687.5/   687.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.22/ 0.02/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Crest 3.37 at Nov-24 1pm
:
.ER CPNN6 20141123 E DC201411231107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1123:       ::       ::/     3.3/     3.3
.E2 :1124:/     3.3/     3.3/     3.4/     3.4
.E3 :1125:/     3.3/     3.3/     3.3/     3.3
.E4 :1126:/     3.3/     3.3
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.80 ft at Nov-23 10:00 am
:Crest 7.65 at Nov-25 1pm
:
.ER BOON6 20141123 E DC201411231107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1123:       ::       ::/     4.9/     5.1
.E2 :1124:/     5.4/     5.9/     6.4/     7.0
.E3 :1125:/     7.4/     7.6/     7.6/     7.5
.E4 :1126:/     7.2/     6.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.49/ 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.06/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.81 ft at Nov-23 10:30 am
:Crest 6.32 at Nov-25 7pm
:
.ER MCKN6 20141123 E DC201411231107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1123:       ::       ::/     3.1/     3.4
.E2 :1124:/     3.7/     4.3/     4.9/     5.4
.E3 :1125:/     5.8/     6.1/     6.3/     6.3
.E4 :1126:/     6.3/     6.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.49/ 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.07/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.30 ft at Nov-23 10:30 am
:Crest 7.31 at Nov-27 7am
:
.ER ARTN6 20141123 E DC201411231107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1123:       ::       ::/     4.4/     4.6
.E2 :1124:/     4.9/     5.1/     5.3/     5.6
.E3 :1125:/     6.0/     6.3/     6.5/     6.7
.E4 :1126:/     6.9/     7.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.46/ 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.05/ 0.02/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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