River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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FGUS51 KTAR 271454
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1051 AM EDT Sun Jul 27 2014
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.78 ft at Jul-27 10:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20140727 E DC201407271051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0727:       ::       ::/     1.8/     1.8
.E2 :0728:/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9/     2.0
.E3 :0729:/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2/     2.1
.E4 :0730:/     2.0/     2.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.15/ 0.63/ 0.42/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.44 ft at Jul-27 10:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20140727 E DC201407271051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0727:       ::       ::/     1.4/     1.4
.E2 :0728:/     1.4/     1.4/     1.5/     1.5
.E3 :0729:/     1.6/     1.6/     1.7/     1.7
.E4 :0730:/     1.8/     1.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.15/ 0.55/ 0.32/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.56 ft at Jul-27 10:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20140727 E DC201407271051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0727:       ::       ::/     1.6/     1.6
.E2 :0728:/     1.7/     2.3/     2.9/     3.1
.E3 :0729:/     3.1/     2.9/     2.6/     2.3
.E4 :0730:/     2.1/     2.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.21/ 0.66/ 0.40/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 0.66 ft at Jul-27 10:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20140727 E DC201407271051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0727:       ::       ::/     0.8/     0.7
.E2 :0728:/     0.7/     0.9/     1.8/     2.5
.E3 :0729:/     1.8/     1.4/     1.1/     1.0
.E4 :0730:/     1.0/     0.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.18/ 0.65/ 0.37/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.99 ft at Jul-27 10:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20140727 E DC201407271051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0727:       ::       ::/     3.3/     3.4
.E2 :0728:/     3.5/     4.6/     4.9/     4.5
.E3 :0729:/     4.2/     3.9/     3.6/     3.5
.E4 :0730:/     3.3/     3.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.17/ 0.63/ 0.35/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.40 ft at Jul-27 10:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20140727 E DC201407271051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0727:       ::       ::/     2.4/     2.4
.E2 :0728:/     2.5/     2.8/     3.7/     4.0
.E3 :0729:/     3.9/     3.6/     3.5/     3.3
.E4 :0730:/     3.1/     3.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.20/ 0.67/ 0.35/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.97 ft at Jul-27 10:00 am
:
.ER WILN6 20140727 E DC201407271051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0727:       ::       ::/     2.0/     2.0
.E2 :0728:/     2.0/     2.1/     2.3/     2.4
.E3 :0729:/     2.6/     2.9/     2.9/     2.9
.E4 :0730:/     2.8/     2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.16/ 0.59/ 0.31/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.56 ft at Jul-27 09:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20140727 E DC201407271051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0727:       ::       ::/     4.6/     4.6
.E2 :0728:/     4.7/     4.8/     5.1/     5.2
.E3 :0729:/     5.1/     5.0/     4.9/     4.8
.E4 :0730:/     4.7/     4.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.12/ 0.21/ 0.45/ 0.45/ 0.10/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 8.84 ft at Jul-27 10:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20140727 E DC201407271051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0727:       ::       ::/     8.8/     8.8
.E2 :0728:/     8.9/     9.1/     9.6/    10.1
.E3 :0729:/    10.4/    10.4/    10.2/    10.0
.E4 :0730:/     9.7/     9.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.18/ 0.61/ 0.51/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 589.26 ft at Jul-27 10:00 am
:Crest 601.16 at Jul-29 8pm
:
.ER MMDN6 20140727 E DC201407271051/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0727:       ::       ::/   589.3/   590.0
.E2 :0728:/   590.3/   590.3/   590.3/   590.3
.E3 :0729:/   590.3/   598.5/   601.1/   601.2
.E4 :0730:/   600.8/   598.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.05/ 0.16/ 0.66/ 0.52/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 15.35 ft at Jul-27 10:00 am
:Crest 19.66 at Jul-30 2am
:
.ER AVON6 20140727 E DC201407271051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0727:       ::       ::/    15.3/    15.3
.E2 :0728:/    15.3/    15.4/    15.9/    16.9
.E3 :0729:/    18.2/    19.1/    19.5/    19.6
.E4 :0730:/    19.7/    19.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.13/ 0.60/ 0.52/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.62 ft at Jul-27 10:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20140727 E DC201407271051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0727:       ::       ::/     2.6/     2.6
.E2 :0728:/     2.6/     2.7/     3.1/     3.2
.E3 :0729:/     3.2/     3.2/     3.1/     3.1
.E4 :0730:/     3.1/     3.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.14/ 0.60/ 0.46/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.67 ft at Jul-27 10:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20140727 E DC201407271051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0727:       ::       ::/     1.7/     1.7
.E2 :0728:/     1.7/     1.7/     1.9/     2.1
.E3 :0729:/     2.3/     2.4/     2.5/     2.6
.E4 :0730:/     2.5/     2.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.11/ 0.48/ 0.41/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.73 ft at Jul-27 08:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20140727 E DC201407271051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0727:       ::       ::/     3.4/     3.4
.E2 :0728:/     3.4/     3.4/     3.8/     4.3
.E3 :0729:/     4.8/     5.2/     5.6/     5.8
.E4 :0730:/     5.8/     5.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.10/ 0.47/ 0.51/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 0.23 ft at Jul-27 10:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20140727 E DC201407271051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0727:       ::       ::/     0.4/     0.4
.E2 :0728:/     0.4/     0.5/     0.6/     0.9
.E3 :0729:/     1.1/     1.0/     0.9/     0.8
.E4 :0730:/     0.7/     0.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.13/ 0.58/ 0.54/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 689.2 ft
:
.ER CNDN6 20140727 E DC201407271051/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0727:       ::       ::/   687.2/   687.2
.E2 :0728:/   687.2/   687.3/   687.3/   687.3
.E3 :0729:/   687.4/   687.4/   687.4/   687.4
.E4 :0730:/   687.4/   687.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.07/ 0.05/ 0.13/ 0.55/ 0.54/ 0.13/ 0.01/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Latest Observed Value: 3.29 ft at Jul-27 10:30 am
:Crest 3.47 at Jul-28 8pm
:
.ER CPNN6 20140727 E DC201407271051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0727:       ::       ::/     3.2/     3.2
.E2 :0728:/     3.2/     3.2/     3.4/     3.5
.E3 :0729:/     3.4/     3.3/     3.2/     3.2
.E4 :0730:/     3.2/     3.2
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.26 ft at Jul-27 10:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20140727 E DC201407271051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0727:       ::       ::/     4.4/     4.6
.E2 :0728:/     4.8/     4.8/     4.9/     5.2
.E3 :0729:/     5.4/     5.5/     5.5/     5.3
.E4 :0730:/     5.2/     4.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.27/ 0.07/ 0.05/ 0.25/ 0.60/ 0.30/ 0.02/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.06 ft at Jul-27 10:30 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20140727 E DC201407271051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0727:       ::       ::/     2.2/     2.3
.E2 :0728:/     2.3/     2.4/     2.6/     3.1
.E3 :0729:/     3.6/     3.8/     3.8/     3.7
.E4 :0730:/     3.6/     3.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.30/ 0.08/ 0.04/ 0.21/ 0.67/ 0.27/ 0.03/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.14 ft at Jul-27 10:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20140727 E DC201407271051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0727:       ::       ::/     3.2/     3.2
.E2 :0728:/     3.2/     3.3/     3.4/     3.5
.E3 :0729:/     3.6/     3.8/     4.0/     4.1
.E4 :0730:/     4.2/     4.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.29/ 0.07/ 0.03/ 0.18/ 0.61/ 0.24/ 0.01/ 0.00/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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