River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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FGUS51 KTAR 161503
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1053 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.68 ft at Oct-16 10:00 am
:
.ER ATTN6 20171016 E DC201710161053/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1016:       ::       ::/     3.6/     3.5
.E2 :1017:/     3.4/     3.4/     3.4/     3.4
.E3 :1018:/     3.4/     3.4/     3.4/     3.4
.E4 :1019:/     3.4/     3.4
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.63 ft at Oct-16 10:31 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20171016 E DC201710161053/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1016:       ::       ::/     2.6/     2.5
.E2 :1017:/     2.4/     2.3/     2.2/     2.2
.E3 :1018:/     2.1/     2.1/     2.1/     2.0
.E4 :1019:/     2.0/     2.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.76 ft at Oct-16 10:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20171016 E DC201710161053/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1016:       ::       ::/     1.7/     1.7
.E2 :1017:/     1.7/     1.8/     1.9/     2.0
.E3 :1018:/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0/     1.9
.E4 :1019:/     1.8/     1.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.36 ft at Oct-16 10:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20171016 E DC201710161053/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1016:       ::       ::/     2.2/     2.1
.E2 :1017:/     2.0/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9
.E3 :1018:/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8
.E4 :1019:/     1.8/     1.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.45 ft at Oct-16 10:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20171016 E DC201710161053/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1016:       ::       ::/     1.5/     1.3
.E2 :1017:/     1.1/     1.0/     1.0/     0.9
.E3 :1018:/     0.9/     0.8/     0.8/     0.8
.E4 :1019:/     0.8/     0.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.24 ft at Oct-16 10:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20171016 E DC201710161053/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1016:       ::       ::/     4.2/     4.0
.E2 :1017:/     3.8/     3.7/     3.6/     3.5
.E3 :1018:/     3.4/     3.3/     3.3/     3.2
.E4 :1019:/     3.2/     3.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.06 ft at Oct-16 10:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20171016 E DC201710161053/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1016:       ::       ::/     3.0/     2.8
.E2 :1017:/     2.7/     2.6/     2.6/     2.5
.E3 :1018:/     2.5/     2.5/     2.5/     2.5
.E4 :1019:/     2.4/     2.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.02 ft at Oct-16 10:15 am
:
.ER WILN6 20171016 E DC201710161053/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1016:       ::       ::/     2.0/     2.0
.E2 :1017:/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9
.E3 :1018:/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9
.E4 :1019:/     1.9/     1.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.34 ft at Oct-16 09:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20171016 E DC201710161053/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1016:       ::       ::/     4.4/     4.4
.E2 :1017:/     4.4/     4.4/     4.4/     4.4
.E3 :1018:/     4.4/     4.4/     4.4/     4.4
.E4 :1019:/     4.4/     4.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 9.65 ft at Oct-16 10:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20171016 E DC201710161053/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1016:       ::       ::/     9.7/     9.6
.E2 :1017:/     9.6/     9.5/     9.5/     9.4
.E3 :1018:/     9.4/     9.3/     9.3/     9.3
.E4 :1019:/     9.3/     9.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 595.07 ft at Oct-16 10:00 am
:
.ER MMDN6 20171016 E DC201710161053/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1016:       ::       ::/   592.5/   591.7
.E2 :1017:/   591.5/   591.3/   591.3/   591.3
.E3 :1018:/   591.3/   591.3/   591.3/   591.3
.E4 :1019:/   591.3/   591.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 17.53 ft at Oct-16 10:00 am
:
.ER AVON6 20171016 E DC201710161053/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1016:       ::       ::/    17.7/    17.9
.E2 :1017:/    18.0/    17.9/    17.8/    17.6
.E3 :1018:/    17.4/    17.1/    17.0/    16.8
.E4 :1019:/    16.7/    16.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.78 ft at Oct-16 10:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20171016 E DC201710161053/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1016:       ::       ::/     2.8/     2.9
.E2 :1017:/     2.8/     2.8/     2.8/     2.7
.E3 :1018:/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7
.E4 :1019:/     2.7/     2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.94 ft at Oct-16 10:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20171016 E DC201710161053/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1016:       ::       ::/     1.9/     1.8
.E2 :1017:/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8
.E3 :1018:/     1.8/     1.8/     1.7/     1.7
.E4 :1019:/     1.7/     1.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 6.06 ft at Oct-16 08:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20171016 E DC201710161053/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1016:       ::       ::/     5.9/     5.8
.E2 :1017:/     5.7/     5.6/     5.5/     5.3
.E3 :1018:/     5.2/     5.0/     4.7/     4.5
.E4 :1019:/     4.4/     4.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 0.60 ft at Oct-16 10:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20171016 E DC201710161053/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1016:       ::       ::/     0.6/     0.6
.E2 :1017:/     0.6/     0.6/     0.6/     0.6
.E3 :1018:/     0.6/     0.6/     0.5/     0.5
.E4 :1019:/     0.5/     0.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 690.0 ft
:
.ER CNDN6 20171016 E DC201710161053/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1016:       ::       ::/   687.7/   687.7
.E2 :1017:/   687.7/   687.7/   687.7/   687.7
.E3 :1018:/   687.7/   687.7/   687.7/   687.7
.E4 :1019:/   687.7/   687.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.27 ft at Oct-16 10:30 am
:
.ER CPNN6 20171016 E DC201710161053/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1016:       ::       ::/     3.3/     3.2
.E2 :1017:/     3.2/     3.2/     3.2/     3.2
.E3 :1018:/     3.2/     3.2/     3.2/     3.2
.E4 :1019:/     3.2/     3.2
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.15 ft at Oct-16 10:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20171016 E DC201710161053/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1016:       ::       ::/     4.2/     4.2
.E2 :1017:/     4.2/     4.2/     4.2/     4.2
.E3 :1018:/     4.1/     4.1/     4.1/     4.1
.E4 :1019:/     4.1/     4.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.83 ft at Oct-16 10:30 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20171016 E DC201710161053/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1016:       ::       ::/     2.9/     3.0
.E2 :1017:/     3.0/     3.1/     3.1/     3.0
.E3 :1018:/     3.0/     3.0/     3.0/     2.9
.E4 :1019:/     2.9/     2.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.07 ft at Oct-16 10:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20171016 E DC201710161053/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1016:       ::       ::/     4.2/     4.3
.E2 :1017:/     4.3/     4.2/     4.1/     4.1
.E3 :1018:/     4.0/     4.0/     3.9/     3.9
.E4 :1019:/     3.8/     3.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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