River Forecast
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000
FGUS51 KTIR 210205
RVFBVR
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
10:05pm EDT Wednesday, August 20, 2014

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Leavittsburg - Mahoning River - CLE
: Zero Datum 871.25 ft (NGVD 1912)
: Trumbull County, OH
: Record River Stage     24.0 ft
: Major River Stage      16.5 ft
: Moderate River Stage   13.5 ft
: Flood River Stage      10.0 ft
: Action River Stage      7.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR LEAO1 20140821 Z DC201408210205/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFFX :crest:   10.3
: Crest near   10.2 ft around 2AM EDT on Thu, Aug 21
: Fall below flood level around 7AM EDT on Thu, Aug 21
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 19           /   3.5 /   3.3 /   3.2
:     Aug 20   /   3.2 /   3.6 /   5.0 /   7.8
:     Aug 21   /   9.7
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 9.9 ft at 915pm EDT on Wed, Aug 20
:
.ER LEAO1 20140821 Z DC201408210205/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Aug 21 :         /  10.3 /  10.1 /   8.7
.E2 : Aug 22 : /   7.9 /   6.4 /   6.0 /   5.9
.E3 : Aug 23 : /   5.9 /   6.0 /   5.9 /   5.8
.E4 : Aug 24 : /   5.5 /   5.3 /   5.1 /   4.9
.E5 : Aug 25 : /   4.7 /   4.5 /   4.4 /   4.3
.E6 : Aug 26 : /   4.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 18           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Aug 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Aug 20   /  0.00 /  0.89 /  1.04 /  0.11
:     Aug 21   /  0.30
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 21           /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.06
:     Aug 22   /  0.16 /  0.21 /  0.14 /  0.14
:     Aug 23   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 18           /  17.7 /  15.3 /  21.6
:     Aug 19   /  25.7 /  18.5 /  15.4 /  23.9
:     Aug 20   /  28.7 /  20.7 /  18.2 /  22.0
:     Aug 21   /  24.9 /  20.9 /  19.3 /  23.5
:     Aug 22   /  26.3 /  20.6 /  18.6 /  24.2
:     Aug 23   /  27.4
:____________________________________________________________________

: Warren - Mahoning River - CLE
: Zero Datum 855.66 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Trumbull County, OH
: Record River Stage     21.0 ft
: Major River Stage      12.5 ft
: Moderate River Stage   11.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      10.0 ft
: Action River Stage      7.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR WRNO1 20140821 Z DC201408210205/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFFX :crest:    7.6
: Crest near    7.6 ft around 2AM EDT on Thu, Aug 21
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 19           /   2.8 /   2.6 /   2.5
:     Aug 20   /    M  /   2.8 /   3.6 /   5.2
:     Aug 21   /   6.9
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 7.0 ft at 900pm EDT on Wed, Aug 20
:
.ER WRNO1 20140821 Z DC201408210205/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Aug 21 :         /   7.6 /   7.3 /   6.4
.E2 : Aug 22 : /   6.0 /   4.9 /   4.7 /   4.6
.E3 : Aug 23 : /   4.6 /   4.6 /   4.5 /   4.4
.E4 : Aug 24 : /   4.2 /   4.0 /   3.8 /   3.7
.E5 : Aug 25 : /   3.5 /   3.4 /   3.3 /   3.2
.E6 : Aug 26 : /   3.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 18           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Aug 19   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Aug 20   /  0.00 /  0.93 /  0.87 /  0.17
:     Aug 21   /  0.42
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 21           /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.05
:     Aug 22   /  0.16 /  0.22 /  0.14 /  0.14
:     Aug 23   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 18           /  16.7 /  14.7 /  21.8
:     Aug 19   /  25.7 /  18.0 /  15.2 /  23.8
:     Aug 20   /  29.0 /  20.8 /  18.2 /  21.7
:     Aug 21   /  24.0 /  20.8 /  19.3 /  23.3
:     Aug 22   /  25.8 /  20.2 /  18.4 /  24.1
:     Aug 23   /  26.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Youngstown - Mahoning River - CLE
: Zero Datum 824.1 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Mahoning County, OH
: Record River Stage     26.5 ft
: Major River Stage      20.5 ft
: Moderate River Stage   15.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      10.0 ft
: Action River Stage      7.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR YGWO1 20140821 Z DC201408210205/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFFX :crest:    9.8
: Crest near    9.8 ft around 2AM EDT on Thu, Aug 21
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 19           /   2.4 /   2.2 /   2.0
:     Aug 20   /   1.9 /   2.1 /   4.2 /   8.0
:     Aug 21   /   9.3
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 9.5 ft at 915pm EDT on Wed, Aug 20
:
.ER YGWO1 20140821 Z DC201408210205/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Aug 21 :         /   9.8 /   8.5 /   6.9
.E2 : Aug 22 : /   6.1 /   5.5 /   5.2 /   5.2
.E3 : Aug 23 : /   5.4 /   5.3 /   5.1 /   4.9
.E4 : Aug 24 : /   4.6 /   4.3 /   4.1 /   3.9
.E5 : Aug 25 : /   3.7 /   3.5 /   3.4 /   3.2
.E6 : Aug 26 : /   3.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 18           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Aug 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Aug 20   /  0.00 /  0.75 /  0.91 /  0.16
:     Aug 21   /  0.26
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 21           /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.05
:     Aug 22   /  0.16 /  0.23 /  0.14 /  0.14
:     Aug 23   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 18           /  17.5 /  14.7 /  21.8
:     Aug 19   /  25.7 /  18.4 /  15.1 /  23.8
:     Aug 20   /  28.5 /  20.8 /  18.0 /  21.3
:     Aug 21   /  24.6 /  20.6 /  19.1 /  23.3
:     Aug 22   /  26.1 /  20.1 /  18.1 /  23.8
:     Aug 23   /  27.1
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
: Trent Schade
:...END of MESSAGE...




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