River Forecast
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000
FGUS51 KTIR 050145
RVFMNL
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
8:45pm EST Wednesday, March 4, 2015

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Confluence - Youghiogheny River - CTP
: Zero Datum 1302.8 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record River Stage     21.6 ft
: Major River Stage      17.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   14.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      12.0 ft
: Action River Stage      7.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /   2.9 /   2.9 /   3.0
:     Mar 04   /   3.0 /   3.5 /   7.4 /  11.3
:     Mar 05   /  11.8
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 11.8 ft at 745pm EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER CNFP1 20150305 Z DC201503050145/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :         /  11.3 /   9.8 /   8.6
.E2 : Mar 06 : /   7.6 /   7.0 /   6.5 /   6.6
.E3 : Mar 07 : /   6.6 /   6.4 /   5.9 /   5.5
.E4 : Mar 08 : /   5.1 /   4.6 /   4.5 /   4.4
.E5 : Mar 09 : /   4.3 /   4.3 /   4.2 /   4.1
.E6 : Mar 10 : /   4.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  0.29 /  0.06 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.03
:     Mar 04   /  0.44 /  0.50 /  0.46 /  0.56
:     Mar 05   /  0.25
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05           /  0.26 /  0.14 /  0.10
:     Mar 06   /  0.04 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   1.4 /  -1.4 /  -5.1
:     Mar 03   /  -3.7 /  -7.4 /  -7.8 /  -4.4
:     Mar 04   /   0.4 /   8.8 /   5.5 /   4.3
:     Mar 05   /   1.9 /  -2.5 /  -6.7 /  -9.2
:     Mar 06   /  -9.5 / -13.6 / -16.3 / -11.8
:     Mar 07   /  -6.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Ohiopyle - Youghiogheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 1164.67 ft (NAVD 1988)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record River Stage     14.8 ft
: Major River Stage      25.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     10.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /   2.3 /   2.4 /   2.5
:     Mar 04   /   2.6 /   3.5 /   7.5 /  12.8
:     Mar 05   /  13.3
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 13.2 ft at 815pm EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER OPLP1 20150305 Z DC201503050145/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :         /  12.8 /  11.4 /  10.0
.E2 : Mar 06 : /   8.9 /   8.2 /   7.6 /   8.0
.E3 : Mar 07 : /   7.7 /   7.4 /   6.9 /   6.3
.E4 : Mar 08 : /   5.7 /   5.1 /   5.0 /   4.8
.E5 : Mar 09 : /   4.7 /   4.6 /   4.5 /   4.4
.E6 : Mar 10 : /   4.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  0.30 /  0.02 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Mar 04   /  0.42 /  0.58 /  0.45 /  0.57
:     Mar 05   /  0.19
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05           /  0.27 /  0.17 /  0.10
:     Mar 06   /  0.03 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   1.4 /  -1.9 /  -5.3
:     Mar 03   /  -3.9 /  -9.2 /  -8.4 /  -3.7
:     Mar 04   /   1.4 /   8.9 /   4.6 /   2.8
:     Mar 05   /   0.8 /  -1.9 /  -5.9 /  -8.8
:     Mar 06   /  -9.7 / -14.1 / -16.8 / -12.2
:     Mar 07   /  -6.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: Connellsville - Youghiogheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 860.13 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record River Stage     22.0 ft
: Major River Stage      18.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   16.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      12.0 ft
: Action River Stage      9.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Fall below flood level around 5AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /   3.2 /   3.2 /   3.2
:     Mar 04   /   3.3 /   3.8 /   8.2 /  12.6
:     Mar 05   /  14.0
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 13.8 ft at 815pm EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER CLLP1 20150305 Z DC201503050145/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :         /  13.0 /  11.6 /  10.0
.E2 : Mar 06 : /   8.8 /   7.9 /   7.4 /   7.2
.E3 : Mar 07 : /   7.2 /   6.9 /   6.6 /   6.2
.E4 : Mar 08 : /   5.8 /   5.4 /   5.1 /   5.0
.E5 : Mar 09 : /   4.9 /   4.8 /   4.7 /   4.6
.E6 : Mar 10 : /   4.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  0.25 /  0.02 /  0.01
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Mar 04   /  0.42 /  0.61 /  0.58 /  0.54
:     Mar 05   /  0.26
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05           /  0.27 /  0.17 /  0.08
:     Mar 06   /  0.03 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   1.5 /  -2.0 /  -5.2
:     Mar 03   /  -3.7 /  -8.0 /  -7.4 /  -2.7
:     Mar 04   /   2.7 /   9.0 /   4.4 /   2.1
:     Mar 05   /   0.4 /  -0.8 /  -4.8 /  -7.7
:     Mar 06   /  -9.1 / -14.0 / -16.8 / -12.1
:     Mar 07   /  -6.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: Sutersville - Youghiogheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 733.36 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record River Stage     32.5 ft
: Major River Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   21.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     14.9 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR STSP1 20150305 Z DC201503050145/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFFX :crest:   20.5
: Crest near   20.5 ft around 1AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 3AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /   5.7 /   5.5 /   5.5
:     Mar 04   /   5.7 /   7.1 /  10.0 /  15.0
:     Mar 05   /  19.8
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 20.2 ft at 815pm EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER STSP1 20150305 Z DC201503050145/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :         /  20.5 /  19.1 /  16.6
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  13.7 /  11.7 /  10.5 /   9.7
.E3 : Mar 07 : /   9.4 /   9.3 /   8.9 /   8.4
.E4 : Mar 08 : /   7.9 /   7.4 /   6.9 /   6.5
.E5 : Mar 09 : /   6.4 /   6.2 /   6.1 /   6.0
.E6 : Mar 10 : /   6.0
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  0.22 /  0.01 /  0.04
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Mar 04   /  0.41 /  0.40 /  0.62 /  0.38
:     Mar 05   /  0.26
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05           /  0.24 /  0.16 /  0.06
:     Mar 06   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   1.7 /  -1.4 /  -4.1
:     Mar 03   /  -2.3 /  -5.7 /  -6.4 /  -1.4
:     Mar 04   /   4.8 /   9.2 /   4.7 /   1.9
:     Mar 05   /   1.0 /   0.1 /  -4.2 /  -6.6
:     Mar 06   /  -8.2 / -13.1 / -15.7 / -11.0
:     Mar 07   /  -5.3
:____________________________________________________________________

: Maxwell L&D - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 734.5 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record Tailwater Stage     44.4 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      36.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   34.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      32.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     23.5 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR MAXP1 20150305 Z DC201503050145/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFFX :crest:   31.5
: Crest near   31.5 ft around 1AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /  10.8 /  11.2 /  12.3
:     Mar 04   /  11.1 /  12.3 /  16.0 /  20.3
:     Mar 05   /  27.0
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 27.0 ft at 700pm EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER MAXP1 20150305 Z DC201503050145/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :         /  31.5 /  30.9 /  29.4
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  26.9 /  23.1 /  19.3 /  16.9
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  15.4 /  14.5 /  13.8 /  13.4
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  13.6 /  13.4 /  13.2 /  13.8
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  14.1 /  14.0 /  13.9 /  13.9
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  12.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  0.12 /  0.02 /  0.01
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 04   /  0.42 /  0.54 /  0.57 /  0.52
:     Mar 05   /  0.32
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05           /  0.29 /  0.19 /  0.08
:     Mar 06   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   2.5 /  -0.4 /  -2.9
:     Mar 03   /  -0.8 /  -8.1 /  -6.6 /  -0.0
:     Mar 04   /   6.1 /   9.8 /   5.6 /   3.5
:     Mar 05   /   2.0 /   0.3 /  -4.1 /  -6.5
:     Mar 06   /  -7.9 / -12.8 / -15.6 / -10.6
:     Mar 07   /  -4.7
:____________________________________________________________________

: Charleroi - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 717.9 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Westmoreland County, PA
: Record Tailwater Stage     42.7 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      35.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   31.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      28.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     22.6 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR CHRP1 20150305 Z DC201503050145/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFFX :crest:   32.0
: Crest near   32.0 ft around 1AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 9PM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /  13.9 /  14.0 /  15.3
:     Mar 04   /  14.8 /  16.1 /  19.5 /  23.1
:     Mar 05   /  26.8
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 26.8 ft at 700pm EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER CHRP1 20150305 Z DC201503050145/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :         /  32.0 /  31.5 /  30.5
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  29.0 /  26.3 /  24.2 /  21.8
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  19.9 /  18.6 /  17.8 /  17.1
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  17.3 /  17.1 /  16.8 /  17.5
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  17.8 /  17.7 /  17.7 /  17.6
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  16.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  0.14 /  0.02 /  0.02
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 04   /  0.39 /  0.47 /  0.61 /  0.50
:     Mar 05   /  0.29
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05           /  0.28 /  0.18 /  0.07
:     Mar 06   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   2.0 /  -0.8 /  -3.6
:     Mar 03   /  -1.4 /  -7.4 /  -6.6 /  -0.4
:     Mar 04   /   5.7 /   9.5 /   5.1 /   2.7
:     Mar 05   /   1.4 /   0.3 /  -3.9 /  -6.3
:     Mar 06   /  -8.0 / -12.9 / -15.5 / -10.8
:     Mar 07   /  -4.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Elizabeth - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 717.9 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     32.5 ft
: Major Pool Stage      26.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   23.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      20.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     16.5 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR ELZP1 20150305 Z DC201503050145/DUE/DQG/DH12/HPIFFX :crest:   22.7
: Crest near   22.7 ft around 7AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 11PM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /  12.1 /  12.2 /  12.8
:     Mar 04   /  13.0 /  13.2 /  14.8 /  17.3
:     Mar 05   /  19.2
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 20.0 ft at 815pm EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER ELZP1 20150305 Z DC201503050145/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :         /  22.2 /  22.7 /  22.1
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  20.9 /  19.5 /  17.8 /  16.5
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  15.6 /  15.0 /  14.6 /  14.2
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  14.3 /  14.2 /  14.0 /  14.4
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  14.6 /  14.5 /  14.5 /  14.5
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  13.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  0.07 /  0.00 /  0.05
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 04   /  0.35 /  0.38 /  0.65 /  0.21
:     Mar 05   /  0.13
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05           /  0.24 /  0.15 /  0.05
:     Mar 06   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   1.4 /  -1.5 /  -4.0
:     Mar 03   /  -1.7 /  -6.3 /  -6.8 /  -1.5
:     Mar 04   /   4.7 /   8.8 /   4.1 /   1.7
:     Mar 05   /   1.3 /  -0.7 /  -4.6 /  -7.3
:     Mar 06   /  -8.4 / -13.0 / -15.5 / -10.7
:     Mar 07   /  -5.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: Braddock - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 709.7 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     35.3 ft
: Major Pool Stage      24.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   23.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      22.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     18.2 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood pool stage around 5AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
.AR BDDP1 20150305 Z DC201503050145/DUE/DQG/DH12/HPIFFX :crest:   22.6
: Crest near   22.6 ft around 7AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 2PM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /  12.4 /  12.3 /  12.5
:     Mar 04   /  12.0 /  12.4 /  12.2 /  11.7
:     Mar 05   /  16.0
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 16.6 ft at 745pm EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER BDDP1 20150305 Z DC201503050145/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :         /  20.4 /  22.6 /  22.2
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  21.3 /  19.2 /  15.9 /  13.3
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  12.1 /  12.1 /  12.1 /  12.1
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  12.1 /  12.1 /  12.1 /  12.1
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  12.1 /  12.1 /  12.1 /  12.1
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  12.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  0.14 /  0.00 /  0.06
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Mar 04   /  0.41 /  0.37 /  0.54 /  0.10
:     Mar 05   /  0.10
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05           /  0.21 /  0.13 /  0.04
:     Mar 06   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   1.2 /  -1.8 /  -4.2
:     Mar 03   /  -2.3 /  -6.7 /  -6.9 /  -2.2
:     Mar 04   /   3.4 /   8.1 /   3.4 /   1.0
:     Mar 05   /   1.0 /  -0.9 /  -5.0 /  -7.4
:     Mar 06   /  -8.4 / -12.9 / -15.4 / -10.8
:     Mar 07   /  -5.2
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
:
:...END of MESSAGE...




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