Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 191054
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TXZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/19/14 1054Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 1045Z       WARREN
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LOCATION...SE TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...LCH...HGX...FWD...EWX...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...DEVELOPING BAND OF SHOWERS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ADDITIONAL HEAVY
RAINS OVER ALREADY SATURATED SOILS
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1045-1545Z...MEDIUM-HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...SHOWERS/ISOLATED EMBEDDED TSTMS CONTINUE TO
CONGEAL AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED ACROSS SERN TX BTWN AUS AND HOU.
ERLY/SERLY LLVL FLOW HAS ALLOWED GULF MOISTURE TO POOL ACROSS THE
REGION WITH MID TO UP LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF ODILE STREAM
IN FROM THE W.  THIS ABUNDANT DEEP LAYER MOISTURE COUPLED WITH ENHANCED
VERTICAL MOTIONS/UL DIFFLUENCE FROM APPROACHING JET STREAK NOTED IN RECENT
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SLIDING SE ALONG THE RED RIVER BASIN.  GOES SOUNDER
DOES INDICATE AN AIRMASS ALONG THE SRN EDGE OF THE DEVELOPING SHOWERS
CONTAINING AROUND 2000 K/KG OF CAPE WITH LITTLE TO NO INHIBITION IN PLACE.
THINKING GREATEST LIKELIHOOD OF ORGANIZED SHOWERS/TSTMS WOULD BE FROM
JUST E OF CLL TO GLS BASED ON POSITION OF SFC BOUNDARY PER 10Z SFC
ANALYSIS...WHERE LLVL CONVERGENCE SHOULD BE GREATEST.  HEAVY RAINFALL
THREAT APPEARS POISED TO PERSIST FOR SEVERAL MORE HRS WITH RATES NEAR
2.0"/HR POSSIBLE.  IR TRENDS OVER THE LAST HR FAVOR UPSTREAM REDEVELOPMENT
WHICH RAISES CONCERN FOR CELL TRAINING/MERGING LEADING TO POTENTIAL FOR
2-4" OF RAINFALL THRU 15Z.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 3090 9721 3033 9485 2885 9343 2864 9496 2947 9654
3003 9797
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