Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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000
FNUS71 KOKX 130822
FWSOKX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RIVER ROAD NORTH RX...NYS DEC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
422 AM EDT MON MAY 13 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT WEST WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BE BECOME BREEZY THIS AFTERNOON
AND WILL RESULT IN DEEP MIXING. THE WEST WIND WILL LIMIT SEA
BREEZE DEVELOPMENT WITH ONLY A SMALL CHANCE OF A LATE DAY SEA
BREEZE. WINDS SHIFT AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST LATE TONIGHT AND
REMAIN THROUGH TUESDAY. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 59.
RH..................35 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 9100-9200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 23 MPH.
SURFACE WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............9   11  12  14  15  18  25  28  29  32  33
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................43  50  52  54  55  56  57  58  59  59  58
RH..................62  46  39  35  32  31  30  29  28  28  29
20 FT WIND DIR......280 280 270 270 270 270 270 270 270 270 270
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   7   8   9   10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
SURFACE WND DIR.....W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
SURFACE WND SPD.....7   8   9   10  11  12  13  13  13  13  12
SURFACE WND GST.....15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
CWR.................0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    LATE.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36.
RH..................MAX 67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400-9000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 18 MPH.
SURFACE WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............32  30  29  29  26  24  21  8   0   6   0   0
WEATHER COV.........                                        PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE........                                        FST FST
TSTM COV............
TEMP................56  54  51  49  47  45  43  41  40  39  36  36
RH..................32  38  44  48  51  53  55  59  59  59  67  67
20 FT WIND DIR......280 290 300 310 320 330 340 350 350 350 350 340
20 FT WIND SPD......8   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
SURFACE WND DIR.....W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N
SURFACE WND SPD.....10  9   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
SURFACE WND GST.....15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
CWR.................0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63.
RH..................MIN 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7700-8900 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SURFACE WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............0      0      0      4      8      9
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................39     47     54     58     60     61
RH..................64     53     36     30     29     29
20 FT WIND..........340/5  340/7  330/7  320/8  290/9  270/9
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     15     15     20     20
SURFACE WIND........N 6    N 9    NW 9   NW 10  W 11   W 11
SURFACE WND GST.....10     15     15     15     20     20
CWR.................0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...LN
REQUESTED BY...FOREST RANGER BRYAN GALLAGHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130513.RIVER.01/OKX







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