345
FNUS73 KABR 072044
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Bob Hodgins GPA RX...State of South Dakota
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
344 PM CDT Tue May 7 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1400 CDT on May 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Winds are forecast to become easterly by Wednesday
morning, then eventually northeast by later afternoon or evening.
We are expecting scattered showers/thundershowers across the
region by afternoon, but very difficult to pinpoint if the burn
site will directly be affected by a shower, as they will be
scattered in nature. That said, it does appear the best chances
will hold off until the afternoon hours.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon, then chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1600, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 12 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4100-5300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 17 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (66100 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 (low).

TIME (CDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........58  68  78  68
Weather cov.....SCH SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  30  30
Temp............62  63  63  62
RH..............50  49  48  50
20 FT wind dir..E   NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..12  12  13  13
20 FT wind gust.18  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...4.8 5.3 4.9 4.1
Smoke Dispersal.GD  GD  GD  GD

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Chance of
                    rain showers in the evening. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the evening.
CWR.................19 percent decreasing to 3 percent overnight.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................3 until 2200, then 2 until 0100, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 12 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the evening.
Mixing height.......700-2700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 16 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9800 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or (very low) to (low).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........58  49  49  49  49  46  43  40  40  40  40  35
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  30  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............61  59  55  52  51  50  49  48  47  46  45  45
RH..............51  57  68  79  82  81  86  91  90  89  88  87
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..13  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  14  13  13  12
20 FT wind gust.20  20  18  20  20  20  20  21  21  20  20  18
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 2.0 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 0.9
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...TMT
Requested by...Owen McElroy
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413427.0/ABR
.DELDT 05/07/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL owen.mcelroy@state.sd.us